Metz vs Guingamp Prédiction

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
Prédiction IA Metz ou match nul
45%
29%
26%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Metz vs Guingamp : Sportiko estime que Metz a 45% de chances de s'imposer, Guingamp 26% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 9 Aug 2026, 00:03.

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Timeline

Jessy Deminguet Yellow Card
19' ▮
Pape Moussa Fall Missed Penalty
30' ✗
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 51'
Albin Demouchy assist: Amine Hemia
▮ 54'
Albin Demouchy Yellow Card
⇄ 57'
Florent Sanchez Da Silva ⇄ Tom Ducrocq
Pape Moussa Fall assist: Maxime Colin
58' ⚽ 1–1
Giorgi Abuashvili assist: Jessy Deminguet
60' ⚽ 2–1
Believe Munongo ⇄ Hamza Kadamani
65' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Tanguy Ahile ⇄ Samir Ben Brahim
⇄ 66'
Amine Hemia ⇄ Jasser Chamakh
⇄ 66'
Jeovanni Dianganga ⇄ Donatien Gomis
⇄ 74'
Jérémie Matumona
Pape Moussa Fall ⇄ Habib Diallo
79' ⇄
Nathan Mbala ⇄ Nampalys Mendy
79' ⇄
Giorgi Abuashvili ⇄ Morgan Bokele Mputu
82' ⇄
Idris Mohamed Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
FT 2–1
Metz

Match Stats

Guingamp
41% Ball Possession 59%
Expected Goals (xG)
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 1
16 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
6 Goalkeeper Saves 5
377 Total passes 557
321 Passes accurate 489
85% Passes % 88%
goals_prevented
Metz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Giorgi Abuashvili M 7.9 82' 1 – 1 15 (14%) 2
1 Jonathan Fischer G 7.3 90' – – – 22 (15%) –
5 Jean Ruiz D 7.3 90' – – – 54 (52%) 4
2 Maxime Colin D 7.2 90' – 1 – 35 (31%) –
8 Jessy Deminguet F 6.9 90' – 1 – 41 (36%) –
98 Idris Mohamed M 6.9 90' – – 1 46 (36%) 1
38 Hamza Kadamani M 6.9 25' – – – 7 (6%) 2
22 Nathan Mbala D 6.7 79' – – 1 18 (15%) 3
6 Nampalys Mendy M 6.7 11' – – – 6 (4%) 1
42 Cristian Castro D 6.6 90' – – – 56 (53%) 1
11 Pape Moussa Fall F 6.6 79' 1 – 5 11 (9%) –
19 Morgan Bokele Mputu F 6.6 8' – – – 5 (4%) 1
20 Habib Diallo F 6.5 11' – – – 5 (4%) 1
18 Believe Munongo M 6.3 65' – – – 25 (20%) –
3 Florian Miguel D 6.3 90' – – 2 31 (22%) 1
Guingamp
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
36 Albin Demouchy D 7.7 90' 1 – 1 85 (76%) 2
16 Adrián Ortolá G 7.6 90' – – – 57 (50%) –
4 Dylan Louiserre M 7.3 90' – – – 73 (71%) 1
7 Donatien Gomis D 7.2 24' – – – 33 (30%) 1
10 Amine Hemia F 7.0 66' – 1 – 29 (25%) 1
3 Jérémie Matumona D 6.7 74' – – – 37 (30%) 2
24 Jeovanni Dianganga D 6.6 66' – – – 42 (40%) 3
39 Vimoj Muntu D 6.6 16' – – – 11 (9%) –
23 Jasser Chamakh F 6.6 24' – – 2 19 (16%) –
11 Teddy Averlant M 6.5 90' – – 5 19 (16%) 2
8 Florent Sanchez Da Silva M 6.3 57' – – – 14 (13%) –
21 Tanguy Ahile M 6.3 66' – – 1 39 (35%) 2
25 Tom Ducrocq M 6.3 33' – – – 32 (26%) 1
20 Samir Ben Brahim M 6.3 24' – – – 20 (18%) –
2 Erwin Koffi D 6.2 90' – – 1 33 (24%) –
18 Stanislas Kielt F 6.2 90' – – 2 14 (10%) –
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Metz ou match nul
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Metz
DLWDD
Guingamp
LWDDL
Last 3 meetings Metz · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will face Guingamp at their home ground. Metz has shown a solid defensive record, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded over the last five matches. Guingamp, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals per match during the same period. Both teams will aim to secure vital points early in the season, making tactical discipline and set-piece execution crucial. The match could hinge on Metz's ability to capitalize on Guingamp's defensive lapses.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Metz
P. Fall 5 gls
J. Deminguet 2 gls
Guingamp
B. Bokangu 4 gls
D. Gomis 2 gls

