Ilves vs VPS Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 21

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Ilves

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 1

VPS

Away

AI прогноза Ilves или равен

38%

29%

34%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Ilves vs VPS prediction: Sportiko gives Ilves a 38% chance of winning, VPS 34% and the draw 29%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 15:53.

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1st Half Draw or Away 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

S. Lindholm assist: K. Kouassivi-Benissan

J. Kanga Yellow Card

38' ▮

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

J. Kilo ⇄ J. Veteli

46' ⇄

Yellow Card

67' ▮

▮ 69'

Y. Daoussi Yellow Card

⇄ 71'

A. Räisänen

A. Popovitch

76' ⇄

⇄ S. Baranov

76' ⇄

T. Miettunen

81' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Y. Daoussi ⇄ Razak Simpson

⇄ 81'

S. Lindholm ⇄ C. Holmelund

▮ 90'

Razak Simpson Yellow Card

FT 0–1

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Отключи пълния AI анализ за Ilves vs VPS

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Ilves или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Ilves

WWWLL

VPS

LLWLW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

38%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

VPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	11	7	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Ilves goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Ilves

T. Hytönen 7 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

E. Tamminen 3 gls

M. Stjopin 2 gls

VPS

L. Smyth 5 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

34%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 32% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	10.5%	7.2%	2.8%	0.8%
1	9.7%	15.1%	7.8%	3.0%	0.9%
2	6.2%	7.3%	4.3%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.3%	2.6%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ilves	Draw	VPS
Ilves	21.1%	4.4%	1.4%
Draw	10.7%	21.4%	12.2%
VPS	1.2%	4.2%	23.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ilves vs VPS

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

VPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H KuPS	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H AC Oulu	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	H Lahti	L	0 - 1
22 Aug	A Ilves	W	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

VPS

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Jussi Nuorela

41 Jalloh

19 Haukioja

2 Mané

23 Niemi

7 Turfkruier

8 Lima

34 Räisänen

13 Ogunniyi

27 Kouassivi-Benissan

24 Daoussi

14 Lindholm

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
41	Mamadou Jalloh	G
23	Miika Niemi	D
2	Lassana Mané	D
19	Martti Haukioja	D
13	Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi	D
34	Antti-Ville Räisänen	M
8	Paulo Lima	M
7	Jayden Turfkruier	M
24	Yassin Daoussi	M
27	Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan	M
14	Simon Lindholm	M

Substitutes

12	Lucas Väyrynen	G
3	Razak Simpson	D
21	Arnold Adu-Boahen	D
17	Dren Terrnava	M
25	Henri Salomaa	M
30	Joonas Vahtera	M
9	Casper Holmelund	F
20	Xavier Odhiambo	F
29	Wilson Samaké	F

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Camilo Speranza

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

16 Miettunen

4 Pettersson

13 Wallius

14 Popovitch

15 Ala-Myllymäki

19 Bamba

28 Kilo

30 Kanga

9 Hytönen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
4	Oliver Pettersson	D
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
19	Abdoul Goudouss Bamba	D
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
14	Anton Popovitch	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
30	Jardell Kanga	M
28	Jesse Kilo	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F

Substitutes

7	Joona Veteli	M
8	Maksim Stjopin	M
1	Otso Virtanen	G
6	Yiandro Raap	D
24	Ville Kumpu	D
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
33	Yacouba Sacko	M
11	Hamidou Coulibaly	F
45	Elias Tamminen	F