Netherlands vs Sweden Prognose

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

Post on X

Sweden

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Netherlands

52%

28%

20%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Netherlands vs. Sweden Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Netherlands eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 52%, für Sweden 20% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Unter 3,5 Tore 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

B. Brobbey assist: C. Gakpo

5' ⚽ 1–0

B. Brobbey assist: D. Dumfries

17' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

D. Malen ⇄ C. Summerville

46' ⇄

C. Gakpo assist: D. Dumfries

47' ⚽ 3–0

▮ 53'

Gabriel Gudmundsson Yellow Card

C. Gakpo assist: C. Summerville

54' ⚽ 4–0

⇄ 55'

Alexander Bernhardsson ⇄ Anthony Elanga

⇄ 56'

Benjamin Nygren ⇄ Lucas Bergvall

⇄ 56'

Jesper Karlström ⇄ Besfort Zeneli

⚽ 4–1 59'

Anthony Elanga assist: Alexander Isak

F. de Jong ⇄ T. Koopmeiners

59' ⇄

T. Reijnders ⇄ G. Til

59' ⇄

B. Brobbey ⇄ M. Depay

72' ⇄

▮ 75'

Yasin Ayari Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

Yasin Ayari ⇄ Taha Abdi Ali

▮ 80'

Lucas Bergvall Yellow Card

C. Summerville assist: M. Depay

89' ⚽ 5–1

C. Gakpo ⇄ N. Lang

90' ⇄

⇄ 90+3'

Gabriel Gudmundsson ⇄ Elliot Stroud

FT 5–1

Netherlands

Match Stats

Sweden

51% Ball Possession 49%

2.61 Expected Goals (xG) 1.01

10 Total Shots 16

7 Shots on Goal 8

2 Shots off Goal 5

1 Blocked Shots 3

6 Shots insidebox 7

4 Shots outsidebox 9

2 Corner Kicks 5

3 Offsides 3

9 Fouls 12

0 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

7 Goalkeeper Saves 2

449 Total passes 425

398 Passes accurate 361

89% Passes % 85%

-0.80 goals_prevented -0.80

Netherlands

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 C. Gakpo F	9.3	89'	2	1	4	20 (15%)	1
22 D. Dumfries D	8.9	90'	–	2	–	34 (28%)	3
24 C. Summerville F	8.5	45'	1	1	1	10 (9%)	1
1 B. Verbruggen G	8.2	90'	–	–	–	34 (24%)	–
19 B. Brobbey F	8.2	72'	2	–	2	6 (5%)	–
21 F. de Jong M	7.7	59'	–	–	–	53 (51%)	3
6 J. van Hecke D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	78 (71%)	1
15 M. van de Ven D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	44 (41%)	2
4 V. van Dijk D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	79 (75%)	–
16 G. Til M	6.7	31'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
10 M. Depay F	6.7	18'	–	1	–	5 (4%)	–
18 D. Malen F	6.6	45'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
20 T. Koopmeiners M	6.6	31'	–	–	–	28 (25%)	1
8 R. Gravenberch M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	29 (26%)	3
14 T. Reijnders M	6.3	59'	–	–	1	12 (9%)	–
17 N. Lang F	—	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Sweden

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Anthony Elanga F	7.9	35'	1	–	1	10 (9%)	–
9 Alexander Isak F	7.0	90'	–	1	1	33 (27%)	–
22 Besfort Zeneli M	6.7	34'	–	–	1	23 (22%)	1
26 Taha Abdi Ali M	6.7	11'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
17 Viktor Gyökeres F	6.6	90'	–	–	4	19 (17%)	1
21 Alexander Bernhardsson M	6.3	55'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	1
16 Jesper Karlström M	6.3	56'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	2
18 Yasin Ayari M	6.3	79'	–	–	4	25 (20%)	1
7 Lucas Bergvall M	6.3	34'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	1
2 Gustaf Lagerbielke D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	52 (42%)	9
5 Gabriel Gudmundsson M	6.2	89'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	–
10 Benjamin Nygren M	5.9	56'	–	–	1	17 (15%)	–
23 Kristoffer Nordfeldt G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	34 (22%)	–
3 Victor Lindelöf D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	58 (56%)	–
4 Isak Hien D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	58 (54%)	2
24 Elliot Stroud M	—	1'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Netherlands

