Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prognose

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
KI-Tipp Tottenham oder Unentschieden
47%
27%
26%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Tottenham vs. Aston Villa Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Tottenham eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 47%, für Aston Villa 26% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 13:33.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline

Pedro Porro ⇄ Archie Gray
19'
45'
Aaron Wan-Bissaka ⇄ Matty Cash
Mateus Fernandes ⇄ Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani
45'
0–1 45+4'
Johan Manzambi assist: Boubacar Kamara
J. van Hecke Yellow Card
45+7'
HT 0–1
46'
Nicolas Jackson Yellow Card
Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani Goal cancelled
60' 🖵
Dominic Solanke ⇄ James Maddison
66'
0–2 67'
Nicolas Jackson assist: Johan Manzambi
72'
Johan Manzambi ⇄ George Hemmings
0–3 79'
Emiliano Buendía assist: John McGinn
84'
John McGinn ⇄ Ross Barkley
84'
Boubacar Kamara ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye
Rodrigo Bentancur ⇄ Lucas Bergvall
84'
Sandro Tonali ⇄ Conor Gallagher
84'
Conor Gallagher assist: Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani
86' 1–3
88'
Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham
90+2'
Matty Cash Yellow Card
90+2'
Yellow Card
J. van Hecke
90+8' 2–3
FT 2–3
Tottenham

Match Stats

Aston Villa
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 6
9 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 6
11 Corner Kicks 1
5 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
570 Total passes 332
495 Passes accurate 278
13 Free Kicks 8
Tottenham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Savinho M 7.2 90' 3 39 (34%)
8 Conor Gallagher M 6.7 6' 1 1 8 (8%) 2
16 Sandro Tonali M 6.6 84' 3 64 (58%) 6
19 Dominic Solanke F 6.5 66' 2 15 (14%) 2
20 Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani M 6.4 44' 1 2 23 (18%) 2
10 James Maddison M 6.4 24' 2 21 (18%) 2
22 Omar Marmoush M 6.3 90' 1 23 (21%) 1
30 Rodrigo Bentancur M 6.3 84' 66 (58%) 6
18 Mateus Fernandes M 6.3 46' 2 26 (23%) 1
3 Andy Robertson D 6.2 90' 63 (52%) 2
14 Archie Gray M 6.1 71' 1 29 (27%) 2
6 J. van Hecke D 6.0 90' 67 (58%) 3
37 M. van de Ven D 5.9 90' 1 77 (72%) 1
15 Lucas Bergvall M 5.8 6' 9 (8%) 1
23 Pedro Porro D 5.7 19' 1 12 (7%) 1
31 Antonín Kinský G 5.6 90' 21 (16%)
Aston Villa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
44 Johan Manzambi M 8.8 72' 1 1 4 18 (16%) 1
10 Emiliano Buendía M 8.2 90' 1 3 36 (29%) 6
11 Nicolas Jackson F 8.1 88' 1 6 12 (12%)
1 Zion Suzuki G 8.0 90' 38 (22%)
8 Boubacar Kamara M 7.3 84' 1 1 42 (35%) 2
7 John McGinn M 7.1 84' 1 19 (12%)
13 Matteo Ruggeri D 7.1 90' 1 33 (30%)
3 Victor Lindelöf D 7.0 90' 28 (26%)
5 Tyrone Mings D 7.0 90' 45 (41%) 1
35 João Gomes M 6.9 90' 25 (23%) 5
29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D 6.6 46' 17 (16%) 2
6 Ross Barkley M 6.5 6' 8 (8%)
53 George Hemmings M 6.5 18' 2 (2%) 1
19 Ibrahim Mbaye F 6.4 6'
18 Tammy Abraham F 6.3 2' 4 (4%)
2 Matty Cash D 6.2 44' 4 (2%)
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Tottenham oder Unentschieden
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Tottenham
LLDDL
Aston Villa
WWLWD
Last 3 meetings Tottenham · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Tottenham faces Aston Villa. Tottenham's offensive prowess is highlighted by their average of 2.1 goals per game this season, bolstered by a strong attacking lineup. Conversely, Aston Villa has shown resilience, maintaining a solid defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per match. The tactical battle will likely center around Tottenham's ability to break down Villa's defense, while Villa will aim to exploit any gaps on the counter. Both teams will be eager for points, making this a crucial encounter in the league standings.

Live insights

88' Goal 85% sure

Aston Villa now leads 1-3 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Aston Villa leads 0-3. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

81' Goal 85% sure

Aston Villa now leads 0-3 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 24.9%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Aston Villa leads 0-2. Win probability: 97.3%. Comeback chance: 2.7%.

68' Goal 85% sure

Aston Villa now leads 0-2 with 95% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 49.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
26%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Tottenham vs Aston Villa

1 Tottenham Wins
0 Draws
2 Aston Villa Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 May 2026 Aston Villa 1 - 2 Tottenham
19 Oct 2025 Tottenham 1 - 2 Aston Villa
16 May 2025 Aston Villa 2 - 0 Tottenham
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Tottenham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Aston Villa L 2 - 3
15 Sep A Liverpool L 3 - 1
12 Sep H Everton D 0 - 0
05 Sep A Nottingham Forest D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Newcastle L 0 - 2

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Tottenham W 2 - 3
16 Sep A Coventry W 1 - 3
12 Sep H Nottingham Forest L 1 - 2
08 Sep A Club Brugge KV W 2 - 3
05 Sep A Hull City D 0 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Tottenham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. De Zerbi
31 Kinský
3 Robertson
37 Ven
6 Hecke
23 Porro
16 Tonali
30 Bentancur
22 Marmoush
18 Fernandes
17 Sávio
19 Solanke

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 A. Kinský G
23 Pedro Porro D
6 J. van Hecke D
37 M. van de Ven D
3 A. Robertson D
30 R. Bentancur M
16 S. Tonali M
17 Sávio M
18 Mateus Fernandes M
22 Omar Marmoush M
19 D. Solanke F

Substitutes

15 L. Bergvall M
20 M. Kudus M
39 M. Dúbravka G
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 M. Senesi D
13 D. Udogie D
8 C. Gallagher M
10 J. Maddison M
14 A. Gray M

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Unai Emery
1 Suzuki
13 Ruggeri
5 Mings
3 Lindelöf
29 Wan-Bissaka
35 Gomes
8 Kamara
10 Buendía
44 Manzambi
7 McGinn
11 Jackson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Z. Suzuki G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
3 V. Lindelöf D
5 T. Mings D
13 M. Ruggeri D
8 B. Kamara M
35 João Gomes M
7 J. McGinn M
44 J. Manzambi M
10 E. Buendía M
11 N. Jackson F

Substitutes

2 M. Cash D
4 T. Harwood-Bellis D
6 R. Barkley M
26 L. Bogarde M
53 George Hemmings M
17 A. Garnacho F
18 T. Abraham F
19 I. Mbaye F
42 J. Wright G

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