Bologna vs Inter Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

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Inter

Away

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter

22%

26%

52%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Bologna vs Inter prediction: Sportiko gives Bologna a 22% chance of winning, Inter 52% and the draw 26%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Inter came into this final Serie A fixture as slight favourites, and they made an early statement when Federico Dimarco opened the scoring in the 22nd minute. Bologna responded almost immediately through Federico Bernardeschi three minutes later, before Tommaso Pobega gave the hosts a 2–1 lead just before the break, a spell that also saw Lautaro Martínez collect a yellow card.

Inter levelled early in the second half via a Piotr Zieliński own goal in the 48th minute, and Inter's coaching staff made a triple substitution shortly after, withdrawing Barella, Dimarco and the booked Martínez. Francesco Pio Esposito then put Inter ahead for the first time at 2–3 in the 64th minute, seemingly setting the visitors up for victory. However, Bologna refused to yield, and Andy Diouf struck in the 86th minute to earn the hosts a share of the spoils.

The final scoreline of 3–3 reflected an entertaining contest in which Inter edged possession at 55% and created the higher expected goals figure of 1.78. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as the most likely outcome at 52%, though ultimately neither side could secure all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 22'

Federico Dimarco

Federico Bernardeschi

25' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 41'

Lautaro Martínez Yellow Card

Tommaso Pobega

42' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

Piotr Zieliński Own Goal

48' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 54'

Nicolò Barella ⇄ Henrikh Mkhitaryan

⇄ 54'

Federico Dimarco ⇄ Luís Henrique

⇄ 54'

Lautaro Martínez ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny

⚽ 3–2 64'

Francesco Pio Esposito

Remo Freuler ⇄ Nikola Moro

66' ⇄

Lorenzo De Silvestri ⇄ Nadir Zortea

66' ⇄

Tommaso Pobega ⇄ Jens Odgaard

66' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Petar Sučić ⇄ Matteo Cocchi

▮ 77'

Henrikh Mkhitaryan Yellow Card

Eivind Helland ⇄ Torbjørn Heggem

81' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Stefan de Vrij

⚽ 3–3 86'

Andy Diouf

Federico Bernardeschi ⇄ Thijs Dallinga

88' ⇄

FT 3–3

Bologna

Match Stats

Inter

45% Ball Possession 55%

1.40 Expected Goals (xG) 1.78

11 Total Shots 11

3 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 1

6 Shots insidebox 9

5 Shots outsidebox 2

1 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 0

15 Fouls 14

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

385 Total passes 480

346 Passes accurate 423

90% Passes % 88%

-1.81 goals_prevented -1.81

Bologna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Federico Bernardeschi F	7.9	88'	1	–	2	21 (19%)	–
4 Tommaso Pobega M	7.7	66'	1	–	1	20 (19%)	1
8 Remo Freuler M	7.2	66'	–	–	2	31 (31%)	1
11 Jonathan Rowe F	7.2	90'	–	–	1	27 (23%)	2
19 Lewis Ferguson M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	48 (46%)	1
21 Jens Odgaard F	6.9	24'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	2
26 Jhon Lucumí D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	1
9 Santiago Castro F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	15 (14%)	1
14 Torbjørn Heggem D	6.3	9'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
6 Nikola Moro M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	2
20 Nadir Zortea D	6.3	24'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
5 Eivind Helland D	6.2	81'	–	–	–	54 (46%)	–
33 Juan Miranda D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	1
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri D	5.9	66'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	–
1 Łukasz Skorupski G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	38 (28%)	–
24 Thijs Dallinga F	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

