Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Sportiko gives Mallorca a 39% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 31% and the draw 29%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Mallorca claimed a comfortable 3–0 victory over Rayo Vallecano in La Liga matchday 31, with the hosts in control for much of the contest. The tone was set early as yellow cards for Nobel Mendy and Florian Lejeune added an edgy feel to the first half, before Mallorca struck twice in quick succession through goals on 36 and 40 minutes to head into the break with a commanding 2–0 lead.
Rayo made changes at the interval, withdrawing Mendy and Óscar Valentín, but struggled to find a way back into the game. Andrei Rațiu was booked for Mallorca on 65 minutes, though that had little bearing on the outcome as the hosts added a third goal almost immediately to put the result beyond doubt. Further substitutions from both sides failed to alter the pattern of play in the closing stages.
Mallorca finished with 55% possession and 17 total shots, comfortably outworking their visitors across the pitch. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Mallorca win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that proved correct as the hosts secured a convincing three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Mallorca
Match Stats
Mallorca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Vedat Muriqi F | 7.9 | 90' | 2 | – | 2 | 19 (10%) | 1 |
| 17 Jan Virgili F | 7.7 | 28' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (3%) | – |
| 1 Leo Román G | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (38%) | – |
| 22 Johan Mojica D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (30%) | 2 |
| 10 Sergi Darder M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | 2 |
| 20 Pablo Torre M | 7.5 | 72' | – | 1 | 3 | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 27 David López D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (35%) | 1 |
| 11 Takuma Asano F | 7.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 3 |
| 12 Samú Costa M | 7.2 | 72' | – | 1 | 2 | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 23 Pablo Maffeo D | 7.0 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 5 Omar Mascarell D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | 1 |
| 15 Zito Luvumbo F | 6.9 | 62' | – | 1 | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 4 Marash Kumbulla D | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 8 Manu Morlanes M | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 6 Antonio Sánchez M | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 9 Abdón Prats F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Álvaro García F | 7.3 | 77' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (29%) | 1 |
| 22 Pacha D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 47 (36%) | 3 |
| 23 Óscar Valentín M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 10 Sergio Camello F | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 15 Gerard Gumbau M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (43%) | 3 |
| 12 Ilias Akhomach F | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 3 Josep Chavarría D | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 4 Pedro Díaz M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (39%) | 2 |
| 2 Andrei Rațiu D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (42%) | 7 |
| 9 Alemão F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 24 Florian Lejeune D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (58%) | 1 |
| 19 Jorge de Frutos F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 3 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 11 Randy Nteka F | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 1 Dani Cárdenas G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | – |
| 32 Nobel Mendy D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | Mallorca |
| 24 May 2025 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 - 0 | Mallorca |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Mallorca | 1 - 0 | Rayo Vallecano |
Mallorca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Real Sociedad II | W | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Sabadell | W | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Eldense | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H AD Ceuta FC | W | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Granada CF | L | 2 - 0 |
Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Osasuna | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Espanyol | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Real Madrid | L | 4 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Barcelona | L | 5 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Inigo Perez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Cardenas | G |
| 2 | A. Ratiu | D |
| 24 | F. Lejeune | D |
| 32 | N. Mendy | D |
| 22 | Pacha | D |
| 4 | P. Diaz | M |
| 23 | O. Valentin | M |
| 15 | G. Gumbau | M |
| 12 | I. Akhomach | F |
| 11 | R. Nteka | F |
| 18 | A. Garcia | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | A. Batalla | G |
| 8 | O. Trejo | M |
| 17 | U. Lopez | M |
| 5 | Luiz Felipe | D |
| 9 | Alemao | F |
| 3 | P. Chavarria | D |
| 14 | C. Martin | F |
| 20 | I. Balliu | D |
| 7 | I. Palazon | M |
| 19 | J. de Frutos | F |
| 6 | P. Ciss | M |
| 10 | S. Camello | F |
Mallorca
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Martin Demichelis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Roman | G |
| 23 | P. Maffeo | D |
| 27 | D. Lopez | D |
| 5 | O. Mascarell | D |
| 22 | J. Mojica | D |
| 12 | Samu Costa | M |
| 10 | S. Darder | M |
| 8 | M. Morlanes | M |
| 20 | P. Torre | M |
| 15 | Z. Luvumbo | F |
| 7 | V. Muriqi | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Pichu Cuellar | G |
| 9 | A. Prats | F |
| 11 | T. Asano | F |
| 6 | A. Sanchez | M |
| 19 | J. Llabres | F |
| 4 | M. Kumbulla | D |
| 3 | T. Lato | D |
| 2 | M. Morey Bauza | D |
| 30 | J. Kalumba | F |
| 17 | J. Virgili | F |
| 34 | J. Olaizola | D |
| 39 | J. Garcia | M |