Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Prédiction
Pronostic Rayo Vallecano vs Elche : Sportiko estime que Rayo Vallecano a 48% de chances de s'imposer, Elche 24% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Rayo Vallecano claimed all three points at home in La Liga's 30th matchday, defeating Elche 1–0 in a match that proved far more eventful than the scoreline suggests. The first half ended goalless but was far from quiet, with a red card reducing Elche to ten men before the interval, alongside a flurry of yellow cards that set a combative tone for the contest.
Playing against a depleted side, Rayo dominated possession with 60% of the ball and launched 21 shots in total, though only five troubled the goalkeeper. The decisive moment arrived in the 74th minute when a goal finally separated the sides, rewarding Rayo's sustained pressure. Their expected goals figure of 1.35 compared to Elche's 0.44 underlined the home side's clear superiority on the day, with nine corner kicks further illustrating their territorial advantage.
The result was the most probable outcome according to our pre-match AI model, which rated a Rayo win at 48%. Elche, already hampered by the early red card, struggled to threaten meaningfully and ultimately had little answer to their hosts' dominance.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
Match Stats
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Florian Lejeune D | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 54 (46%) | 4 |
| 2 Andrei Rațiu D | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (39%) | 2 |
| 13 Augusto Batalla G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | – |
| 23 Óscar Valentín M | 7.3 | 66' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | 4 |
| 17 Unai López M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (48%) | 1 |
| 11 Randy Nteka M | 7.3 | 24' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 5 Luiz Felipe D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (37%) | 3 |
| 3 Josep Chavarría D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 48 (42%) | 1 |
| 19 Jorge de Frutos F | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 18 Álvaro García F | 6.9 | 84' | – | 1 | 3 | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 4 Pedro Díaz M | 6.9 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 7 Isi Palazón M | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 22 Pacha D | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 Alemão F | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 10 Sergio Camello F | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 14 Carlos Martín F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
Elche
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Matías Dituro G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (31%) | – |
| 15 Tete Morente M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 8 |
| 11 Germán Valera F | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 8 Marc Aguado M | 7.0 | 77' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 2 |
| 14 Aleix Febas M | 7.0 | 77' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | 1 |
| 22 David Affengruber D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (31%) | 1 |
| 9 André Silva F | 6.9 | 13' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 20 Álvaro Rodriguez F | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 5 Federico Redondo M | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 21 Léo Pétrot D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (12%) | 2 |
| 42 Buba Sangare M | 6.6 | 83' | – | – | – | 18 (11%) | 1 |
| 12 Gonzalo Villar M | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 10 Rafa Mir F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 4 | 13 (7%) | 3 |
| 3 Adrià Pedrosa D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 7 Yago Santiago F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 6 Pedro Bigas D | 6.2 | 39' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
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Sergio Camello
7 gls
Fer Niño
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Elche
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Elche | 4 - 0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Elche | 4 - 0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 03 Oct 2022 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | Elche |
Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Osasuna | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Espanyol | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Real Madrid | L | 4 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Barcelona | L | 5 - 2 |
Elche — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Espanyol | W | 1 - 3 |
| 15 Sep | H Real Madrid | L | 2 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | A Athletic Club | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | H Real Sociedad | L | 2 - 3 |
| 28 Aug | A Racing Santander | L | 3 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Inigo Perez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Batalla | G |
| 2 | A. Ratiu | D |
| 24 | F. Lejeune | D |
| 5 | Luiz Felipe | D |
| 3 | P. Chavarria | D |
| 7 | I. Palazon | M |
| 23 | O. Valentin | M |
| 17 | U. Lopez | M |
| 19 | J. de Frutos | F |
| 9 | Alemao | F |
| 18 | A. Garcia | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | D. Cardenas | G |
| 40 | A. Molina | G |
| 15 | G. Gumbau | M |
| 22 | Pacha | D |
| 4 | P. Diaz | M |
| 14 | C. Martin | F |
| 33 | J. Vertrouwd | D |
| 32 | N. Mendy | D |
| 20 | I. Balliu | D |
| 16 | A. Mumin | D |
| 11 | R. Nteka | M |
| 10 | S. Camello | F |
Elche
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Eder Sarabia
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Dituro | G |
| 22 | D. Affengruber | D |
| 6 | P. Bigas | D |
| 21 | L. Petrot | D |
| 42 | Buba Sangare | M |
| 8 | M. Aguado | M |
| 14 | A. Febas | M |
| 15 | Tete Morente | M |
| 11 | G. Valera | F |
| 20 | A. Rodriguez | F |
| 10 | R. Mir | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | I. Pena | G |
| 45 | A. Iturbe | G |
| 9 | Andre Silva | F |
| 17 | Josan | M |
| 7 | Y. Santiago | F |
| 16 | M. Neto | M |
| 5 | F. Redondo Solari | M |
| 12 | G. Villar | M |
| 3 | A. Pedrosa | D |
| 24 | L. Cepeda | F |
| 31 | D. Delgado | D |
| 43 | A. Herraiz | M |