Lahti vs FF Jaro Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

FF Jaro

Away

Lahden Stadion, Lahti

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Lahti

60%

24%

16%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Lahti vs. FF Jaro Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lahti eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 60%, für FF Jaro 16% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 1 Aug 2026, 16:53.

Timeline

M. Sarr assist: R. Sans

9' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

J. Brunell ⇄ M. Ogungbaro

⇄ 62'

⇄ A. Vidjeskog

⇄ 70'

⇄ V. Vuorinen

O. Koskinen ⇄ D. Heikkinen

72' ⇄

Martim Ferreira ⇄ A. Belabid

72' ⇄

M. Sarr

80' ⇄

⇄ 80'

J. Myrevik ⇄ A. Bjonbäck

81' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ A. Lindholm

83' ⇄

Y. Cassubie ⇄ A. Kabashi

83' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Lahti

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.5%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Lahti

DLWWW

FF Jaro

DDLLL

Last 1 meetings Lahti · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lahti will face FF Jaro in a crucial Veikkausliiga matchup. Lahti has shown a mixed bag of form this season, with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 league matches. In contrast, FF Jaro has been slightly more consistent, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses over the same period. Key player performance, particularly in the attacking third, will be vital for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides needing a win to improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FF Jaro goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	4	2
1	15	11	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	9	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Lahti goals · most likely 1–0 (15.5%)

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Players in form

Lahti

Martim Ferreira 4 gls

FF Jaro

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

24%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	4.2%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
1	15.5%	11.2%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
2	15.0%	8.8%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
3	8.9%	5.3%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	4.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lahti	Draw	FF Jaro
Lahti	43.4%	2.8%	0.5%
Draw	20.9%	16.9%	4.3%
FF Jaro	1.9%	3.1%	6.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lahti vs FF Jaro

0 Lahti Wins

1 Draws

0 FF Jaro Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Sep 2026	Lahti	1 - 1	FF Jaro

Lahti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ilves	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A VPS	W	0 - 1
21 Aug	A SJK	W	1 - 2

FF Jaro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Lahti	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H SJK	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Ilves	L	2 - 0
31 Aug	A Mariehamn	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H AC Oulu	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Lahti

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Goncalo Pereira

31 Maukonen

3 Sans

4 Müller

5 Dantas

27 Yapi

10 Koskinen

18 Cassubie

8 Montiel

11 Ferreira

19 Barbosa

77 Sarr

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Osku Maukonen	G
27	Romaric Yapi	D
5	Nicolas Gianini Dantas	D
4	José Müller	D
3	Romain Sans	D
8	Tòfol Montiel	M
18	Yohan Cassubie	M
10	Otso Koskinen	M
77	Momodou Sarr	F
19	Neemias Barbosa	F
11	Martim Ferreira	F

Substitutes

7	Daniel Heikkinen	M
17	Amir Belabid	F
12	Aatu Hakala	G
25	Topias Inkinen	D
6	Väinö Vehkonen	D
28	Armend Kabashi	M
20	Justus Ojanen	M
9	Aaron Lindholm	F
41	Aleksi Paalanen	F

FF Jaro

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jens Karlsson

1 Vits

19 Ness

3 Gunnarsson

6 Brunell

21 Myrevik

8 Kawo

13 Hellemaa

7 Skau

15 Vikström

11 Sjögrell

22 Hardén

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Senne Vits	G
21	Jim Myrevik	D
6	Johan Brunell	D
3	Erik Gunnarsson	D
19	Fabian Östigard Ness	D
7	Jesper Svenungsen Skau	D
13	Altti Hellemaa	M
8	Oliver Kass Kawo	M
22	Kaius Hardén	M
11	Herman Sjögrell	M
15	Rudi Vikström	F

Substitutes

4	Michael Ogungbaro	D
16	Adam Vidjeskog	M
91	Ville Vuorinen	M
12	Joas Snellman	G
2	Felix Kass	D
5	Aron Bjonbäck	D
20	Ted Soderstrom	D
24	Valde Lofs	M
30	Morteza Najafi	M