Bournemouth vs Sunderland Previsione

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
Previsione AI Bournemouth o pareggio
44%
29%
27%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Sportiko assegna a Bournemouth una probabilità di vittoria del 44%, a Sunderland del 27% e al pareggio del 29%. Ultimo aggiornamento 18 Oct 2026, 14:59.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • Under 3.5 Gol 73%
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Match Report

Bournemouth claimed a comfortable 2–0 Premier League victory over Sunderland, with the outcome shaped early by a red card that left the visitors chasing the game for the majority of the contest. Marcus Tavernier opened the scoring in just the sixth minute, and when Kevin Danso was dismissed in the 17th, Sunderland's task became near-impossible.

The hosts dominated throughout, finishing with 65% possession, 29 total shots and an expected goals figure of 4.46 compared to Sunderland's 0.13 — a statistical gulf that reflected the one-sided nature of the afternoon. Evanilson added a second three minutes into the second half to put the result beyond doubt. Sunderland, meanwhile, failed to register a single shot on target across the entire 90 minutes.

Our pre-match AI model had flagged a Bournemouth win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved correct. The result lifts Bournemouth's early-season momentum, while Sunderland's afternoon was further disrupted by a flurry of yellow cards and substitutions that underlined the difficulty of playing the final 70-plus minutes a man down.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Marcus Tavernier assist: Evanilson
6' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 17'
Kevin Danso Red Card
António Silva Yellow Card
26' ▮
▮ 40'
Omar Alderete Yellow Card
Lewis Cook Yellow Card
45+6' ▮
HT 1–0
Evanilson
48' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 59'
Timur Tuterov ⇄ Habib Diarra
⇄ 59'
Omar Alderete ⇄ Luke O'Nien
Lewis Cook ⇄ J. Kluivert
62' ⇄
▮ 65'
Chris Rigg Yellow Card
⇄ 65'
Chris Rigg ⇄ Jules Ahoka
Ryan Christie Yellow Card
79' ▮
Evanilson ⇄ Álvaro Rodriguez
79' ⇄
Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Amine Adli
79' ⇄
Tyler Adams ⇄ Bafodé Diakité
89' ⇄
Rayan ⇄ Ben Gannon-Doak
89' ⇄
FT 2–0
Bournemouth

