Arsenal vs Leeds Prédiction
FT
Emirates Stadium, London
Prédiction IA
Arsenal pour gagner ou match nul
67%
22%
11%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Arsenal vs Leeds : Sportiko estime que Arsenal a 67% de chances de s'imposer, Leeds 11% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 10 Oct 2026, 13:26.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%
- Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
▮
36'
Ao Tanaka
Yellow Card
▮
38'
Ethan Ampadu
Yellow Card
▮
39'
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⚽
0–1
55'
James Justin
assist: Gabriel Gudmundsson
▮
59'
Tarik Muharemović
Yellow Card
Riccardo Calafiori
assist: Ben White
62'
⚽
1–1
Ben White
⇄ J. Timber
63'
⇄
Kai Havertz
⇄ Viktor Gyökeres
63'
⇄
Myles Lewis-Skelly
⇄ Bruno Guimarães
63'
⇄
Bruno Guimarães
assist: Declan Rice
70'
⚽
2–1
⇄
71'
Ao Tanaka
⇄ Harry Wilson
⇄
71'
Noah Okafor
⇄ Brenden Aaronson
▮
78'
James Justin
Yellow Card
⇄
79'
James Justin
⇄ Lukas Nmecha
Riccardo Calafiori
⇄ Piero Hincapié
82'
⇄
Martin Ødegaard
Yellow Card
84'
▮
⇄
86'
Jayden Bogle
⇄ Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
⇄
86'
Nico Elvedi
⇄ Jaka Bijol
Martin Ødegaard
⇄ Mikel Merino
90'
⇄
FT 2–1
Arsenal
Match Stats
Leeds
58%
Ball Possession
42%
2.14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
3
8
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
4
3
Corner Kicks
4
7
Offsides
4
12
Fouls
20
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
513
Total passes
352
435
Passes accurate
276
19
Free Kicks
12
Arsenal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 8.0 | 27' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (20%) | – |
| 41 Declan Rice M | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 71 (63%) | 2 |
| 33 Riccardo Calafiori D | 7.5 | 82' | 1 | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 20 Noni Madueke M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 39 (32%) | – |
| 1 David Raya G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
| 4 Ben White D | 7.0 | 63' | – | 1 | – | 33 (25%) | 3 |
| 15 Ezri Konsa D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 3 |
| 49 Myles Lewis-Skelly M | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 51 (48%) | – |
| 14 Viktor Gyökeres F | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 12 J. Timber D | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 8 Martin Ødegaard M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 59 (53%) | – |
| 5 Piero Hincapié D | 6.4 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 6 Gabriel Magalhães D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (46%) | – |
| 29 Kai Havertz F | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 7 Bukayo Saka M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (27%) | 1 |
Leeds
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 24 James Justin D | 6.9 | 79' | 1 | – | 3 | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 30 Nico Elvedi D | 6.7 | 86' | – | – | – | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 4 Ethan Ampadu M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (38%) | 1 |
| 5 Tarik Muharemović D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (46%) | – |
| 15 Jaka Bijol D | 6.4 | 4' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 14 Lukas Nmecha F | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 23 Jean-Mattéo Bahoya F | 6.3 | 4' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 18 Anton Stach M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 32 (28%) | 3 |
| 10 Harry Wilson F | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 11 Brenden Aaronson M | 6.1 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 2 Jayden Bogle M | 6.1 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | – |
| 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (7%) | – |
| 19 Noah Okafor M | 6.0 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 1 James Trafford G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (29%) | – |
| 22 Ao Tanaka M | 5.7 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Medium (67%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Arsenal pour gagner ou match nul
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Arsenal
WWWDW
Leeds
WLDDL
Last 3 meetings
Arsenal · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming Premier League clash between Arsenal and Leeds, Arsenal will look to leverage their strong attacking play, having scored an average of 2.3 goals per match this season. Leeds, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Arsenal's midfield control and pressing game could exploit Leeds' vulnerabilities, especially in transition. Both teams will need to manage their respective injuries and maintain discipline to secure points in this encounter. Overall, Arsenal's current form suggests they will be favored to secure a win.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
67%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
11%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Arsenal
K. Havertz
3 gls
Leeds
D. Calvert-Lewin
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Arsenal vs Leeds
3
Arsenal Wins
0
Draws
0
Leeds Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 0 - 4 | Arsenal |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Arsenal | 5 - 0 | Leeds |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Arsenal | 4 - 1 | Leeds |
Arsenal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Hull City | W | 1 - 0 |
| 04 Nov | A Slavia Praha | W | 1 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A Liverpool | W | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Fleetwood Town | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Everton | W | 2 - 0 |
Leeds — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Tottenham | W | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Sunderland | D | 0 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Manchester United | D | 1 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Arsenal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mikel Arteta
1
Raya
33
Calafiori
6
Magalhães
15
Konsa
4
White
49
Lewis-Skelly
41
Rice
20
Madueke
8
Ødegaard
7
Saka
29
Havertz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Raya | G |
| 4 | B. White | D |
| 15 | E. Konsa | D |
| 6 | Gabriel Magalhães | D |
| 33 | R. Calafiori | D |
| 41 | D. Rice | M |
| 49 | M. Lewis-Skelly | M |
| 7 | B. Saka | M |
| 8 | M. Ødegaard | M |
| 20 | N. Madueke | M |
| 29 | K. Havertz | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | V. Gyökeres | F |
| 56 | M. Dowman | F |
| 39 | Bruno Guimarães | M |
| 36 | Martín Zubimendi | M |
| 23 | Mikel Merino | M |
| 10 | E. Eze | M |
| 12 | J. Timber | D |
| 5 | P. Hincapié | D |
| 13 | Kepa | G |
Leeds
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: D. Farke
1
Trafford
5
Muharemović
30
Elvedi
24
Justin
3
Gudmundsson
22
Tanaka
4
Ampadu
2
Bogle
19
Okafor
18
Stach
9
Calvert-Lewin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Trafford | G |
| 24 | J. Justin | D |
| 30 | N. Elvedi | D |
| 5 | T. Muharemović | D |
| 2 | J. Bogle | M |
| 4 | E. Ampadu | M |
| 22 | A. Tanaka | M |
| 3 | G. Gudmundsson | M |
| 18 | A. Stach | M |
| 19 | N. Okafor | M |
| 9 | D. Calvert-Lewin | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | L. Nmecha | F |
| 23 | J. Bahoya | F |
| 16 | M. Zetterer | G |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 15 | J. Bijol | D |
| 8 | S. Longstaff | M |
| 44 | I. Gruev | M |
| 10 | H. Wilson | F |
| 11 | B. Aaronson | M |