Luton vs Notts County Prédiction

League One League One · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Luton
60%
24%
16%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Luton vs Notts County : Sportiko estime que Luton a 60% de chances de s'imposer, Notts County 16% et le match nul 24%. Dernière mise à jour : 22 Aug 2026, 13:37.

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Timeline

Jordan Clark ⇄ Gideon Kodua
18' ⇄
▮ 31'
L. Smyth Yellow Card
George Johnston Yellow Card
32' ▮
▮ 39'
Scott Robertson Yellow Card
Nahki Wells Penalty
42' ⚽ 1–0
Kal Naismith Yellow Card
45' ▮
⚽ 1–1 45+1'
Callum Roberts
HT 1–1
Kasey Palmer Yellow Card
47' ▮
Nahki Wells Yellow Card
56' ▮
⚽ 1–2 61'
Oliver Cooper assist: Nick Tsaroulla
Emilio Lawrence
62' ⇄
Nahki Wells ⇄ Callum Marshall
62' ⇄
⇄ 62'
L. Smyth ⇄ Conor Grant
Callum Marshall assist: Kasey Palmer
68' ⚽ 2–2
⇄ 72'
Scott Robertson ⇄ Hindolo Mustapha
⇄ 73'
Nick Tsaroulla ⇄ Ishé Samuels-Smith
⇄ 73'
Callum Roberts ⇄ Lee Ndlovu
Isaiah Jones ⇄ Harrison Ashby
80' ⇄
⇄ 86'
Darius Lipsiuc ⇄ Matthew Baker
⇄ 86'
Oliver Cooper ⇄ Qamaruddin Kouhyar
Liam Walsh Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
▮ 90+3'
Hindolo Mustapha Yellow Card
FT 2–2
Luton

Match Stats

Notts County
58% Ball Possession 42%
1.77 Expected Goals (xG) 0.77
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 0
1 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
377 Total passes 269
308 Passes accurate 196
82% Passes % 73%
-0.24 goals_prevented -0.24
Luton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Emilio Lawrence M 7.3 62' – – – 7 (6%) 1
9 Callum Marshall F 7.3 19' 1 – 1 7 (5%) –
6 George Johnston D 7.2 81' – – – 56 (55%) 1
3 Kal Naismith D 7.2 81' – – 1 69 (55%) 1
8 Liam Walsh M 7.2 81' – – – 60 (49%) 1
21 Nahki Wells F 7.0 62' 1 – 1 11 (8%) –
45 Kasey Palmer M 6.9 81' – 1 2 26 (19%) –
31 Benedict Benagr D 6.7 19' – – – 2 (2%) –
18 Jordan Clark M 6.5 18' – – 1 5 (3%) –
24 Josh Keeley G 6.3 81' – – – 21 (14%) –
7 Jake Richards M 6.3 81' – – 1 13 (8%) 3
5 Mads Andersen D 6.3 81' – – – 57 (50%) –
30 Gideon Kodua F 6.3 63' – – 2 14 (12%) 1
25 Isaiah Jones D 6.0 80' – – – 28 (21%) –
33 Harrison Ashby D — 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
Notts County
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Callum Roberts F 8.0 73' 1 – 1 20 (15%) 1
8 Oliver Cooper M 7.9 81' 1 – 1 12 (10%) 2
26 Ishé Samuels-Smith D 6.7 8' – – – 7 (2%) –
4 Jacob Bedeau D 6.6 81' – – – 29 (23%) 1
2 James Gibbons D 6.5 81' – – – 36 (30%) 1
20 Scott Robertson M 6.5 72' – – 1 29 (26%) 1
19 L. Smyth F 6.3 62' – – 1 10 (7%) 3
12 Lucas Ness D 6.3 81' – – – 41 (32%) 2
25 Nick Tsaroulla D 6.3 73' – 1 – 24 (17%) –
15 Jack Evans M 6.3 81' – – – 16 (13%) 2
39 Lee Ndlovu F 6.3 8' – – – – –
42 Hindolo Mustapha M 6.3 9' – – – 2 (2%) –
1 James Belshaw G 6.2 81' – – – 28 (10%) –
11 Conor Grant M 6.2 19' – – – 4 (3%) –
14 Darius Lipsiuc D 5.9 81' – – – 11 (6%) 2
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Luton
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Luton
WLLDW
Notts County
WLLDD
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
60%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
16%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Luton
N. Wells 4 gls
Notts County
O. Cooper 3 gls

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Head to Head: Luton vs Notts County

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Luton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Ipswich Town U21 W 6 - 0
19 Sep H Bradford L 0 - 1
10 Sep A Stevenage L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Leyton Orient D 1 - 1
02 Sep H Stockport County W 2 - 0

Notts County — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Grimsby W 2 - 1
19 Sep A Reading L 2 - 0
12 Sep H Bradford L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Huddersfield D 1 - 1
01 Sep A Doncaster D 1 - 1

League One Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bradford
7 5 0 2 +3 15
2
Sheffield Wednesday
7 4 2 1 +7 14
3
Plymouth
7 4 1 2 +4 13
4
Huddersfield
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cambridge United
7 3 3 1 +2 12
6
Oxford United
6 3 2 1 +6 11
7
AFC Wimbledon
7 3 2 2 -2 11
8
Reading
6 3 1 2 +7 10
9
Stockport County
7 3 1 3 +6 10
10
Leyton Orient
7 3 1 3 +4 10
11
Stevenage
7 2 3 2 +3 9
12
Burton Albion
7 2 3 2 0 9
13
Leicester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
14
Wycombe
7 2 3 2 -3 9
15
Blackpool
7 2 2 3 0 8
16
Luton
7 2 2 3 -2 8
17
Mansfield Town
7 2 2 3 -3 8
18
Barnsley
7 2 2 3 -5 8
19
Bromley
7 2 2 3 -10 8
20
Notts County
7 1 4 2 -2 7
21
Doncaster
7 1 3 3 -1 6
22
Milton Keynes Dons
7 0 6 1 -2 6
23
Peterborough
7 1 2 4 -8 5
24
Wigan
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Luton

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Jack Wilshere
24 Keeley
3 Naismith
6 Johnston
5 Andersen
25 Jones
8 Walsh
11 Lawrence
45 Palmer
18 Clark
7 Richards
21 Wells

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Josh Keeley G
25 Isaiah Jones D
5 Mads Andersen D
6 George Johnston D
3 Kal Naismith D
8 Liam Walsh M
7 Jake Richards M
18 Jordan Clark M
45 Kasey Palmer M
11 Emilio Lawrence M
21 Nahki Wells F

Substitutes

30 Gideon Kodua F
1 James Shea G
2 Hakeem Odofin D
33 Harrison Ashby D
12 Joe Johnson D
31 Benedict Benagr D
9 Callum Marshall F

Notts County

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Martin Paterson
1 Belshaw
14 Lipsiuc
4 Bedeau
12 Ness
2 Gibbons
25 Tsaroulla
15 Evans
20 Robertson
8 Cooper
7 Roberts
19 Smyth

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 James Belshaw G
25 Nick Tsaroulla D
2 James Gibbons D
12 Lucas Ness D
4 Jacob Bedeau D
14 Darius Lipsiuc D
8 Oliver Cooper M
20 Scott Robertson M
15 Jack Evans M
19 Luka Smyth F
7 Callum Roberts F

Substitutes

21 Harry Griffiths G
26 Ishé Samuels-Smith D
44 Matthew Baker D
17 Qamaruddin Kouhyar M
42 Hindolo Mustapha M
11 Conor Grant M
39 Lee Ndlovu F

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