Pisa vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Post on X

Lecce

Away

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa

AI прогноза Lecce или равен

22%

31%

47%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Pisa vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives Pisa a 22% chance of winning, Lecce 47% and the draw 31%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Pisa and Lecce played out a goalless first half, with the only notable moment coming when Antonio Caracciolo picked up a yellow card in the 43rd minute. The home side dominated possession at 58% and created the better chances throughout, but could not find a breakthrough before the interval.

The second half proved far more eventful. Lecce struck twice in quick succession, with Lameck Banda opening the scoring in the 52nd minute before Mehdi Léris doubled the advantage just four minutes later. Pisa responded swiftly through Walid Cheddira, who pulled one back in the 65th minute, though the striker was immediately booked and then substituted shortly after. Despite Pisa's statistical dominance — 17 total shots to Lecce's seven and an expected goals figure of 2.23 compared to 0.88 — they could not find an equaliser.

Lecce held on to claim all three points in a disciplined rearguard display, with both sides picking up multiple yellow cards in a fractious closing period. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lecce win as the most likely outcome at 47%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Antonio Caracciolo Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 52'

Lameck Banda assist: Walid Cheddira

Mehdi Léris

56' ⚽ 1–1

Michel Aebischer Yellow Card

61' ▮

Samuele Angori ⇄ Idrissa Touré

64' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 65'

Walid Cheddira assist: Santiago Pierotti

▮ 66'

Walid Cheddira Yellow Card

Filip Stojilković ⇄ Henrik Wendel Meister

70' ⇄

Isak Vural ⇄ Gabriele Piccinini

70' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Walid Cheddira ⇄ Francesco Camarda

⇄ 71'

Lameck Banda ⇄ Gaby Jean

Rosen Bozhinov ⇄ Juan Cuadrado

81' ⇄

Ebenezer Akinsanmiro ⇄ Rafiu Durosinmi

81' ⇄

Rafiu Durosinmi Yellow Card

82' ▮

▮ 88'

Santiago Pierotti Yellow Card

Henrik Wendel Meister Yellow Card

90' ▮

⇄ 90+3'

Santiago Pierotti ⇄ Omri Gandelman

FT 1–2

Pisa

Match Stats

Lecce

58% Ball Possession 42%

2.23 Expected Goals (xG) 0.88

17 Total Shots 7

7 Shots on Goal 4

5 Shots off Goal 2

5 Blocked Shots 1

13 Shots insidebox 6

4 Shots outsidebox 1

6 Corner Kicks 1

6 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 13

4 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

396 Total passes 285

309 Passes accurate 203

78% Passes % 71%

0.54 goals_prevented 0.54

Pisa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Mehdi Léris M	7.7	90'	1	–	1	16 (14%)	3
15 Idrissa Touré M	7.6	26'	–	–	2	14 (12%)	2
3 Samuele Angori M	7.2	64'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	2
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M	7.2	81'	–	–	–	34 (26%)	5
11 Juan Cuadrado M	7.0	9'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
81 Filip Stojilković F	6.7	70'	–	–	2	9 (6%)	1
1 Adrian Šemper G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	33 (25%)	–
20 Michel Aebischer M	6.5	90'	–	–	2	59 (43%)	1
32 Stefano Moreo F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	32 (21%)	–
2 Rosen Bozhinov D	6.5	81'	–	–	–	53 (41%)	1
17 Rafiu Durosinmi F	6.5	9'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
4 Antonio Caracciolo D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	48 (43%)	2
36 Gabriele Piccinini M	6.3	20'	–	–	1	12 (11%)	–
21 Isak Vural M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
9 Henrik Wendel Meister F	6.2	20'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
5 Simone Canestrelli D	5.6	90'	–	–	2	26 (20%)	1

