Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 19

Post on X

Sydney

Away

Sky Stadium, Wellington

AI прогноза Sydney или равен

34%

28%

37%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 34% chance of winning, Sydney 37% and the draw 28%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Sydney или равен

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Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Sydney

LWWDD

Last 1 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League match, Wellington Phoenix will host Sydney FC on March 1, 2026. Wellington has shown a solid home record, winning 60% of their matches at home this season, while Sydney has been strong away, securing 55% of their points on the road. Both teams have potent attacking options, with Wellington averaging 1.5 goals per game and Sydney slightly higher at 1.7. However, Wellington's defense has been more resilient, conceding only 1.2 goals per match compared to Sydney’s 1.5. This match could hinge on Wellington's ability to capitalize on home advantage versus Sydney's experience in high-pressure situations.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

37%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sydney goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	12	7	3	1
1	11	13	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Wellington Phoenix

I. Eze 9 gls

Sydney

T. Quintal 5 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney

1 Wellington Phoenix Wins

0 Draws

0 Sydney Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Sydney	0 - 2	Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Sydney — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Sep	H Melbourne Victory	L	0 - 2
09 Aug	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 4
21 Jul	A Bayswater City	W	1 - 5
26 Apr	H Auckland	D	2 - 2
18 Apr	H Perth Glory	D	0 - 0

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.