Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Post on X

Nottingham Forest

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

Previsione AI Chelsea o pareggio

37%

28%

35%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: Sportiko assegna a Chelsea una probabilità di vittoria del 37%, a Nottingham Forest del 35% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Chelsea suffered a damaging home defeat as Nottingham Forest produced a ruthless counter-attacking display at Stamford Bridge. Taiwo Awoniyi struck inside two minutes to give Forest an immediate advantage, and a VAR-confirmed penalty converted by Igor Jesus shortly after extended the lead to 2–0 before half-time. Chelsea's afternoon was further complicated by yellow cards for Morato and Malo Gusto in quick succession during that chaotic opening spell.

Despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides at the interval, Forest continued to punish Chelsea on the break. Awoniyi added his second of the match just after the hour mark, putting the result beyond doubt. Chelsea's hopes of a comeback were dealt a further blow when a João Pedro goal was ruled out by VAR in the 75th minute, though the Brazilian did find the net in stoppage time to give the scoreline a marginally more respectable look for the hosts.

The statistics told a story of dominance without reward for Chelsea, who controlled 67% of possession and registered 21 total shots compared to Forest's six. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Chelsea win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Forest claimed a commanding three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 2'

Taiwo Awoniyi assist: Dilane Bakwa

▮ 10'

Morato Yellow Card

🖵 13'

Taiwo Awoniyi Penalty confirmed

Malo Gusto Yellow Card

14' ▮

⚽ 0–2 15'

Igor Jesus Penalty

⇄ 45+5'

⇄ Neco Williams

Jesse Derry ⇄ Liam Delap

45+9' ⇄

HT 0–2

Tosin Adarabioyo

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Jair ⇄ Nikola Milenković

⇄ 46'

Igor Jesus ⇄ Morgan Gibbs-White

⇄ 46'

Nicolás Domínguez ⇄ Elliot Anderson

⚽ 0–3 52'

Taiwo Awoniyi assist: Morgan Gibbs-White

Roméo Lavia ⇄ Andrey Santos

58' ⇄

Robert Sánchez

66' ⇄

⇄ 66'

⇄ Chris Wood

João Pedro Goal cancelled

75' 🖵

Liam Delap Yellow Card

78' ▮

Moisés Caicedo Yellow Card

78' ▮

⇄ 80'

Dilane Bakwa ⇄ Omari Hutchinson

João Pedro assist: Marc Cucurella

90' ⚽ 1–3

FT 1–3

Chelsea

Match Stats

Nottingham Forest

67% Ball Possession 33%

2.15 Expected Goals (xG) 2.05

21 Total Shots 6

5 Shots on Goal 4

8 Shots off Goal 1

8 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 6

9 Shots outsidebox 1

10 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

659 Total passes 334

597 Passes accurate 267

91% Passes % 80%

0.62 goals_prevented 0.62

Chelsea

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 João Pedro F	7.9	90'	1	–	2	27 (20%)	–
8 Enzo Fernández M	7.5	90'	–	–	2	79 (71%)	1
17 Andrey Santos M	7.2	32'	–	–	–	44 (41%)	1
25 Moisés Caicedo M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	87 (82%)	3
45 Roméo Lavia M	6.9	58'	–	–	–	44 (40%)	3
6 Levi Colwill D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	48 (43%)	1
55 Jesse Derry M	6.6	44'	–	–	2	13 (12%)	1
12 Filip Jørgensen G	6.3	24'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
3 Marc Cucurella D	6.2	90'	–	1	1	62 (56%)	2
23 Trevoh Chalobah D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	78 (73%)	–
1 Robert Sánchez G	6.2	66'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
9 Liam Delap F	6.2	46'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
4 Tosin Adarabioyo D	6.2	45'	–	–	–	53 (48%)	2
27 Malo Gusto D	5.9	90'	–	–	1	54 (53%)	–
10 Cole Palmer M	5.9	90'	–	–	3	44 (39%)	–

Nottingham Forest

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Taiwo Awoniyi F	8.7	90'	2	–	2	7 (5%)	–
26 Matz Sels G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	31 (15%)	–
29 Dilane Bakwa M	7.5	80'	–	1	–	17 (15%)	1
10 Morgan Gibbs-White M	7.3	21'	–	1	–	8 (5%)	–
23 Jair D	7.3	45'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	1
8 Elliot Anderson M	7.2	45'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	2
16 Nicolás Domínguez M	7.0	45'	–	–	–	23 (23%)	2
11 Chris Wood F	6.9	24'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
19 Igor Jesus F	6.9	45'	1	–	2	10 (10%)	–
22 Ryan Yates M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	2
25 Luca Netz D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	6
31 Nikola Milenković D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	18 (18%)	–
4 Morato D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	43 (31%)	1
3 Neco Williams D	6.5	46'	–	–	–	19 (16%)	4
44 Zach Abbott D	6.5	44'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	2
21 Omari Hutchinson F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
24 James McAtee M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	27 (21%)	1

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Chelsea o pareggio

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Chelsea

LDWLW

Nottingham Forest

LWDDL

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match on May 2, 2026, Chelsea will host Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea, historically strong at home, has shown a solid performance this season, ranking in the top half of the table with a robust attack averaging 2.1 goals per match. Nottingham Forest, while improved from their previous campaign, struggles against top-tier teams, recording only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures. Chelsea's defensive stability, with an average of less than 1 goal conceded per match, will likely pose a significant challenge for Forest's attack. Overall, Chelsea is favored to secure a victory, bolstered by their home advantage and current form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nottingham Forest goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	11	6	2	1
1	11	13	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

Nottingham Forest

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest

2 Chelsea Wins

1 Draws

0 Nottingham Forest Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Oct 2025	Nottingham Forest	0 - 3	Chelsea
25 May 2025	Nottingham Forest	0 - 1	Chelsea
06 Oct 2024	Chelsea	1 - 1	Nottingham Forest

Vedi tutti i 7 incontri — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Coventry	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Aston Villa	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Tottenham	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Liverpool	D	2 - 2
25 Aug	H Leeds	L	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2