Lecce

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Lameck Banda M	8.3	71'	1	–	2	14 (10%)	–
99 Walid Cheddira F	7.5	71'	1	1	1	10 (8%)	1
30 Wladimiro Falcone G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	24 (5%)	–
17 Danilo Veiga D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	29 (19%)	2
5 Jamil Siebert D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	–
44 Tiago Gabriel D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	–
79 Oumar Ngom M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	21 (15%)	2
29 Lassana Coulibaly M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	26 (22%)	2
20 Ylber Ramadani M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	29 (25%)	3
50 Santiago Pierotti M	6.7	89'	–	1	–	23 (15%)	1
18 Gaby Jean D	6.7	19'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
25 Antonino Gallo D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	26 (19%)	1
22 Francesco Camarda F	6.2	19'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	1
16 Omri Gandelman M	—	1'	–	–	–	2	–

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Lecce или равен

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Pisa

DLLWW

Lecce

LWLLW

Last 1 meetings Pisa · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on May 3, 2026, Pisa will host Lecce at their home ground. Pisa has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could be a critical factor against Lecce, who have shown a more dynamic attack, averaging 1.5 goals per match. Lecce's away form has been inconsistent, but they possess a solid midfield that can control the game's tempo. Pisa will need to capitalize on home advantage and improve their defensive organization to secure points. This match could be pivotal for both teams' aspirations, with relegation and mid-table safety hanging in the balance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lecce goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16	18	11	4	1
1	11	13	7	3	1
2	4	4	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Pisa goals · most likely 0–1 (18.2%)

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Players in form

Pisa

No scorer data.

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Pisa vs Lecce

0 Pisa Wins

0 Draws

1 Lecce Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Dec 2025	Lecce	1 - 0	Pisa

Pisa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Mantova	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	A Fiorentina	L	3 - 0
11 Sep	H Virtus Entella	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Juve Stabia	W	0 - 3
30 Aug	H Catanzaro	W	2 - 1

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Pisa

Formation: 3-5-1-1 Coach: Oscar Hiljemark

1 Semper

2 Bozhinov

4 Caracciolo

5 Canestrelli

3 Angori

20 Aebischer

14 Akinsanmiro

21 Vural

7 Leris

32 Moreo

81 Stojilkovic

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Semper	G
5	S. Canestrelli	D
4	A. Caracciolo	D
2	R. Bozhinov	D
7	M. Leris	M
21	I. Vural	M
14	E. Akinsanmiro	M
20	M. Aebischer	M
3	S. Angori	M
32	S. Moreo	F
81	F. Stojilkovic	F

Substitutes

12	Nicolas Andrade	G
22	S. Scuffet	G
39	R. Albiol	D
11	J. Cuadrado	M
33	A. Calabresi	D
15	I. Toure	M
26	F. Coppola	D
8	M. Hojholt	M
19	S. Iling Junior	F
9	H. Meister	F
99	Lorran	M
23	C. Stengs	M
36	G. Piccinini	M
35	F. Loyola	D
17	R. Durosinmi	F

Lecce

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco

30 Falcone

25 Gallo

44 Gabriel

5 Siebert

17 Veiga

79 Ngom

20 Ramadani

19 Banda

29 Coulibaly

50 Pierotti

99 Cheddira

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	W. Falcone	G
17	D. Veiga	D
5	J. Siebert	D
44	Tiago Gabriel	D
25	A. Gallo	D
20	Y. Ramadani	M
79	O. Ngom	M
50	S. Pierotti	M
29	L. Coulibaly	M
19	L. Banda	M
99	W. Cheddira	F

Substitutes

1	C. Fruchtl	G
32	J. Samooja	G
14	T. J. Helgason	M
36	F. Marchwinski	M
16	O. Gandelman	M
6	A. Sala	M
28	O. Gorter	M
22	F. Camarda	F
3	C. Ndaba	D
11	K. Ndri	F
18	G. Jean	D
9	N. Stulic	F
80	N. Kovac	M
13	M. Perez	D