Lorient vs Toulouse Prédiction
Pronostic Lorient vs Toulouse : Sportiko estime que Lorient a 39% de chances de s'imposer, Toulouse 32% et le match nul 29%. Dernière mise à jour : 12 Sep 2026, 20:38.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- L'équipe à domicile marque 75%
- Plus de 1,5 buts 76%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- L'équipe extérieure marque 72%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
Match Report
Lorient looked to be cruising at the Stade du Moustoir after a dominant first half, with Ibrahima Baldé and Noah Mbamba putting the hosts two goals to the good in the space of two minutes late in the first period. Lorient controlled possession throughout, finishing with 60% of the ball and 13 total shots, and appeared well on course for a comfortable home victory.
Toulouse, however, showed considerable resilience after the break. Casper Tengstedt pulled one back almost immediately after the restart in the 48th minute, and Thomas Jørgensen levelled matters on 68 minutes to complete a remarkable turnaround. The visitors' recovery was aided by a flurry of substitutions from both sides in the second half, which disrupted Lorient's rhythm at a critical stage.
The final scoreline of 2–2 denied Lorient all three points despite their statistical superiority on the night. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Lorient win as the most probable outcome at 39%, and while the hosts did lead for long stretches, they were ultimately unable to hold on for the victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lorient
Match Stats
Lorient
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 Noah Mbamba M | 7.9 | 69' | 1 | – | 1 | 28 (27%) | 2 |
| 18 Ibrahima Baldé F | 7.8 | 69' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 77 Panos Katseris M | 7.1 | 58' | – | 2 | – | 18 (14%) | 2 |
| 3 Montassar Talbi D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 40 (38%) | 1 |
| 43 Arsène Kouassi M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 1 |
| 32 Nathaniel Adjei D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (61%) | 1 |
| 10 Isak Steiner Jensen F | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 20 Dembo Sylla D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (38%) | 4 |
| 42 Mamadou Koné F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 8 Noah Cadiou M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (45%) | 1 |
| 62 Arthur Avom Ebong M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 17 Jean-Victor Makengo M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 36 (31%) | 2 |
| 11 Théo Le Bris M | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | 4 |
| 38 Yvon Mvogo G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (32%) | – |
| 33 Gabin Bernardeau M | 5.9 | 58' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | – |
Toulouse
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M | 8.6 | 90' | – | 2 | 1 | 133 (121%) | 6 |
| 20 Casper Tengstedt F | 7.5 | 44' | 1 | – | 2 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 8 Thomas Jørgensen M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 35 (25%) | – |
| 11 Sion Oppong F | 6.9 | 23' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 31 Niklas Schmidt M | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | – | 108 (98%) | 2 |
| 14 Niko Sigur M | 6.6 | 44' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 3 Mark McKenzie D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 83 (79%) | – |
| 12 Christ Tapé D | 6.5 | 84' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | – |
| 5 Seny Koumbassa D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (66%) | 1 |
| 37 Ilyas Azizi M | 6.4 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 36 (31%) | 2 |
| 94 Ismail Diallo D | 6.2 | 6' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 1 |
| 22 Rafik Messali D | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 2 |
| 13 Jacen Russell-Rowe F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 6 Alexis Vossah M | 6.0 | 6' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 60 Mathys Niflore G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (19%) | – |
| 9 Santiago Hidalgo M | 5.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
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No scorer data.
C. Tengstedt
3 gls
T. Jørgensen
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lorient vs Toulouse
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Toulouse | 1 - 0 | Lorient |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Lorient | 1 - 1 | Toulouse |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Lorient | 1 - 2 | Toulouse |
Lorient — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Le Mans | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Toulouse | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Lens | W | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Estac Troyes | L | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Nice | D | 0 - 0 |
Toulouse — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Le Havre | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lorient | D | 2 - 2 |
| 03 Sep | H Lille | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Stade Brestois 29 | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | H Lyon | L | 0 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Toulouse
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | M. Niflore | G |
| 22 | R. Messali | D |
| 5 | S. Koumbassa | D |
| 3 | M. McKenzie | D |
| 12 | C. Tapé | D |
| 31 | N. Schmidt | M |
| 23 | C. Cásseres | M |
| 9 | S. Hidalgo | M |
| 8 | T. Jørgensen | M |
| 37 | Y. Azizi | M |
| 13 | J. Russell-Rowe | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | M. Amougou | M |
| 1 | T. Collin | G |
| 94 | I. Diallo | D |
| 6 | A. Vossah | M |
| 19 | D. Odogu | D |
| 11 | S. Oppong | F |
| 14 | N. Sigur | M |
| 20 | C. Tengstedt | F |
| 7 | Julián Vignolo | F |
Lorient
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: A. Dujeux
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | Y. Mvogo | G |
| 20 | D. Sylla | D |
| 3 | M. Talbi | D |
| 32 | N. Adjei | D |
| 77 | P. Katseris | M |
| 8 | N. Cadiou | M |
| 72 | N. Mbamba | M |
| 43 | K. Kouassi | M |
| 33 | G. Bernardeau | M |
| 17 | J. Makengo | M |
| 18 | I. Baldé | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | S. Faye | F |
| 2 | A. Georgen | D |
| 21 | B. Kamara | G |
| 42 | M. Kone | F |
| 55 | N. Obaretin | D |
| 10 | I. Jensen | F |
| 11 | T. Le Bris | M |
| 62 | A. Avom | M |
| 15 | A. Tosin | F |