Lyon vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Monaco

Away

AI прогноза Monaco или равен

27%

26%

48%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lyon vs Monaco prediction: Sportiko gives Lyon a 27% chance of winning, Monaco 48% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Lyon

WWDWD

Monaco

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Lyon · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Lyon will face Monaco in a highly anticipated Ligue 1 clash on November 28, 2026. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities, with Lyon averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Monaco has a slightly higher average of 2.1 goals. Defensively, Lyon has struggled, conceding 1.5 goals per match, compared to Monaco's more solid average of 1.2. Set pieces and individual brilliance will likely play a crucial role, as both teams possess key players capable of turning the match in their favor. The outcome will hinge on which side can capitalize on defensive lapses and maintain composure under pressure.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

48%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	6	7	4	2	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	4	7	6	4	2	1
3	2	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Lyon goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Players in form

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Home Win

27%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

40%

79%

4.5

21%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Home Win

27%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 27% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

40%

79%

4.5

21%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	6.2%	7.0%	4.4%	2.1%
1	4.1%	11.5%	9.6%	6.0%	2.8%
2	3.7%	7.0%	6.5%	4.1%	1.9%
3	1.7%	3.2%	2.9%	1.8%	0.9%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

45%

1.5

55%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lyon	Draw	Monaco
Lyon	15.6%	4.5%	3.0%
Draw	9.8%	14.5%	15.9%
Monaco	2.0%	4.5%	30.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Monaco

1 Lyon Wins

0 Draws

2 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Lyon	1 - 2	Monaco
03 Jan 2026	Monaco	1 - 3	Lyon
10 May 2025	Monaco	2 - 0	Lyon

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Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.