Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prédiction
Pronostic Newcastle vs Aston Villa : Sportiko estime que Newcastle a 40% de chances de s'imposer, Aston Villa 33% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 17 Oct 2026, 18:27.
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Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Match Report
Aston Villa claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory at St. James' Park to move into the Premier League's early-season standings, with the result secured before half-time. The opening exchanges were feisty, with four yellow cards distributed inside the first 28 minutes as both sides struggled to contain the physical contest. Johan Manzambi broke the deadlock on 36 minutes with a composed finish, and Villa carried that lead into the interval.
Newcastle pushed for an equaliser after the break but could not convert their pressure into clear-cut chances, managing just one shot on target across the entire match compared to Villa's three. Villa's expected goals figure of 1.56 to Newcastle's 1.13 reflected the visitors' slightly more clinical approach, despite the hosts attempting 16 shots in total. A flurry of substitutions in the second half failed to shift the balance, with Manzambi himself withdrawn on 72 minutes having done his job.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Newcastle win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that did not materialise. Villa's defensive discipline and early goal proved the decisive factors on Tyneside.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Newcastle
Match Stats
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nico González M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 67 (57%) | 3 |
| 28 Joe Willock M | 6.9 | 56' | – | – | 1 | 20 (20%) | 1 |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (29%) | 3 |
| 12 Malick Thiaw D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (56%) | – |
| 11 Harvey Barnes M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 21 Lukáš Horníček G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 4 Sven Botman D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 59 (45%) | – |
| 67 Lewis Miley D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | 1 |
| 7 Joelinton M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (33%) | – |
| 17 Bazoumana Touré F | 6.3 | 34' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 2 |
| 10 William Osula F | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 Yoane Wissa F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 7 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 20 Matías Fernández-Pardo M | 5.9 | 56' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Johan Manzambi M | 8.2 | 72' | 1 | – | 3 | 24 (18%) | – |
| 35 João Gomes M | 7.7 | 72' | – | 1 | – | 32 (28%) | 2 |
| 47 Alysson M | 7.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 2 |
| 2 Matty Cash D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 38 (31%) | 3 |
| 29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D | 7.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | 1 |
| 6 Ross Barkley M | 7.2 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 5 Tyrone Mings D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | – |
| 27 Leon Goretzka M | 7.0 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 14 Pau Torres D | 7.0 | 13' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 7 John McGinn M | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 4 |
| 19 Ibrahim Mbaye F | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | 3 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 3 Victor Lindelöf D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (48%) | – |
| 8 Boubacar Kamara M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (36%) | 5 |
| 1 Zion Suzuki G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (30%) | – |
| 10 Emiliano Buendía M | 6.6 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 6 |
| 11 Nicolas Jackson F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 21 (15%) | – |
Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Newcastle vs Aston Villa
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Expected goals (xG)
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newcastle vs Aston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0 - 2 | Aston Villa |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Aston Villa | 0 - 0 | Newcastle |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Aston Villa | 4 - 1 | Newcastle |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | H Everton | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Everton | L | 3 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Crystal Palace | W | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Aston Villa | L | 0 - 1 |
Aston Villa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | A Barcelona | L | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Manchester City | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Viking | W | 3 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Jaissle
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | L. Horníček | G |
| 67 | L. Miley | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 6 | Nico González | M |
| 7 | Joelinton | M |
| 20 | M. Fernandez-Pardo | M |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 11 | H. Barnes | M |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | Sean Steur | M |
| 17 | B. Touré | F |
| 10 | W. Osula | F |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 5 | F. Schär | D |
| 33 | D. Burn | D |
| 37 | A. Dedić | D |
| 8 | A. Bamba | M |
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Unai Emery
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Suzuki | G |
| 2 | M. Cash | D |
| 3 | V. Lindelöf | D |
| 5 | T. Mings | D |
| 29 | A. Wan-Bissaka | D |
| 8 | B. Kamara | M |
| 35 | João Gomes | M |
| 47 | Alysson Edward | M |
| 44 | J. Manzambi | M |
| 10 | E. Buendía | M |
| 11 | N. Jackson | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | T. Harwood-Bellis | D |
| 14 | Pau Torres | D |
| 7 | J. McGinn | M |
| 6 | R. Barkley | M |
| 26 | L. Bogarde | M |
| 27 | L. Goretzka | M |
| 19 | I. Mbaye | F |
| 40 | M. Bizot | G |
| 39 | Brian Madjo | F |