Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City Prognose

A-League · Regular Season - 20

06 Mar 2027, 08:40

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Melbourne City

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Melbourne Victory

55%

26%

19%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Melbourne Victory vs. Melbourne City Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Melbourne Victory eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 55%, für Melbourne City 19% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Melbourne City

LWDLW

Last 3 meetings Melbourne Victory · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne Victory faces Melbourne City in a pivotal encounter. Both teams have shown contrasting forms this season, with City boasting a stronger attack, averaging 2.1 goals per match compared to Victory's 1.3. Defensively, City also holds an edge, allowing only 1 goal per game against Victory's 1.6. Key players to watch include City’s top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Victory’s playmaker, who will need to orchestrate their attack effectively. This match could be crucial for playoff positioning as both teams aim for consistency.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

55%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	13	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	4.8%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
1	10.2%	12.6%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.3%	9.9%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	6.1%	5.9%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.7%	2.6%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne Victory	Draw	Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory	34.9%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	18.8%	16.3%	7.7%
Melbourne City	2.6%	4.0%	10.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City

2 Melbourne Victory Wins

0 Draws

1 Melbourne City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Melbourne City	1 - 3	Melbourne Victory
20 Dec 2025	Melbourne City	0 - 1	Melbourne Victory
08 Nov 2025	Melbourne Victory	0 - 2	Melbourne City

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.