Everton vs Manchester United Prognose

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
KI-Tipp Manchester United oder Unentschieden
28%
27%
45%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Everton vs. Manchester United Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Everton eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 28%, für Manchester United 45% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 6 Sep 2026, 15:01.

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Match Report

Everton and Manchester United played out a dramatic 2–2 draw at Goodison Park in Matchday 3 of the Premier League, with all four goals coming after the break. The first half was goalless and relatively uneventful, though Harrison Armstrong and Brennan Johnson both picked up early yellow cards to add some edge to proceedings.

Manchester United took control early in the second half, with Bryan Mbeumo breaking the deadlock just seconds after the restart and Tyrique George doubling the advantage on 83 minutes. The visitors looked to be cruising, and Benjamin Šeško added a third for United on 88 minutes to seemingly seal the result. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester United win as the most likely outcome at 45%, and with two minutes remaining that looked the correct call.

However, Everton refused to capitulate. Ainsley Maitland-Niles pulled one back deep into stoppage time to make it 2–2, rescuing a point for the hosts in extraordinary fashion. United finished with 18 total shots to Everton's 14, and six on target to three, reflecting their overall dominance — though the late collapse will frustrate Ruben Amorim's side.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Harrison Armstrong Yellow Card
13' ▮
Brennan Johnson Yellow Card
34' ▮
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 46'
Bryan Mbeumo assist: Kobbie Mainoo
▮ 62'
Luke Shaw Yellow Card
Merlin Röhl Yellow Card
64' ▮
Brennan Johnson ⇄ Jack Grealish
66' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Marcus Rashford ⇄ Patrick Dorgu
⇄ 70'
Matheus Cunha ⇄ Benjamin Šeško
Merlin Röhl ⇄ Hayden Hackney
75' ⇄
James Garner ⇄ Ainsley Maitland-Niles
77' ⇄
▮ 79'
Harry Maguire Yellow Card
▮ 81'
Diogo Dalot Yellow Card
Tyrique George assist: Hayden Hackney
83' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 84'
Kobbie Mainoo ⇄ Andrey Santos
⇄ 84'
Diogo Dalot ⇄ Leny Yoro
⚽ 1–2 88'
Benjamin Šeško assist: Luke Shaw
⇄ 90+1'
Luke Shaw ⇄ Noussair Mazraoui
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
90+6' ⚽ 2–2
FT 2–2
Everton

