Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory Prognose

A-League · Regular Season - 15

30 Jan 2027, 06:00

Post on X

Melbourne Victory

Away

McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Newcastle Jets

60%

25%

15%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Newcastle Jets vs. Melbourne Victory Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Newcastle Jets eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 60%, für Melbourne Victory 15% und für ein Unentschieden 25%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Newcastle Jets

LWDDL

Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Last 2 meetings Newcastle Jets · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Newcastle Jets will face Melbourne Victory in a critical matchup. Newcastle Jets have shown strong attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while their defense has been solid, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Melbourne Victory, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, managing only 1.2 goals per game and facing defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.5 goals on average. This contest could hinge on Newcastle's ability to capitalize on their home ground advantage and maintain defensive discipline against Melbourne's counter-attacks. Expect a tightly contested match with tactical nuances playing a key role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Melbourne Victory goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Newcastle Jets goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	4.2%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.7%	11.9%	4.6%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.5%	10.0%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	7.3%	6.3%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.5%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets	38.7%	3.6%	1.0%
Draw	20.0%	15.4%	6.4%
Melbourne Victory	2.6%	3.7%	8.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory

1 Newcastle Jets Wins

1 Draws

0 Melbourne Victory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Apr 2026	Melbourne Victory	2 - 2	Newcastle Jets
24 Oct 2025	Newcastle Jets	5 - 2	Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Preston Lions	L	3 - 2
25 Apr	H Central Coast Mariners	W	4 - 0
17 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	2 - 2
11 Apr	H Adelaide United	D	1 - 1
02 Apr	A Macarthur	L	3 - 2

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.