Elche vs Barcelona Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Barcelona

Away

Previsione AI Barcelona vince o pareggia

12%

19%

69%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Elche vs Barcelona: Sportiko assegna a Elche una probabilità di vittoria del 12%, a Barcelona del 69% e al pareggio del 19%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Aug 2026, 21:28.

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Under 3.5 Gol 71%

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Match Report

Barcelona swept aside Elche 5-0 in this La Liga fixture, with the visitors never truly threatened despite the hosts enjoying the majority of possession. Raphinha opened the scoring from the penalty spot on 14 minutes, and Karim Adeyemi added a second deep into first-half stoppage time to put Barcelona firmly in control at the break.

The second half brought more of the same. Raphinha struck again on 67 minutes to make it three, before Fermín López took centre stage, netting twice in quick succession on 71 and 79 minutes to complete a comprehensive rout. Barcelona's expected goals figure of 4.13 against just 0.70 for Elche underlined the one-sided nature of the contest, with the home side managing only two shots on target across the ninety minutes.

The result was little surprise — our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win as the most likely outcome at 69%. Elche, who had Ali Houary booked in the first half before being substituted early in the second, will need to regroup quickly ahead of their next outing.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

Raphinha Penalty

Ali Houary Yellow Card

33' ▮

⇄ 45'

Pablo Gavi ⇄ Pedri

⚽ 0–2 45+3'

Karim Adeyemi assist: Raphinha

HT 0–2

Tete Morente ⇄ Lucas Cepeda

64' ⇄

Marc Aguado ⇄ Martim Neto

64' ⇄

Ali Houary ⇄ Facundo Buonanotte

64' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Karim Adeyemi ⇄ Dani Olmo

⇄ 65'

Lamine Yamal ⇄ Anthony Gordon

⚽ 0–3 67'

Raphinha assist: Anthony Gordon

Fernando Niño ⇄ Ezequiel Ponce

69' ⇄

⚽ 0–4 71'

Fermín López assist: Anthony Gordon

⚽ 0–5 79'

Fermín López assist: Xavi Espart

⇄ 80'

Marc Bernal ⇄ Jules Koundé

⇄ 80'

Raphinha ⇄ João Cancelo

Federico Redondo ⇄ Pedro Bigas

81' ⇄

FT 0–5

Elche

Match Stats

Barcelona

45% Ball Possession 55%

0.70 Expected Goals (xG) 4.13

7 Total Shots 11

2 Shots on Goal 7

5 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 0

5 Shots insidebox 10

2 Shots outsidebox 1

3 Corner Kicks 1

3 Offsides 3

12 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

402 Total passes 500

318 Passes accurate 436

79% Passes % 87%

0.21 goals_prevented 0.21

Elche

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Ezequiel Ponce F	6.9	20'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	1
12 Gonzalo Villar M	6.7	89'	–	–	–	41 (37%)	2
14 Fernando Niño F	6.7	69'	–	–	–	18 (11%)	1
21 Lucas Cepeda F	6.6	25'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
6 Pedro Bigas D	6.5	8'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
10 Facundo Buonanotte M	6.5	25'	–	–	2	6 (3%)	–
8 Marc Aguado M	6.3	64'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	1
20 Tete Morente M	6.2	64'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	–
16 Martim Neto M	6.2	25'	–	–	1	5 (2%)	–
1 Matías Dituro G	5.9	89'	–	–	–	49 (33%)	–
29 Ali Houary M	5.9	64'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	1
11 Germán Valera D	5.5	89'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	1
23 Víctor Chust D	5.5	89'	–	–	–	53 (48%)	2
5 Federico Redondo D	5.3	81'	–	–	–	54 (47%)	2
22 David Affengruber D	5.0	89'	–	–	1	42 (32%)	–
2 Buba Sangare D	5.0	89'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	1

