Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Predicción
Predicción Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: Sportiko le da a Celta Vigo un 50% de probabilidad de ganar, a Osasuna un 21% y al empate un 29%. Última actualización: 27 Aug 2026, 20:30.
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Match Report
Celta Vigo took an early lead through Iago Aspas, who struck in the 14th minute to give the hosts a 1–0 advantage at half-time. However, the match turned dramatically in the second half when Marcos Alonso was shown a red card in the 51st minute, leaving Celta a man down and altering the contest entirely.
Osasuna capitalised swiftly on the numerical advantage. Kike Barja levelled matters in the 54th minute, and Ante Budimir then converted a penalty in the 63rd minute to put the visitors ahead. Despite our pre-match AI model rating a Celta win as the most likely outcome at 50%, Osasuna ultimately proved the stronger side. The underlying statistics told a clear story, with Osasuna registering 12 total shots to Celta's two and posting a commanding expected goals figure of 2.17 against the hosts' 0.09.
Celta were unable to find an equaliser despite a flurry of substitutions in the second half, and Osasuna held on to claim all three points in a match that swung decisively after the hour mark.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Celta Vigo
Match Stats
Celta Vigo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Iago Aspas F | 7.6 | 52' | 1 | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | – |
| 19 Williot Swedberg F | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | 2 |
| 8 Miguel Román M | 6.9 | 89' | – | 1 | – | 71 (66%) | – |
| 5 Sergio Carreira D | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 11 Pablo Durán F | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 23 Hugo Álvarez M | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 39 Jones El-Abdellaoui F | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 9 Ferran Jutglà F | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 17 Javier Rueda M | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 20 Javi Rodríguez D | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 67 (60%) | – |
| 2 Carl Starfelt D | 6.3 | 37' | – | – | – | 17 (17%) | 1 |
| 29 Yoel Lago D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 22 Javi Galán M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | – | 40 (30%) | 2 |
| 3 Marcos Alonso D | 6.2 | 51' | – | – | – | 74 (66%) | – |
| 6 Ilaix Moriba M | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 57 (53%) | 1 |
| 13 Ionuț Radu G | 5.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 37 (23%) | – |
Osasuna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Alejandro Catena D | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 87 (81%) | – |
| 17 Ante Budimir F | 7.3 | 31' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | 2 |
| 11 Kike Barja M | 7.2 | 74' | 1 | – | 2 | 27 (24%) | 1 |
| 8 Iker Muñoz M | 6.9 | 44' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | – |
| 6 Lucas Torró M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 55 (46%) | 2 |
| 29 Asier Osambela D | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 72 (61%) | 1 |
| 16 Moi Gómez F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 9 Raúl García de Haro F | 6.6 | 82' | – | 1 | 3 | 17 (16%) | – |
| 5 Jorge Herrando D | 6.5 | 58' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | – |
| 7 Jon Moncayola M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 2 |
| 1 Sergio Herrera G | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 23 Abel Bretones D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 44 (40%) | – |
| 27 Iñigo Arguibide D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 2 |
| 21 Jonathan Dubasin M | 6.3 | 58' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 14 Rubén García M | 5.9 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 10 Aimar Oroz M | — | 7' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
- Ventaja de Valor — modelo vs. mercado
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
A. Budimir
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb 2026 | Celta Vigo | 1 - 2 | Osasuna |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Osasuna | 2 - 3 | Celta Vigo |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Celta Vigo | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
Celta Vigo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 5 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Omonia Nicosia | L | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | A Getafe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Real Sociedad | D | 0 - 0 |
Osasuna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Rayo Vallecano | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | A Atletico Madrid | L | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Espanyol | L | 0 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Alaves | L | 5 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | H Getafe | W | 1 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Lineups Not Yet Available
Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.