Paraguay vs Australia Prognose

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

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Australia

Away

KI-Tipp Australia oder Unentschieden

23%

34%

43%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Paraguay vs. Australia Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Paraguay eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 23%, für Australia 43% und für ein Unentschieden 34%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

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Match Report

Paraguay and Australia played out a goalless draw in their World Cup group stage encounter, with neither side able to find the breakthrough despite Paraguay enjoying the greater share of possession and chances. The South Americans controlled 57% of the ball and registered 12 total shots to Australia's seven, though both goalkeepers were rarely tested, with only five shots on target from Paraguay and two from the Socceroos.

The game's tempo was disrupted by a flurry of substitutions in the second half, with both managers looking to their benches to unlock the deadlock. Jackson Irvine picked up a yellow card just after the interval before being replaced in the 84th minute, while Paraguay's Diego Gómez was also cautioned before eventually being withdrawn in stoppage time. Australia's Cristian Volpato and Nestory Irankunda were among those introduced in search of a winner that never came.

The result leaves the tactical picture in the group finely balanced. Our pre-match AI model had favoured an Australia victory at 43% probability, a call that ultimately did not materialise as both teams settled for a share of the points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Alexandro Maidana ⇄ Mauricio

45' ⇄

HT 0–0

▮ 46'

Jackson Irvine Yellow Card

⇄ 58'

Cristian Volpato ⇄ Ajdin Hrustić

Gabriel Ávalos ⇄ Alex Arce

67' ⇄

Diego Gómez Yellow Card

77' ▮

Omar Alderete ⇄ José Canale

84' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Jackson Irvine ⇄ Paul Okon-Engstler

⇄ 84'

Nestory Irankunda ⇄ Tete Yengi

Diego Gómez ⇄ Damián Bobadilla

92' ⇄

Matías Galarza ⇄ Junior Alonso

92' ⇄

FT 0–0

Paraguay

Match Stats

Australia

43% Ball Possession 57%

7 Total Shots 12

2 Shots on Goal 5

4 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 3

1 Corner Kicks 3

8 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

6 Free Kicks 8

Paraguay

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Orlando Gill G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	16 (8%)	–
15 Gustavo Gómez D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	2
23 Matías Galarza M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	41 (38%)	7
13 José Canale D	6.8	6'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
2 Gustavo Velázquez D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	51 (42%)	–
11 Mauricio M	6.7	44'	–	–	1	25 (21%)	2
14 Andrés Cubas M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	42 (34%)	3
26 Alexandro Maidana D	6.5	46'	–	–	–	12 (5%)	2
18 Alex Arce F	6.5	23'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
3 Omar Alderete D	6.4	84'	–	–	–	61 (46%)	–
8 Diego Gómez M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	45 (38%)	4
19 Julio Enciso M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	17 (14%)	1
4 Juan Cáceres D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	28 (14%)	2
21 Gabriel Ávalos F	6.1	67'	–	–	1	11 (6%)	1

Australia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Jordan Bos M	7.2	90'	–	–	3	44 (40%)	3
19 Harry Souttar D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	94 (86%)	–
25 Lucas Herrington D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	68 (62%)	2
18 Patrick Beach G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
22 Jackson Irvine M	6.8	84'	–	–	2	65 (50%)	1
3 Alessandro Circati D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	70 (58%)	3
10 Ajdin Hrustić M	6.6	32'	–	–	1	13 (12%)	–
24 Paul Okon-Engstler M	6.5	6'	–	–	–	–	–
20 Cristian Volpato M	6.5	58'	–	–	1	26 (19%)	–
13 Aiden O'Neill M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	52 (44%)	4
8 Connor Metcalfe M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	25 (19%)	3
26 Tete Yengi F	6.4	6'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
17 Nestory Irankunda F	6.2	84'	–	–	2	18 (10%)	–
16 Aziz Behich M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	26 (16%)	3

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Australia oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

0:0 · 15.7%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

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Paraguay

LDDWL

Australia

DDLWL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match between Paraguay and Australia, both teams will seek to secure a vital victory. Paraguay enters the match with a solid defensive record, having conceded only 1.2 goals per game in recent qualifiers, while Australia relies on a potent attacking line that averages 1.8 goals per match. Paraguay's midfield strength, led by their playmakers, will be crucial in controlling possession and dictating the pace. Conversely, Australia’s speed on the wings could exploit gaps in Paraguay’s defense. Key battles in midfield and set-pieces will likely determine the match outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

23%

10%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Australia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16	15	10	4	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	4	5	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Paraguay goals · most likely 0–0 (15.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

34%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

34%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

65% Away (No Draw) 35% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 34% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

40%

1.5

60%

69%

2.5

31%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.7%	14.6%	9.6%	3.7%	1.1%
1	9.5%	14.8%	7.7%	3.0%	0.9%
2	4.5%	5.2%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
3	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Paraguay	Draw	Australia
Paraguay	13.1%	3.8%	1.5%
Draw	10.3%	24.0%	17.0%
Australia	1.0%	3.9%	25.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Paraguay vs Australia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Paraguay — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Jul	H France	L	0 - 1
29 Jun	A Germany	D	1 - 1
26 Jun	H Australia	D	0 - 0
20 Jun	A Türkiye	W	0 - 1
13 Jun	A USA	L	4 - 1

Australia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Jul	H Egypt	D	1 - 1
26 Jun	A Paraguay	D	0 - 0
19 Jun	A USA	L	2 - 0
14 Jun	H Türkiye	W	2 - 0
31 May	A Mexico	L	1 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Australia

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Tony Popovic

18 Beach

25 Herrington

19 Souttar

3 Circati

5 Bos

22 Irvine

13 O'Neill

16 Behich

20 Volpato

17 Irankunda

8 Metcalfe

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	P. Beach	G
3	A. Circati	D
19	H. Souttar	D
25	L. Herrington	D
16	A. Behich	M
13	A. O'Neill	M
22	J. Irvine	M
5	J. Bos	M
8	C. Metcalfe	M
17	N. Irankunda	F
20	C. Volpato	M

Substitutes

24	Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler	M
23	N. Velupillay	F
26	T. Yengi	F
9	M. Touré	F
15	K. Trewin	D
14	C. Devlin	M
10	A. Hrustić	M
21	C. Burgess	D
11	A. Mabil	M
6	J. Geria	D
2	M. Degenek	D
12	P. Izzo	G
1	M. Ryan	G

Paraguay

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Gustavo Alfaro

12 Gill

26 Maidana

3 Alderete

15 Gómez

2 Velázquez

4 Cáceres

19 Enciso

23 Galarza

14 Cubas

8 Gómez

21 Ávalos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	O. Gill	G
4	J. Cáceres	D
2	G. Velázquez	D
15	G. Gómez	D
3	O. Alderete	D
26	A. Maidana	D
8	D. Gómez	M
14	A. Cubas	M
23	M. Galarza	M
19	J. Enciso	M
21	G. Ávalos	F

Substitutes

22	G. Olveira	G
6	J. Alonso	D
9	A. Sanabria	F
25	I. Pitta	F
7	R. Sosa	F
16	D. Bobadilla	M
18	A. Arce	F
17	A. Romero	M
5	F. Balbuena	D
11	Maurício	M
24	G. Caballero	F
1	R. Fernandez	G
13	J. Canale	D
20	B. Ojeda	M