Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

15 Aug 2026, 19:30

Post on X

Rayo Vallecano

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

43%

29%

28%

Victoire à domicile · 2.35 Match nul · 3.37 Victoire extérieure · 3.42

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Sportiko gives Sevilla a 43% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 28% and the draw 29%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 06:06.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Sevilla

WWWDL

Rayo Vallecano

WDWWD

Last 3 meetings Sevilla · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga match, Sevilla will face Rayo Vallecano. Sevilla has historically performed well at home, boasting a strong defensive record, conceding just 1.1 goals per match last season. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, has struggled against top-tier teams, averaging only 0.9 goals scored per away game. This match could hinge on Sevilla's ability to capitalize on set pieces, where they have excelled, while Rayo will need to improve their away form to challenge effectively. Expect Sevilla to leverage their experience and tactical discipline to secure a favorable result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rayo Vallecano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1
5		1

↑ Sevilla goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

29%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

29%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

61% Home (No Draw) 39% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	6.7%	4.8%	1.9%	0.5%
1	9.0%	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.2%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.9%	4.5%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.5%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sevilla	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla	24.1%	4.2%	1.7%
Draw	17.5%	18.2%	11.5%
Rayo Vallecano	2.6%	4.6%	15.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

1 Sevilla Wins

2 Draws

0 Rayo Vallecano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	Sevilla	1 - 1	Rayo Vallecano
28 Sep 2025	Rayo Vallecano	0 - 1	Sevilla
01 Mar 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Sevilla

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Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Utrecht	W	0 - 1
31 Jul	A NEC Nijmegen	W	1 - 2
26 Jul	H AD Ceuta FC	W	2 - 1
23 Jul	A Cordoba	D	0 - 0
19 Jul	A Cracovia Krakow	L	1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
26 Jul	A Feyenoord	D	1 - 1
23 May	A Alaves	W	1 - 2
17 May	H Villarreal	W	2 - 0
14 May	A Valencia	D	1 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.