Inter

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
32 Federico Dimarco M	7.9	54'	1	–	2	38 (34%)	–
94 Francesco Pio Esposito F	7.3	90'	1	–	2	21 (14%)	1
17 Andy Diouf M	7.2	90'	1	–	3	36 (32%)	–
43 Matteo Cocchi D	6.9	16'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
31 Yann Bisseck D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	55 (52%)	1
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M	6.6	36'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
11 Luís Henrique F	6.6	36'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
58 Luka Topalović M	6.6	9'	–	1	–	5 (3%)	–
10 Lautaro Martínez F	6.5	54'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	–
8 Petar Sučić M	6.3	74'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	4
23 Nicolò Barella M	6.3	54'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	1
14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F	6.2	36'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
6 Stefan de Vrij D	6.2	81'	–	–	1	33 (32%)	2
13 Josep Martínez G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	–
7 Piotr Zieliński M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (40%)	1
30 Carlos Augusto D	5.9	90'	–	–	2	52 (45%)	–

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter

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Bologna

WDLDW

Inter

DWDDW

Last 3 meetings Bologna · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on May 24, 2026, Bologna will host Inter Milan at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, but they face a formidable opponent in Inter, who have been dominant in attack, led by their prolific forwards. Inter's away form remains strong, with a high possession rate and an average of 2.5 goals per match this season. Bologna will need to exploit any counter-attacking opportunities while remaining organized defensively to stifle Inter’s offensive threats. This match is crucial for both teams, with Bologna aiming for a top-half finish and Inter looking to secure a Champions League spot.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inter goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	14	11	5	2	1
1	8	12	9	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Bologna goals · most likely 0–1 (14.0%)

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Head to Head: Bologna vs Inter

1 Bologna Wins

1 Draws

1 Inter Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Jan 2026	Inter	3 - 1	Bologna
20 Apr 2025	Bologna	1 - 0	Inter
15 Jan 2025	Inter	2 - 2	Bologna

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Bologna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	H Iraklis 1908	W	2 - 0
22 Jul	H 1. FC Heidenheim	D	1 - 1
18 Jul	H Arminia Bielefeld	L	0 - 2
23 May	H Inter	D	3 - 3
17 May	A Atalanta	W	0 - 1

Inter — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Manchester City	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Karlsruher SC	W	1 - 2
23 May	A Bologna	D	3 - 3
17 May	H Hellas Verona	D	1 - 1
09 May	A Lazio	W	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Bologna

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

1 Skorupski

33 Miranda

26 Lucumi

5 Helland

29 Silvestri

4 Pobega

8 Freuler

19 Ferguson

11 Rowe

9 Castro

10 Bernardeschi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	L. Skorupski	G
29	L. De Silvestri	D
5	E. Fauske Helland	D
26	J. Lucumi	D
33	J. Miranda	D
19	L. Ferguson	M
8	R. Freuler	M
4	T. Pobega	M
10	F. Bernardeschi	F
9	S. Castro	F
11	J. Rowe	F

Substitutes

13	F. Ravaglia	G
25	M. Pessina	G
6	N. Moro	M
14	T. Heggem	D
20	N. Zortea	D
24	T. Dallinga	F
30	B. Dominguez	F
22	C. Lykogiannis	D
21	J. Odgaard	F
17	Joao Mario	D
23	S. Sohm	M

Inter

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Cristian Chivu

13 Martinez

30 Augusto

6 Vrij

31 Bisseck

32 Dimarco

7 Zielinski

8 Sucic

23 Barella

17 Diouf

10 Martinez

94 Esposito

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	J. Martinez	G
31	Y. Bisseck	D
6	S. de Vrij	D
30	Carlos Augusto	D
17	A. Diouf	M
23	N. Barella	M
8	P. Sucic	M
7	P. Zielinski	M
32	F. Dimarco	M
94	F. Esposito	F
10	L. Martinez	F

Substitutes

1	Y. Sommer	G
12	R. Di Gennaro	G
36	M. Darmian	D
22	H. Mkhitaryan	M
95	A. Bastoni	D
57	I. Kaczmarski	M
58	L. Topalovic	M
43	M. Cocchi	D
48	M. Mosconi	F
15	F. Acerbi	D
11	Luis Henrique	F
14	A. Bonny	F