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Head to Head: Metz vs Guingamp

0 Metz Wins
1 Draws
2 Guingamp Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 Feb 2018 Guingamp 2 - 2 Metz
05 Aug 2017 Metz 1 - 3 Guingamp
20 May 2017 Guingamp 1 - 0 Metz
Voir les 6 confrontations — Premium

Metz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Saint Etienne D 2 - 2
14 Sep A RED Star FC 93 L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Rodez W 4 - 1
29 Aug A Annecy D 1 - 1
22 Aug H Laval D 1 - 1

Guingamp — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H RED Star FC 93 L 1 - 3
12 Sep H Annecy W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Reims D 2 - 2
29 Aug H Nantes D 3 - 3
21 Aug A Sochaux L 1 - 0

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
7 5 1 1 +11 16
2
RED Star FC 93
7 4 2 1 +2 14
3
Reims
7 3 4 0 +6 13
4
Montpellier
7 3 3 1 +1 12
5
Metz
7 2 4 1 +3 10
6
Nancy
7 3 1 3 +1 10
7
Annecy
7 3 1 3 0 10
8
Sochaux
7 2 4 1 -1 10
9
Dijon
7 2 3 2 0 9
10
PAU
7 2 2 3 0 8
11
Guingamp
7 2 2 3 -2 8
12
Dunkerque
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Grenoble
7 2 2 3 -3 8
14
Rodez
7 2 1 4 -2 7
15
Nantes
7 2 1 4 -4 7
16
Clermont Foot
7 0 6 1 -2 6
17
Boulogne
7 0 5 2 -2 5
18
Laval
7 1 2 4 -6 5

Guingamp

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: S. Ripoll
16 Ortolá
2 Koffi
24 Dianganga
36 Demouchy
3 Matumona
8 Silva
21 Ahile
4 Louiserre
11 Averlant
18 Kielt
10 Hemia

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Adrián Ortolá G
3 Jérémie Matumona D
36 Albin Demouchy D
24 Jeovanni Dianganga D
2 Erwin Koffi D
11 Teddy Averlant M
4 Dylan Louiserre M
21 Tanguy Ahile M
8 Florent Sanchez Da Silva M
10 Amine Hemia F
18 Stanislas Kielt F

Substitutes

25 Tom Ducrocq M
7 Donatien Gomis D
23 Jasser Chamakh F
20 Samir Ben Brahim M
39 Vimoj Muntu D
1 Teddy Bartouche-Selbonne G
31 Joël Matondo M
32 Ibrahima Diakité M
38 Ewan Aucan M

Metz

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: L. Holtz
1 Fischer
3 Miguel
5 Ruiz
42 Castro
2 Colin
22 Mbala
9 Abuashvili
18 Munongo
98 Mohamed
11 Fall
8 Deminguet

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Jonathan Fischer G
22 Nathan Mbala D
2 Maxime Colin D
42 Cristian Castro D
5 Jean Ruiz D
3 Florian Miguel D
98 Idris Mohamed M
18 Believe Munongo M
9 Giorgi Abuashvili M
8 Jessy Deminguet F
11 Pape Moussa Fall F

Substitutes

38 Hamza Kadamani M
6 Nampalys Mendy M
20 Habibou Diallo F
19 Morgan Bokele Mputu F
61 Pape Sy G
32 Adam Marchal D
25 Cléo Mélières D
21 Jahyann Pandore F
7 Ibou Sane F

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