Lorient vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Auxerre

Away

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Lorient

60%

26%

15%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lorient vs Auxerre prediction: Sportiko gives Lorient a 60% chance of winning, Auxerre 15% and the draw 26%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Lorient

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Lorient

LDWLD

Auxerre

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Lorient · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on March 1, 2026, Lorient will host Auxerre at Stade du Moustoir. Lorient has shown a solid home record this season, boasting a win rate of approximately 60% at home, while Auxerre has struggled on the road, recording only two wins in their last ten away matches. Key players to watch include Lorient's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Auxerre's defensive stalwart, who leads in interceptions. Given Lorient's home advantage and Auxerre's defensive vulnerabilities, the odds favor a Lorient victory, potentially impacting the relegation battle for Auxerre.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Auxerre goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	7	2
1	18	11	3	1
2	14	8	3	1
3	7	4	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Lorient goals · most likely 1–0 (18.1%)

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Players in form

Lorient

B. Dieng 10 gls

P. Pagis 10 gls

Auxerre

L. Sinayoko 12 gls

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Auxerre

1 Lorient Wins

0 Draws

2 Auxerre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Aug 2025	Auxerre	1 - 0	Lorient
26 Feb 2023	Lorient	0 - 1	Auxerre
16 Sep 2022	Auxerre	1 - 3	Lorient

See all 7 meetings — Premium

Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Le Mans	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Lens	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Estac Troyes	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Nice	D	0 - 0

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.