Match Stats

Sunderland
65% Ball Possession 35%
4.46 Expected Goals (xG) 0.13
29 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Goal 0
15 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 0
20 Shots insidebox 2
9 Shots outsidebox 1
5 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
559 Total passes 301
466 Passes accurate 189
7 Free Kicks 15
Bournemouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Evanilson F 9.0 79' 1 1 6 18 (13%) 2
16 Marcus Tavernier M 8.0 79' 1 – 3 41 (31%) –
5 James Hill D 7.9 90' – – 2 76 (62%) 2
3 Adrien Truffert D 7.4 90' – – 1 55 (47%) –
14 António Silva D 7.3 90' – – – 83 (76%) 1
15 Adam Smith D 7.3 90' – – 1 50 (45%) –
4 Lewis Cook M 7.2 62' – – 1 32 (27%) 2
37 Rayan M 7.0 89' – – 7 28 (23%) 1
18 Bafodé Diakité D 7.0 1' – – – 10 (10%) –
12 Tyler Adams M 6.9 89' – – 1 64 (57%) 1
10 Ryan Christie M 6.8 90' – – 3 38 (26%) 1
11 Ben Gannon-Doak F 6.6 1' – – – 9 (9%) –
19 J. Kluivert F 6.5 28' – – 3 12 (10%) 1
21 Amine Adli F 6.5 11' – – 1 12 (11%) –
30 Álvaro Rodriguez F 6.4 11' – – – 3 (2%) –
1 Đorđe Petrović G 6.4 90' – – – 27 (16%) –
Sunderland
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Noah Sadiki M 6.4 90' – – – 30 (27%) –
34 Granit Xhaka M 6.3 90' – – – 52 (34%) 2
57 Timur Tuterov F 6.2 59' – – – 7 (3%) 1
13 Luke O'Nien M 6.1 31' – – – 11 (4%) 1
17 Reinildo Mandava D 6.1 90' – – – 25 (20%) 1
28 Enzo Le Fée M 6.1 90' – – 1 29 (22%) 3
11 Chris Rigg M 6.0 65' – – – 13 (11%) 2
19 Habib Diarra M 5.9 31' – – – 4 (2%) –
22 R. Roefs G 5.8 90' – – – 40 (13%) –
29 Jules Ahoka M 5.7 25' – – – 7 (3%) –
32 Trai Hume M 5.6 90' – – 1 25 (16%) –
20 Nordi Mukiele D 5.5 90' – – – 25 (13%) 1
15 Omar Alderete D 5.1 59' – – – 22 (12%) –
4 Kevin Danso D 5.1 17' – – 1 11 (9%) –
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Bournemouth o pareggio
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Bournemouth
WWWWW
Sunderland
LLWDD
Last 3 meetings Bournemouth · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Bournemouth will face Sunderland. Bournemouth has shown a solid attacking approach, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Sunderland has been more defensively oriented, allowing 1.2 goals per match. Key players to watch include Bournemouth's top scorer, who has netted 5 goals, and Sunderland’s goalkeeper, boasting a save percentage of 75%. The outcome may hinge on Bournemouth's ability to exploit defensive lapses in Sunderland's backline. Expect a tactical battle as both teams vie for crucial points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
27%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bournemouth
M. Tavernier 5 gls
Evanilson 4 gls
Sunderland
B. Brobbey 3 gls

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs Sunderland

1 Bournemouth Wins
1 Draws
1 Sunderland Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Feb 2026 Bournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland
29 Nov 2025 Sunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth
29 Apr 2017 Sunderland 0 - 1 Bournemouth
Vedi tutti i 6 incontri — Premium

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Sparta Praha W 1 - 3
31 Oct H Leeds W 2 - 0
28 Oct H Aston Villa W 3 - 0
25 Oct A Manchester United W 0 - 3
22 Oct H AC Milan W 3 - 0

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Dinamo Zagreb L 0 - 2
31 Oct A Coventry L 3 - 1
28 Oct H Brentford W 3 - 2
25 Oct H Leeds D 0 - 0
22 Oct A Lech Poznan D 1 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Rose
1 Petrović
3 Truffert
14 Silva
5 Hill
15 Smith
10 Christie
12 Adams
16 Tavernier
4 Cook
37 Rayan
9 Evanilson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Đ. Petrović G
15 A. Smith D
5 J. Hill D
14 António Silva D
3 A. Truffert D
12 T. Adams M
10 R. Christie M
37 Rayan M
4 L. Cook M
16 M. Tavernier M
9 Evanilson F

Substitutes

7 D. Brooks M
11 B. Doak F
21 A. Adli F
24 Juanlu Sánchez M
19 J. Kluivert F
18 B. Diakité D
6 J. Soler D
20 M. Di Gregorio G
30 Á. Rodríguez F

Sunderland

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Le Bris
22 Roefs
17 Reinildo
15 Alderete
4 Danso
20 Mukiele
27 Sadiki
34 Xhaka
28 Fée
11 Rigg
32 Hume
57 Tuterov

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 R. Roefs G
20 N. Mukiele D
4 K. Danso D
15 O. Alderete D
17 Reinildo D
34 G. Xhaka M
27 N. Sadiki M
32 T. Hume M
11 C. Rigg M
28 E. Le Fée M
57 Timur Tuterov F

Substitutes

19 H. Diarra M
29 Jules Ahoka M
39 M. Fofana F
10 N. Angulo F
7 C. Talbi F
6 D. Methalie D
13 L. O'Nien M
31 M. Ellborg G
50 J. Angulo F

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