Barcelona

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Raphinha F	9.9	80'	2	1	3	18 (15%)	–
7 Fermín López M	8.6	89'	2	–	2	30 (25%)	2
17 Anthony Gordon F	7.9	24'	–	2	1	12 (12%)	–
24 Eric García D	7.5	89'	–	–	–	64 (55%)	3
14 Karim Adeyemi M	7.5	65'	1	–	1	19 (11%)	–
36 Xavi Espart D	7.5	89'	–	1	–	50 (42%)	6
18 Gerard Martín D	7.3	89'	–	–	–	55 (53%)	1
1 Joan García G	7.0	89'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	–
22 Marc Bernal M	7.0	80'	–	–	1	42 (32%)	8
15 Andreas Christensen D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	69 (69%)	–
8 Pedri M	6.7	44'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	1
6 Pablo Gavi M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	1
10 Lamine Yamal M	6.7	65'	–	–	2	29 (22%)	1
23 Jules Koundé D	6.7	9'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	–
20 Dani Olmo M	6.5	24'	–	–	1	14 (13%)	–
2 João Cancelo D	6.5	9'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	–

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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Barcelona vince o pareggia

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Elche

WLDLL

Barcelona

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Elche · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Elche faces Barcelona at their home ground. Barcelona enters the match with a strong attacking record, having averaged over 2.5 goals per game last season, driven by key players in their forward line. Elche, while solid defensively, struggled against top-tier teams, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in similar fixtures. The tactical battle will likely see Barcelona dominate possession, while Elche will need to capitalize on counter-attacks to create scoring opportunities. Overall, Barcelona's superior quality and depth make them the favorites in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Barcelona goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	11	7	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Elche goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

19%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

19%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	10.5%	11.0%	6.8%	3.1%
1	4.4%	12.2%	10.0%	6.2%	2.9%
2	2.7%	4.9%	4.5%	2.8%	1.3%
3	0.8%	1.5%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Elche	Draw	Barcelona
Elche	8.5%	3.3%	2.2%
Draw	7.6%	15.8%	18.4%
Barcelona	1.4%	4.3%	38.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Elche vs Barcelona

0 Elche Wins

0 Draws

3 Barcelona Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Elche	1 - 3	Barcelona
02 Nov 2025	Barcelona	3 - 1	Elche
01 Apr 2023	Elche	0 - 4	Barcelona

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Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Barcelona

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: H. Flick

1 García

36 Espart

18 Martín

15 Christensen

24 García

6 Gavi

22 Bernal

14 Adeyemi

7 López

10 Yamal

11 Raphinha

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Joan García	G
24	Eric García	D
15	Andreas Christensen	D
18	Gerard Martín	D
36	Xavi Espart	D
22	Marc Bernal	M
6	Gavi	M
10	Lamine Yamal	M
7	Fermín López	M
14	Karim Adeyemi	M
11	Raphinha	F

Substitutes

8	Pedri	M
31	Eder Aller	G
13	Wojciech Szczęsny	G
23	Jules Koundé	D
2	João Cancelo	D
33	Jordi Pesquer	D
26	Álvaro Cortés	D
5	Pau Cubarsí	D
28	Brian Fariñas	M
20	Dani Olmo	M
29	Hamza Abdelkarim	F
17	Anthony Gordon	F

Elche

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Martin Anselmi

1 Dituro

11 Valera

23 Chust

5 Redondo

22 Affengruber

2 Sangaré

29 Houary

8 Aguado

12 Villar

20 Morente

14 Niño

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Matías Dituro	G
2	Buba Sangaré	D
22	David Affengruber	D
5	Federico Redondo	D
23	Víctor Chust	D
11	Germán Valera	D
20	Tete Morente	M
12	Gonzalo Villar	M
8	Marc Aguado	M
29	Ali Houary	M
14	Fernando Niño	F

Substitutes

43	Alejandro Iturbe	G
6	Pedro Bigas	D
26	Matia Barzić	D
21	Lucas Cepeda	F
16	Martim Neto	M
17	Josan	M
10	Facundo Buonanotte	M
19	Grady Diangana	F
47	Javi Morcillo	M
30	Alvaro Padilla	F
9	Ezequiel Ponce	F
36	Umaru Konare Tounkara	F