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Netherlands

DDWWD

Sweden

LDLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 20, 2026, the Netherlands, known for their attacking prowess and strong midfield, will host Sweden, a team with a solid defensive record and effective counter-attacking style. Historically, the Netherlands has a slight edge, winning 7 of their last 13 encounters. Key players to watch include Dutch forward Memphis Depay, who has been instrumental in their qualification campaign, and Sweden's Alexander Isak, who could exploit any defensive lapses. The match promises to be tactical, with both teams needing a win to bolster their standings in the group. Expect a competitive clash with potential for goals on both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

20%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sweden goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	6	3	1
1	11	13	6	2
2	10	10	5	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Netherlands goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

28%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

28%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	5.8%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
1	11.1%	13.4%	5.6%	1.8%	0.4%
2	10.2%	9.6%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	5.5%	5.2%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.2%	2.1%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Netherlands	Draw	Sweden
Netherlands	32.2%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	18.4%	17.9%	8.3%
Sweden	2.4%	4.1%	11.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Netherlands vs Sweden

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Netherlands — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	H Germany	D	1 - 1
30 Jun	H Morocco	D	1 - 1
25 Jun	A Tunisia	W	1 - 3
20 Jun	H Sweden	W	5 - 1
14 Jun	H Japan	D	2 - 2

Sweden — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
30 Jun	A France	L	3 - 0
25 Jun	A Japan	D	1 - 1
20 Jun	A Netherlands	L	5 - 1
15 Jun	H Tunisia	W	5 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Netherlands

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ronald Koeman

1 Verbruggen

15 Ven

4 Dijk

6 Hecke

22 Dumfries

14 Reijnders

21 Jong

8 Gravenberch

11 Gakpo

19 Brobbey

18 Malen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	B. Verbruggen	G
22	D. Dumfries	D
6	J. P. van Hecke	D
4	V. van Dijk	D
15	M. van de Ven	D
8	R. Gravenberch	M
21	F. de Jong	M
14	T. Reijnders	M
18	D. Malen	F
19	B. Brobbey	F
11	C. Gakpo	F

Substitutes

23	M. Flekken	G
13	R. Roefs	G
10	M. Depay	F
9	W. Weghorst	F
24	C. Summerville	F
12	M. Wieffer	M
3	M. De Roon	M
5	N. Ake	D
20	T. Koopmeiners	M
7	J. Kluivert	F
16	G. Til	M
17	N. Lang	F
2	L. Geertruida	D
25	J. Hato	D

Sweden

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Graham Potter

23 Nordfeldt

3 Lindelof

4 Hien

2 Lagerbielke

16 Karlstrom

5 Gudmundsson

18 Ayari

10 Nygren

21 Bernhardsson

9 Isak

17 Gyökeres

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	K. Nordfeldt	G
2	G. Lagerbielke	D
4	I. Hien	D
3	V. Lindelof	D
16	J. Karlstrom	M
21	A. Bernhardsson	M
10	B. Nygren	M
18	Y. Ayari	M
5	G. Gudmundsson	M
17	V. Gyökeres	F
9	A. Isak	F

Substitutes

1	J. Widell Zetterstrom	G
12	V. Johansson	G
15	C. Starfelt	D
25	G. Nilsson	F
19	M. Svanberg	M
6	H. Johansson	M
26	T. Ali	M
13	K. Sema	M
20	E. Smith	D
14	H. Ekdal	D
11	A. Elanga	F
24	E. Stroud	M
8	D. Svensson	D
7	L. Bergvall	M
22	B. Zeneli	M