Alverca vs Arouca Prognose
FT
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
KI-Tipp
Alverca oder Unentschieden
44%
29%
27%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Alverca vs. Arouca Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Alverca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Arouca 27% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 24 Oct 2026, 18:56.
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Timeline
Steven Baseya
Red Card
6'
▮
Francisco Chissumba
⇄ Yaya Bojang
9'
⇄
▮
19'
Jose Fontán
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
24'
Taichi Fukui
assist: Javi Sánchez
Rayan Lucas
⇄ Ian Luccas
45'
⇄
HT 0–1
▮
54'
Pedro Santos
Yellow Card
⇄
61'
Pedro Santos
⇄ Mateo Flores
Dawda Camara
⇄ Matheus França
62'
⇄
⇄
67'
Ivan Barbero
⇄ Dylan Nandín
⇄
67'
Jose Fontán
⇄ Boris Popović
Figueiredo
Yellow Card
71'
▮
Figueiredo
⇄ Nabil Touaizi
75'
⇄
Davy Gui
⇄ Zé Rafael
75'
⇄
⇄
79'
Taichi Fukui
⇄ Hyun-ju Lee
⇄
79'
Alfonso Trezza
⇄ Brian Mansilla
FT 0–1
Alverca
Match Stats
Arouca
29%
Ball Possession
71%
0.43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
10
Total Shots
17
1
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots off Goal
9
4
Blocked Shots
4
5
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
10
3
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
279
Total passes
711
222
Passes accurate
641
14
Free Kicks
9
Alverca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Yaya Bojang D | 6.8 | 81' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 1 |
| 21 Sergi Gómez D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (45%) | – |
| 12 Isaac James D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (51%) | – |
| 26 Matheus França F | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | 2 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 22 Figueiredo F | 6.5 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | 2 |
| 20 Diogo Spencer M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 21 (17%) | – |
| 25 Ian Luccas M | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 93 Zé Rafael M | 6.4 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 31 Matheus Mendes G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | – |
| 6 Davy Gui M | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 2 Nabil Touaizi F | 6.2 | 15' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 55 Francisco Chissumba M | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Chiquinho F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 5 (2%) | 2 |
| 35 Rayan Lucas M | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 19 Dawda Camara F | 6.0 | 62' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 14 Steven Baseya D | 5.3 | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Arouca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Javi Sánchez D | 8.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 112 (106%) | 1 |
| 8 Taichi Fukui M | 8.2 | 79' | 1 | – | 3 | 29 (25%) | 2 |
| 18 Orest Lebedenko D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 76 (69%) | 3 |
| 3 Jose Fontán D | 7.4 | 67' | – | – | – | 82 (80%) | 2 |
| 28 Tiago Esgaio D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (47%) | 1 |
| 5 Boris Popović D | 7.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 6 Espen Van Ee M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 109 (100%) | 1 |
| 89 Pedro Santos M | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 82 (77%) | – |
| 21 Mateo Flores M | 7.0 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 16 (15%) | 1 |
| 14 Hyun-ju Lee M | 6.8 | 11' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 7 Naïs Djouahra M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 54 (45%) | 1 |
| 12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | – |
| 23 Dylan Nandín F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 2 |
| 24 Brian Mansilla F | 6.4 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 17 Ivan Barbero F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 19 Alfonso Trezza M | 6.2 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (44%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Alverca oder Unentschieden
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Alverca
DLLLW
Arouca
LWWWW
Last 2 meetings
Alverca · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
Alverca faces Arouca in a Primeira Liga matchup that is crucial for both teams as they look to secure vital points. Alverca has demonstrated solid defensive statistics this season, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Arouca has struggled to find the net consistently, averaging only 1 goal per game. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Alverca's ball retention could disrupt Arouca's attacking rhythm. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as they have shown vulnerability in defending them. Overall, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
27%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Alverca
Vivaldo Semedo
3 gls
Arouca
Barbero
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alverca vs Arouca
1
Alverca Wins
0
Draws
1
Arouca Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | Alverca | 2 - 1 | Arouca |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 1 - 0 | Alverca |
Alverca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Casa Pia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Benfica | L | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Arouca | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Tondela | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Oct | A Famalicao | W | 1 - 4 |
Arouca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Famalicao | L | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H Nacional | W | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A Alverca | W | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A CF Os Belenenses | W | 3 - 4 |
| 11 Oct | H Estrela | W | 1 - 0 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |
Academico Viseu
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |
GIL Vicente
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |
SC Braga
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |
Famalicao
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |
Estrela
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |
Vitória SC
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
Maritimo
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rio Ave
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 |
Arouca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
12
Arruabarrena
18
Lebedenko
3
Fontán
15
Sánchez
28
Esgaio
89
Santos
6
Ee
7
Djouahra
8
Fukui
19
Trezza
17
Barbero
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | I. de Arruabarrena | G |
| 28 | Tiago Esgaio | D |
| 15 | Javi Sánchez | D |
| 3 | José Fontán | D |
| 18 | O. Lebedenko | D |
| 6 | E. van Ee | M |
| 89 | Pedro Santos | M |
| 19 | A. Trezza | M |
| 8 | T. Fukui | M |
| 7 | N. Djouahra | M |
| 17 | Barbero | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Mateo Flores | M |
| 37 | Mario Climent | D |
| 10 | Pablo Gozálbez | M |
| 14 | Lee Hyun-Ju | M |
| 24 | B. Mansilla | F |
| 9 | F. Mayulu | F |
| 4 | Diogo Monteiro | D |
| 23 | D. Nandín | F |
| 5 | B. Popović | D |
| 20 | G. Rukavina | F |
| 2 | L. Shahar | D |
| 1 | J. Vinarčík | G |
Alverca
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
31
Mendes
12
James
21
Gómez
14
Baseya
55
Chissumba
6
Gui
35
Rayan
20
Marques
22
Figueiredo
19
Camara
10
Chiquinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matheus Mendes | G |
| 14 | S. Baseya | D |
| 21 | Sergi Gómez | D |
| 12 | I. James | D |
| 20 | Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques | M |
| 35 | Rayan | M |
| 6 | D. Gui | M |
| 55 | Francisco Chissumba | M |
| 10 | Chiquinho | F |
| 19 | D. Camara | F |
| 22 | Figueiredo | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Y. Bojang | D |
| 7 | André Vidigal | F |
| 26 | Matheus França | F |
| 24 | E. Jemide | D |
| 17 | S. Merheg | F |
| 11 | C. Nuozzi | F |
| 9 | Vivaldo Semedo | F |
| 93 | Zé Rafael | M |
| 2 | Zoubdi | F |
| 8 | Vasco Moreira | M |
| 91 | Jhonatan | G |
| 25 | Ian Luccas | M |