Arouca vs Estrela Prédiction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Prédiction IA Arouca ou match nul
43%
29%
28%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Arouca vs Estrela : Sportiko estime que Arouca a 43% de chances de s'imposer, Estrela 28% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 11 Oct 2026, 21:33.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 75%
  • Moins de 3,5 buts 72%
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Timeline

Ivan Barbero assist: Naïs Djouahra
5' ⚽ 1–0
✗ 45+4'
Ianis Stoica Missed Penalty
Pablo Gozálbez Yellow Card
45+6' ▮
Ivan Barbero Yellow Card
45+8' ▮
▮ 45+8'
Abraham Marcus Yellow Card
HT 1–0
▮ 50'
Max Scholze Yellow Card
Pablo Gozálbez ⇄ Pedro Santos
57' ⇄
⇄ 61'
Ianis Stoica ⇄ Bénito
Pedro Santos Yellow Card
62' ▮
⇄ 62'
Max Scholze ⇄ Jefferson Encada
Ivan Barbero ⇄ Dylan Nandín
65' ⇄
Naïs Djouahra ⇄ Gabriel Rukavina
65' ⇄
Taichi Fukui ⇄ Hyun-ju Lee
79' ⇄
Alfonso Trezza ⇄ Brian Mansilla
80' ⇄
Taichi Fukui Yellow Card
81' ▮
⇄ 82'
Eddy Doué ⇄ Emerson Pedro Vanga
Jose Fontán Yellow Card
88' ▮
⇄ 90+1'
Lovro Zvonarek ⇄ Alisson Souza de Jesus
⇄ 90+1'
Santiago Serra ⇄ Kevin Höög Jansson
FT 1–0
Arouca

Match Stats

Estrela
37% Ball Possession 63%
0.78 Expected Goals (xG) 1.48
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
342 Total passes 573
263 Passes accurate 499
6 Free Kicks 9
Arouca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Naïs Djouahra M 7.7 65' – 1 1 24 (20%) 2
15 Javi Sánchez D 7.5 90' – – – 45 (40%) –
17 Ivan Barbero F 7.5 65' 1 – 1 9 (7%) –
3 Jose Fontán D 7.2 90' – – – 56 (48%) 1
10 Pablo Gozálbez M 7.1 57' – – – 14 (8%) 3
6 Espen Van Ee M 7.0 90' – – – 41 (35%) 2
20 Gabriel Rukavina F 6.9 25' – – – 5 (5%) –
8 Taichi Fukui M 6.8 79' – – – 24 (19%) 1
14 Hyun-ju Lee M 6.8 11' – – – – –
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 6.7 90' – – – 40 (28%) –
89 Pedro Santos M 6.7 33' – – – 14 (12%) 3
24 Brian Mansilla F 6.6 10' – – 1 1 (1%) 1
19 Alfonso Trezza M 6.6 80' – – 2 8 (4%) 3
28 Tiago Esgaio D 6.5 90' – – 1 27 (17%) 2
18 Orest Lebedenko D 6.4 90' – – – 22 (13%) 1
23 Dylan Nandín F 6.4 25' – – 1 6 (3%) –
Estrela
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
30 Patrick Luan D 7.2 90' – – – 92 (86%) 1
5 Stefan Leković D 6.9 90' – – 1 93 (83%) 1
78 Santiago Serra M 6.8 91' – – 3 58 (52%) 2
17 Jefferson Encada D 6.7 28' – – – 29 (25%) –
39 Eddy Doué M 6.6 82' – – 1 44 (36%) 1
24 Léo Linck G 6.5 90' – – – 49 (44%) –
21 Max Scholze D 6.4 62' – – – 23 (21%) –
37 Leandro Antonetti F 6.3 90' – – – 15 (12%) –
71 Emerson Pedro Vanga M 6.3 8' – – – 11 (11%) –
10 Ianis Stoica M 6.2 61' – – 4 27 (21%) 1
93 Bénito M 6.2 29' – – – 12 (9%) –
99 Abraham Marcus M 6.1 90' – – 1 27 (24%) 1
55 Rafa Soares D 6.0 90' – – – 51 (40%) –
14 Lovro Zvonarek M 5.9 91' – – 1 29 (25%) –
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Arouca ou match nul
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Arouca
LWWWW
Estrela
LLWLL
Last 3 meetings Arouca · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Arouca faces Estrela in a Primeira Liga clash on October 11, 2026. Arouca has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record with only 12 goals conceded in their last 10 home matches. Meanwhile, Estrela has struggled on the road, averaging less than 1 goal per game in away fixtures this season. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as Arouca has been effective from corners, while Estrela has been vulnerable to aerial threats. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure points in a tightly contested league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

