Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prognose

A-League · Regular Season - 14

23 Jan 2027, 06:00

Post on X

Wellington Phoenix

Away

Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

KI-Tipp Brisbane Roar oder Unentschieden

35%

33%

32%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Brisbane Roar vs. Wellington Phoenix Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Brisbane Roar eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 35%, für Wellington Phoenix 32% und für ein Unentschieden 33%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Brisbane Roar

LLLDD

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Last 3 meetings Brisbane Roar · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Brisbane Roar faces Wellington Phoenix in an A-League clash on January 23, 2027. The Roar will look to leverage their strong attacking metrics, having averaged 1.5 goals per game this season, while their defense has shown resilience with a clean sheet rate of 30%. In contrast, Wellington Phoenix has struggled on the road, recording fewer than 1 goal per game and a higher concession rate. This matchup presents an opportunity for Brisbane to assert dominance, particularly if they can maintain possession and capitalize on set pieces. Both teams will be keen to secure points, but the Roar's home form suggests they might have the upper hand.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Wellington Phoenix goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	11	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Brisbane Roar goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Draw

33%

Away Win

32%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Draw

33%

Away Win

32%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Home (No Draw) 48% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 32% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.7%	10.6%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.2%	15.3%	7.0%	2.4%	0.6%
2	7.1%	7.4%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
3	2.6%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar	20.1%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	14.1%	22.6%	13.2%
Wellington Phoenix	1.5%	4.2%	18.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix

0 Brisbane Roar Wins

0 Draws

3 Wellington Phoenix Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Brisbane Roar	1 - 2	Wellington Phoenix
03 Jan 2026	Brisbane Roar	0 - 3	Wellington Phoenix
26 Oct 2025	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 1	Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 Aug	H Sydney	L	2 - 4
25 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	2 - 1
18 Apr	H Melbourne City	L	2 - 3
10 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	2 - 2
02 Apr	H Sydney	D	0 - 0

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.