Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 14:00

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Sunderland

Away

AI прогноза Bournemouth печели

83%

15%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction: Sportiko gives Bournemouth a 83% chance of winning, Sunderland 3% and the draw 15%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.1%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Bournemouth

LWDWD

Sunderland

LWLWD

Last 3 meetings Bournemouth · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Bournemouth will face Sunderland. Bournemouth has shown a solid attacking approach, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Sunderland has been more defensively oriented, allowing 1.2 goals per match. Key players to watch include Bournemouth's top scorer, who has netted 5 goals, and Sunderland’s goalkeeper, boasting a save percentage of 75%. The outcome may hinge on Bournemouth's ability to exploit defensive lapses in Sunderland's backline. Expect a tactical battle as both teams vie for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

83%

10%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sunderland goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	1
1	16	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Bournemouth goals · most likely 2–0 (20.1%)

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Players in form

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

Sunderland

B. Brobbey 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

60% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

83% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	16.3%	5.8%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.1%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.9%	4.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.4%	2.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bournemouth	Draw	Sunderland
Bournemouth	58.8%	1.2%	0.1%
Draw	23.7%	10.6%	1.4%
Sunderland	1.4%	1.4%	1.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs Sunderland

1 Bournemouth Wins

1 Draws

1 Sunderland Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Sunderland
29 Nov 2025	Sunderland	3 - 2	Bournemouth
29 Apr 2017	Sunderland	0 - 1	Bournemouth

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Manchester City	L	5 - 3
16 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 2
08 Sep	H Hull City	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.