Ilves vs Stjarnan Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Ilves

Home

1 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Hinspiel 0-1 · Gesamt 1-1

Stjarnan

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ilves

56%

24%

19%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Ilves vs. Stjarnan Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Ilves eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 56%, für Stjarnan 19% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Jul 2026, 03:00.

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1st Half Over 0.5 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

O. Multala Yellow Card

24' ▮

▮ 39'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

K. Wallius

46' ⇄

O. Multala ⇄ S. Baranov

46' ⇄

J. Kilo assist: J. Kanga

52' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 73'

J. Kilo ⇄ R. Riski

75' ⇄

▮ 85'

Yellow Card

85' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

⇄ 91'

Birnir Snaer Ingason

T. Hytönen

98' ⇄

A. Popovitch Yellow Card

106' ▮

⚽ 1–1 107'

F. Krkalić Own Goal

⇄ 111'

Emil Atlason

T. Miettunen assist: M. Rale

113' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 117'

Yellow Card

✗ 120+1'

Missed Penalty

R. Riski Penalty

120+1' ⚽ 3–1

Yellow Card

120+2' ▮

⚽ 3–2 120+2'

Penalty

A. Popovitch Penalty

120+2' ⚽ 4–2

Goal Disallowed - offside

120+2' 🖵

⚽ 4–3 120+3'

Penalty

120+3' ⚽ 5–3

⚽ 5–4 120+4'

Penalty

120+4' ⚽ 6–4

⚽ 6–5 120+5'

Penalty

J. Kanga Penalty

120+5' ⚽ 7–5

FT 1–0

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ilves

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Ilves

WWWLL

Stjarnan

LWDWW

Last 1 meetings Ilves · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Ilves faces Stjarnan in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams looking to secure valuable points early in the group stage. Ilves has shown solid defensive metrics, conceding an average of 1 goal per match in their last five outings, while Stjarnan's attack has been potent, averaging 2 goals per match in their recent fixtures. Key players to watch include Ilves' top scorer, who has netted in the last three matches, and Stjarnan's playmaker, known for his assist tally. The match may hinge on Ilves' ability to contain Stjarnan's offensive threats while capitalizing on set pieces, where they have been particularly effective.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

19%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Stjarnan goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	10	12	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Ilves goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	4.0%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.1%	11.8%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.0%	10.1%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
3	7.1%	6.5%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.4%	3.1%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ilves	Draw	Stjarnan
Ilves	41.7%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	17.0%	15.1%	5.9%
Stjarnan	2.3%	3.7%	9.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ilves vs Stjarnan

0 Ilves Wins

0 Draws

1 Stjarnan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Stjarnan	1 - 0	Ilves

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

Stjarnan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FH hafnarfjordur	L	5 - 2
13 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	H IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Breidablik	W	0 - 2
23 Aug	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joni Lehtonen

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

5 Väisänen

16 Miettunen

13 Wallius

14 Popovitch

22 Multala

4 Pettersson

28 Kilo

30 Kanga

9 Hytönen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
5	Sauli Väisänen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
4	Oliver Pettersson	D
22	Oskari Multala	M
14	Anton Popovitch	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
30	Jardell Kanga	M
28	Jesse Kilo	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F

Substitutes

19	Bamba Abdoul Goudouss	D
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
1	Otso Virtanen	G
31	Rasmus Leislahti	G
25	Sebastian Suvanne	D
24	Ville Kumpu	D
27	Franck Kouakou	D
20	Otto Tiitinen	M
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
45	Elias Tamminen	F
10	Roope Riski	F
11	Hamidou Coulibaly	F

Stjarnan

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jokull Elisabetarson

12 Ólafsson

32 Örvarsson

3 Kjeldsen

5 Kristjánsson

4 Þórisson

23 Warén

8 Gunnarsson

18 Nokkvason

11 Ingason

22 Atlason

7 Eggertsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Árni Snær Ólafsson	G
4	Þorri Mar Þórisson	D
5	Guðmundur Kristjánsson	D
3	Gustav Kjeldsen	D
32	Örvar Logi Örvarsson	D
18	Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason	M
8	Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson	M
23	Benedikt Warén	M
7	Örvar Eggertsson	M
22	Emil Atlason	F
11	Birnir Snaer Ingason	M

Substitutes

83	Duro Stefan Beic	G
1	Darri Bergmann Gylfason	G
19	Ari Leifsson	D
14	Bjarki Hauksson	D
6	Sindri Þór Ingimarsson	D
24	Sigurdur Gunnar Jónsson	D
29	Alex Þór Hauksson	M
25	Christian Alexandersson	M
35	Bjarki Sæmundsson	M
10	Daníel Finns Matthíasson	M
94	Árni Vilhjálmsson	F
99	Andri Rúnar Bjarnason	F