Nacional vs Estoril Predviđanje

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2
FT
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AI predikcija Nacional ili neriješeno
37%
30%
33%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Nacional vs Estoril: Sportiko procjenjuje da Nacional ima 37% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Estoril 33%, a neriješeno 30%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 16 Aug 2026, 16:30.

Timeline

▮ 11'
Xeka Yellow Card
▮ 32'
Xeka Yellow Card
▮ 32'
Xeka Red Card
HT 0–0
Matheus Dias Yellow Card
51' ▮
⇄ 63'
André Lacximicant ⇄ Tiago Brito
⇄ 63'
Rafik Guitane ⇄ Fabrício Garcia
Miguel Baeza ⇄ Deivison Souza Brito
66' ⇄
Matheus Dias ⇄ Stavros Gavriel
66' ⇄
Ze Vitor assist: Léo Santos
68' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 75'
Ricard Sánchez ⇄ Pedro Carvalho
⇄ 75'
Fernando Medrano ⇄ Gonçalo Costa
Léo Santos assist: Daniel Júnior
77' ⚽ 2–0
Filipe Soares Yellow Card
79' ▮
Daniel Júnior ⇄ Daniel De la Cruz
81' ⇄
▮ 82'
Ismael Sierra Arnal Yellow Card
▮ 85'
Ferro Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Antef Tsoungui ⇄ Jandro Orellana
Pablo ⇄ Joel Silva
88' ⇄
FT 2–0
Nacional

Match Stats

Estoril
59% Ball Possession 41%
2.08 Expected Goals (xG) 0.82
20 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 4
10 Shots outsidebox 5
7 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
445 Total passes 309
385 Passes accurate 247
87% Passes % 80%
-0.64 goals_prevented -0.64
Nacional
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
34 Léo Santos D 8.7 94' 1 1 2 72 (64%) 1
38 Ze Vitor D 8.5 94' 1 – 2 77 (73%) 2
10 Daniel Júnior F 7.5 81' – 1 1 40 (33%) –
11 Stavros Gavriel M 7.3 28' – – 1 3 (3%) –
1 Renato Marin G 7.2 94' – – – 19 (10%) –
7 Markus Jensen M 7.2 94' – – 1 33 (25%) 2
28 Liziero M 6.9 94' – – – 47 (41%) 3
52 Wesley Gasolina M 6.9 94' – – 1 35 (32%) –
8 Miguel Baeza F 6.7 66' – – – 17 (14%) –
6 Matheus Dias D 6.7 66' – – – 47 (44%) –
88 Deivison Souza Brito M 6.7 28' – – – 9 (7%) 1
22 Filipe Soares M 6.6 94' – – 1 37 (32%) 3
99 Pablo F 6.6 88' – – 2 7 (6%) 1
2 Daniel De la Cruz D 6.3 13' – – 1 2 (1%) –
26 Joel Silva M — 6' – – – – –
Estoril
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 João Carvalho M 7.2 94' – – 1 28 (21%) 1
4 Ferro D 7.0 94' – – – 39 (32%) 3
22 Pedro Carvalho D 6.7 19' – – – 3 (2%) –
98 Fabrício Garcia F 6.7 31' – – – 4 (3%) –
3 Fernando Medrano D 6.7 75' – – – 27 (22%) 2
1 Joel Robles G 6.6 94' – – – 32 (19%) –
2 Ricard Sánchez D 6.6 75' – – – 19 (17%) 2
99 Rafik Guitane M 6.5 63' – – – 18 (16%) 1
5 Antef Tsoungui M 6.3 85' – – – 29 (23%) –
6 Jandro Orellana M 6.3 9' – – – 3 (3%) –
7 André Lacximicant M 6.3 63' – – 2 14 (11%) 1
15 Ismael Sierra Arnal D 6.3 94' – – 1 46 (42%) –
14 Yanis Begraoui F 6.2 94' – – 1 15 (13%) –
18 Gonçalo Costa D 6.2 19' – – – 4 (2%) –
90 Tiago Brito M 6.2 31' – – 1 13 (7%) 1
8 Xeka M 5.0 32' – – 2 15 (14%) –
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Nacional ili neriješeno
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Nacional
LLLLL
Estoril
LLDLL
Last 3 meetings Nacional · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Nacional faces Estoril in this Primeira Liga matchup on August 16, 2026. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Nacional typically boasting a stronger home record in past seasons. Estoril, however, has been effective on the road, showcasing resilience and tactical discipline. Key players to watch include Nacional's top scorer, who has consistently found the net, and Estoril's solid defense, which has kept clean sheets in recent fixtures. This clash will likely hinge on Nacional's ability to break down Estoril's organized backline.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Nacional vs Estoril

0 Nacional Wins
2 Draws
1 Estoril Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Mar 2026 Nacional 0 - 1 Estoril
26 Oct 2025 Estoril 1 - 1 Nacional
15 Feb 2025 Nacional 2 - 2 Estoril
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Nacional — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Famalicao L 0 - 4
12 Sep H Alverca L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Sporting CP L 2 - 0
30 Aug H Estrela L 2 - 3
23 Aug A Vitória SC L 1 - 0

Estoril — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Casa Pia L 1 - 2
14 Sep A SC Braga L 1 - 0
07 Sep H Arouca D 0 - 0
31 Aug A Benfica L 2 - 1
22 Aug H Rio Ave L 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Nacional

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Giao Joao
1 Marin
38 Vitor
6 Dias
34 Santos
7 Jensen
22 Soares
28 Liziero
52 Gasolina
10 Júnior
8 Baeza
99 Cardozo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Renato Marin G
34 Léo Santos D
6 Matheus Dias D
38 Ze Vitor D
52 Wesley Gasolina M
28 Liziero M
22 Filipe Soares M
7 Markus Jensen M
8 Miguel Baeza F
10 Daniel Júnior F
99 Pablo Messias Cardozo F

Substitutes

13 João Gonçalves G
50 Kevyn G
14 Ivanildo Fernandes D
33 Francisco Gonçalves D
55 Pedro Silva D
26 Joel Silva M
11 Stavros Gavriel M
15 Chiheb Labidi M
2 Daniel De la Cruz D
23 Mateus Jose Iseppe M
88 Deivison Souza Brito M
30 Martim Gustavo Watts M

Estoril

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Matos
1 Robles
3 Medrano
15 Arnal
4 Ferro
2 Sánchez
5 Tsoungui
8 Xeka
7 Lacximicant
12 Carvalho
99 Guitane
14 Begraoui

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Joel Robles G
2 Ricard Sánchez D
4 Ferro D
15 Ismael Sierra Arnal D
3 Fernando Medrano D
8 Xeka M
5 Antef Tsoungui M
99 Rafik Guitane M
12 João Carvalho M
7 André Lacximicant M
14 Yanis Begraoui F

Substitutes

23 Diogo Dias G
16 Martin Turk G
42 Jordan Arnolin D
22 Pedro Carvalho D
19 Tiago Parente D
25 Stelios Andreou D
18 Gonçalo Costa D
90 Tiago Brito M
80 Luis Gomes M
6 Jandro Orellana M
98 Fabrício Garcia F

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