Reading vs Luton Prediction

League One · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Reading

Home

3 : 4

HT 3 - 1

Luton

Away

AI прогноза Luton или равен

34%

28%

37%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Reading vs Luton prediction: Sportiko gives Reading a 34% chance of winning, Luton 37% and the draw 28%. Last updated 15 Aug 2026, 13:33.

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Над 1.5 гола 76%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

Jake Richards assist: Jordan Clark

Jack Marriott

8' ⚽ 1–1

Jack Marriott

31' ⚽ 2–1

Jack Marriott

38' ⚽ 3–1

▮ 39'

Yellow Card

HT 3–1

⚽ 3–2 50'

Kasey Palmer

⚽ 3–3 52'

Kasey Palmer assist: Nahki Wells

⇄ 61'

Josh Stokes ⇄ Randell Williams

65' ⇄

Jack Marriott ⇄ Jacob Brown

65' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Nahki Wells

▮ 72'

Liam Walsh Yellow Card

⇄ Charlie Savage

79' ⇄

Daniel Kyerewaa ⇄ Paddy Lane

79' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Kasey Palmer ⇄ Gideon Kodua

⇄ 81'

Isaiah Jones ⇄ Harrison Ashby

⇄ 90'

Hakeem Odofin ⇄ Mads Andersen

Andy Rinomhota ⇄ Liam Fraser

90+4' ⇄

Paudie O’Connor Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

⚽ 3–4 90+6'

Gideon Kodua assist: Jake Richards

▮ 90+7'

Gideon Kodua Yellow Card

FT 3–4

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Luton или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Reading

WLLWW

Luton

WLLDW

Last 1 meetings Reading · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

37%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Luton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Reading goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Reading

J. Marriott 8 gls

Luton

N. Wells 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	6.8%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.7%	13.9%	7.3%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.0%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.7%	4.4%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Reading	Draw	Luton
Reading	24.1%	4.4%	1.9%
Draw	16.6%	18.2%	12.2%
Luton	2.4%	4.4%	15.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Reading vs Luton

1 Reading Wins

0 Draws

0 Luton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	Luton	2 - 3	Reading

Reading — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Notts County	W	2 - 0
15 Sep	H Brentford	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Cambridge United	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Blackpool	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	H Mansfield Town	W	5 - 0

Luton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Ipswich Town U21	W	6 - 0
19 Sep	H Bradford	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	A Stevenage	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Leyton Orient	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	H Stockport County	W	2 - 0

League One Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bradford	7	5	0	2	7	4	+3	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday	7	4	2	1	13	6	+7	14
3	Plymouth	7	4	1	2	14	10	+4	13
4	Huddersfield	7	3	3	1	11	6	+5	12
5	Cambridge United	7	3	3	1	12	10	+2	12
6	Oxford United	6	3	2	1	13	7	+6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	3	2	2	5	7	-2	11
8	Reading	6	3	1	2	14	7	+7	10
9	Stockport County	7	3	1	3	16	10	+6	10
10	Leyton Orient	7	3	1	3	13	9	+4	10
11	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	11	8	+3	9
12	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	12	12	0	9
13	Leicester	7	2	3	2	9	11	-2	9
14	Wycombe	7	2	3	2	11	14	-3	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	13	13	0	8
16	Luton	7	2	2	3	12	14	-2	8
17	Mansfield Town	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	7	12	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	8	18	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	7	9	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	8	9	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	8	10	-2	6
23	Peterborough	7	1	2	4	4	12	-8	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	5	12	-7	4

Reading

Coach: Leam Richardson

Luton

Coach: Jack Wilshere