Arouca
Barbero 5 gls
Estrela
A. Marcus 4 gls
L. Antonetti 4 gls
I. Stoica 4 gls

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Estrela

2 Arouca Wins
0 Draws
1 Estrela Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Apr 2026 Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela
07 Dec 2025 Estrela 3 - 1 Arouca
19 Apr 2025 Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela
Voir les 6 confrontations — Premium

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Famalicao L 1 - 0
01 Nov H Nacional W 1 - 0
24 Oct A Alverca W 0 - 1
18 Oct A CF Os Belenenses W 3 - 4
11 Oct H Estrela W 1 - 0

Estrela — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct A Moreirense L 2 - 1
24 Oct H Casa Pia L 0 - 2
17 Oct A Fazendense W 1 - 2
11 Oct A Arouca L 1 - 0
20 Sep H Academico Viseu L 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 +21 30
2
Benfica
10 8 1 1 +19 25
3
Sporting CP
11 7 3 1 +13 24
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 +9 21
5
Arouca
11 6 2 3 +5 20
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 +3 20
7
GIL Vicente
10 4 3 3 +1 15
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 +1 14
9
Moreirense
11 4 2 5 -5 14
10
Famalicao
11 3 4 4 +1 13
11
Alverca
11 3 3 5 -1 12
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 -4 10
13
Vitória SC
10 2 3 5 0 9
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 -12 8
15
Casa Pia
11 2 2 7 -14 8
16
Nacional
10 2 1 7 -9 7
17
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 -14 7
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 -14 2

Arouca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
12 Arruabarrena
18 Lebedenko
3 Fontán
15 Sánchez
28 Esgaio
8 Fukui
6 Ee
7 Djouahra
10 Gozálbez
19 Trezza
17 Barbero

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 I. de Arruabarrena G
28 Tiago Esgaio D
15 Javi Sánchez D
3 José Fontán D
18 O. Lebedenko D
6 E. van Ee M
8 T. Fukui M
19 A. Trezza M
10 Pablo Gozálbez M
7 N. Djouahra M
17 Barbero F

Substitutes

21 Mateo Flores M
37 Mario Climent D
14 Lee Hyun-Ju M
24 B. Mansilla F
9 F. Mayulu F
4 Diogo Monteiro D
23 D. Nandín F
89 Pedro Santos M
5 B. Popović D
20 G. Rukavina F
2 L. Shahar D
1 J. Vinarčík G

Estrela

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pepa
24 Linck
55 Soares
5 Leković
30 Luan
21 Scholze
39 Doue
78 Serra
10 Stoica
14 Zvonarek
99 Marcus
37 Antonetti

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Léo Linck G
21 M. Scholze D
30 Patrick Luan D
5 S. Leković D
55 Rafa Soares D
78 Santiago Serra M
39 Eddy Doue M
99 A. Marcus M
14 L. Zvonarek M
10 I. Stoica M
37 L. Antonetti F

Substitutes

4 Bernardo Schappo D
79 A. Chernev D
17 Jefferson Encada D
6 K. Höög Jansson M
3 L. Mincarelli Davin D
49 R. Muteba F
28 T. Moustier M
71 E. Pedro Vanga M
51 Diogo Pinto G
93 B. Souza M
80 Alisson F
72 H. Poniewas F

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