Leeds vs Burnley Prognose
Leeds vs. Burnley Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Leeds eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 54%, für Burnley 16% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Leeds secured a comfortable home victory over Burnley, moving through the gears across 90 minutes despite a scoreline that perhaps flatters the hosts given the underlying numbers. An early goal in the eighth minute gave Leeds a platform, though the match was feisty in the first half with four yellow cards distributed before the break, including bookings for Struijk, Humphreys, Tchaouna, and Rodon.
The second half brought the game to life. Okafor doubled the lead just after the hour mark before Calvert-Lewin added a third two minutes later to effectively end the contest. Burnley pulled one back through Tchaouna on 71 minutes, but it proved little more than a consolation. The visitors actually dominated the statistical picture — 18 total shots to Leeds' nine, an xG of 1.64 compared to just 0.57 for the home side — yet were unable to convert their chances into goals when it mattered.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leeds win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that proved correct. Calvert-Lewin was withdrawn late on after completing a productive evening, with Leeds seeing out the final minutes without alarm.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Leeds
Match Stats
Leeds
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Anton Stach M | 8.0 | 72' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (11%) | 2 |
| 19 Noah Okafor F | 7.3 | 65' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (19%) | 1 |
| 15 Jaka Bijol D | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 63 (54%) | 1 |
| 2 Jayden Bogle M | 7.3 | 89' | – | 1 | – | 22 (19%) | 1 |
| 24 James Justin M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (21%) | 4 |
| 26 Karl Darlow G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (28%) | – |
| 8 Sean Longstaff M | 7.0 | 18' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 22 Ao Tanaka M | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 50 (46%) | – |
| 14 Lukas Nmecha F | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 3 | – |
| 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F | 6.7 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 15 (8%) | – |
| 11 Brenden Aaronson M | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 4 Ethan Ampadu M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | – |
| 6 Joe Rodon D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (32%) | – |
| 5 Pascal Struijk D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (58%) | – |
| 29 Wilfried Gnonto F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Daniel James M | — | 1' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
Burnley
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Loum Tchaouna M | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 23 Lucas Pires D | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 25 Zeki Amdouni F | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 18 Hjalmar Ekdal D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (59%) | 3 |
| 28 Hannibal Mejbri M | 6.6 | 36' | – | – | – | 40 (31%) | – |
| 1 Martin Dubravka G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (26%) | – |
| 20 James Ward-Prowse M | 6.6 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 31 (28%) | – |
| 16 Florentino Luís M | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 2 |
| 19 Zian Flemming F | 6.6 | 76' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 5 Maxime Estève D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (60%) | 1 |
| 11 Jaidon Anthony M | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 29 Josh Laurent M | 6.5 | 54' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 27 Armando Broja F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 2 Kyle Walker D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| 3 Quilindschy Hartman D | 5.9 | 65' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | 2 |
| 12 Bashir Humphreys D | 5.7 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 47 (40%) | 1 |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für Leeds vs Burnley freischalten
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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D. Calvert-Lewin
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Leeds vs Burnley
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Burnley | 2 - 0 | Leeds |
| 02 Jan 2022 | Leeds | 3 - 1 | Burnley |
| 29 Aug 2021 | Burnley | 1 - 1 | Leeds |
Leeds — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Crystal Palace | D | 0 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | H Newcastle | W | 4 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Chelsea | L | 6 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Brighton | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brentford | D | 1 - 1 |
Burnley — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Derby | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Swansea | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Wrexham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bristol City | L | 1 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Middlesbrough | D | 1 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Burnley
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Mike Jackson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Dubravka | G |
| 2 | K. Walker | D |
| 18 | H. Ekdal | D |
| 5 | M. Esteve | D |
| 12 | B. Humphreys | D |
| 3 | Q. Hartman | D |
| 17 | L. Tchaouna | M |
| 29 | J. Laurent | M |
| 20 | J. Ward-Prowse | M |
| 11 | J. Anthony | M |
| 19 | Z. Flemming | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | M. Weiss | G |
| 4 | J. Worrall | D |
| 27 | A. Broja | F |
| 28 | H. Mejbri | M |
| 8 | L. Ugochukwu | M |
| 23 | Lucas Pires | D |
| 10 | M. Edwards | F |
| 16 | Florentino | M |
| 25 | Z. Amdouni | F |
Leeds
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: D. Farke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | K. Darlow | G |
| 6 | J. Rodon | D |
| 15 | J. Bijol | D |
| 5 | P. Struijk | D |
| 2 | J. Bogle | M |
| 18 | A. Stach | M |
| 4 | E. Ampadu | M |
| 22 | A. Tanaka | M |
| 24 | J. Justin | M |
| 9 | D. Calvert-Lewin | F |
| 19 | N. Okafor | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Lucas Perri | G |
| 7 | D. James | M |
| 23 | S. Bornauw | D |
| 25 | S. Byram | D |
| 14 | L. Nmecha | F |
| 8 | S. Longstaff | M |
| 10 | J. Piroe | F |
| 11 | B. Aaronson | M |
| 29 | W. Gnonto | F |