Match Stats

Manchester United
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 6
14 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Corner Kicks 3
3 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
420 Total passes 524
361 Passes accurate 455
11 Free Kicks 7
Everton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Tyrique George M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 28 (26%) –
2 Ainsley Maitland-Niles M 7.6 13' 1 – 1 4 (4%) –
4 Jarrad Branthwaite D 7.2 90' – – 2 56 (50%) 1
6 James Tarkowski D 7.1 90' – – 1 52 (42%) 3
16 Vitaliy Mykolenko D 6.9 90' – – – 39 (35%) 3
37 James Garner M 6.6 77' – – – 45 (41%) 1
8 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M 6.5 90' – – 4 40 (34%) 4
34 Merlin Röhl D 6.5 75' – – – 22 (20%) –
10 Jack Grealish M 6.4 24' – – 1 11 (10%) 1
11 Thierno Barry F 6.3 90' – – 4 22 (17%) –
30 Hayden Hackney M 6.3 15' – 1 1 15 (12%) 1
45 Harrison Armstrong M 6.2 90' – – 2 28 (26%) 1
1 Jordan Pickford G 6.1 90' – – – 41 (31%) –
22 Brennan Johnson M 6.1 66' – – 1 16 (13%) 1
Manchester United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Bryan Mbeumo M 7.9 90' 1 – 2 23 (20%) –
37 Kobbie Mainoo M 7.7 84' – 1 – 76 (73%) 1
30 Benjamin Šeško F 7.7 20' 1 – 2 5 (3%) –
23 Luke Shaw D 7.2 89' – 1 1 43 (39%) 1
18 Youri Tielemans M 7.1 90' – – 2 80 (73%) –
6 Lisandro Martínez D 6.8 90' – – – 43 (42%) –
1 Senne Lammens G 6.7 90' – – – 21 (13%) –
2 Diogo Dalot D 6.6 84' – – 1 36 (33%) 2
10 Matheus Cunha F 6.5 70' – – 2 28 (22%) 2
9 Marcus Rashford M 6.5 70' – – – 26 (17%) –
15 Leny Yoro D 6.4 6' – – – 6 (5%) 2
13 Patrick Dorgu D 6.4 20' – – – 8 (5%) 1
8 Bruno Fernandes M 6.3 90' – – 4 52 (43%) –
17 Andrey Santos M 6.3 6' – – – 8 (8%) –
5 Harry Maguire D 6.3 90' – – – 66 (56%) –
3 Noussair Mazraoui D 6.1 1' – – – 3 (3%) 1
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Manchester United oder Unentschieden
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Everton
WWDDD
Manchester United
DLLWD
Last 3 meetings Everton · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Everton faces Manchester United. Everton's recent form shows a struggle, with a win percentage of just 30% in their last five matches. Conversely, Manchester United has been more consistent, boasting a 60% win rate in the same period. Key players like Everton's defensive unit will need to perform exceptionally to contain United’s attacking threats, especially with their forward line averaging 2 goals per match in recent outings. Tactics will play a crucial role, making this an intriguing contest as both teams aim for vital points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
45%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Everton

No scorer data.

Manchester United
Bruno Fernandes 3 gls

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Head to Head: Everton vs Manchester United

1 Everton Wins
1 Draws
1 Manchester United Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Feb 2026 Everton 0 - 1 Manchester United
24 Nov 2025 Manchester United 0 - 1 Everton
22 Feb 2025 Everton 2 - 2 Manchester United
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Ipswich W 1 - 0
16 Sep H Wolves W 1 - 0
12 Sep A Tottenham D 0 - 0
06 Sep H Manchester United D 2 - 2
29 Aug A Bournemouth D 1 - 1

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fulham D 1 - 1
16 Sep H Brighton L 2 - 3
13 Sep H Manchester City L 0 - 1
10 Sep H Sabah FA W 4 - 0
06 Sep A Everton D 2 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Manchester United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Carrick
1 Lammens
23 Shaw
6 Martínez
5 Maguire
2 Dalot
37 Mainoo
18 Tielemans
9 Rashford
8 Fernandes
19 Mbeumo
10 Cunha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Lammens G
2 Diogo Dalot D
5 H. Maguire D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
23 L. Shaw D
18 Y. Tielemans M
37 K. Mainoo M
19 B. Mbeumo M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
9 M. Rashford M
10 Matheus Cunha F

Substitutes

11 J. Zirkzee F
30 B. Šeško F
7 M. Mount M
13 P. Dorgu D
17 Andrey Santos M
15 L. Yoro D
3 N. Mazraoui D
26 A. Heaven D
12 K. Darlow G

Everton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Moyes
1 Pickford
16 Mykolenko
4 Branthwaite
6 Tarkowski
34 Röhl
37 Garner
45 Armstrong
19 George
8 Dewsbury-Hall
22 Johnson
11 Barry

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Pickford G
34 M. Röhl D
6 J. Tarkowski D
4 J. Branthwaite D
16 V. Mykolenko D
45 H. Armstrong M
37 J. Garner M
22 B. Johnson M
8 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
19 Tyrique George M
11 T. Barry F

Substitutes

58 B. Graham F
30 H. Hackney M
24 C. Alcaraz M
20 T. Dibling F
10 J. Grealish M
15 J. O'Brien D
5 M. Keane D
2 A. Maitland-Niles M
12 M. Travers G

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