Venezia vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

23 Aug 2026, 16:30

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Lecce

Away

KI-Tipp Lecce oder Unentschieden

28%

29%

43%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Venezia vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives Venezia a 28% chance of winning, Lecce 43% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:46.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Venezia

LWWDW

Lecce

DDWWL

Last 2 meetings Venezia · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

Venezia will face Lecce in a Serie A clash on August 23, 2026. Both teams have shown varying performances in recent seasons, with Venezia looking to solidify their position in the top half of the table while Lecce aims to avoid relegation threats. Key players to watch include Venezia's attacking midfielder, who has been instrumental in creating goal-scoring opportunities, and Lecce’s defensive unit, which will need to be organized to withstand pressure. The match will be crucial for both teams as they seek to gain momentum early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lecce goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Venezia goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	8.8%	7.8%	3.9%	1.5%
1	6.6%	13.8%	9.2%	4.6%	1.7%
2	4.8%	7.2%	5.4%	2.7%	1.0%
3	1.9%	2.8%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Venezia	Draw	Lecce
Venezia	17.1%	4.8%	2.6%
Draw	10.6%	17.8%	16.3%
Lecce	1.6%	4.1%	25.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Venezia vs Lecce

0 Venezia Wins

1 Draws

1 Lecce Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Apr 2025	Lecce	1 - 1	Venezia
25 Nov 2024	Venezia	0 - 1	Lecce

Venezia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Saint Etienne	L	4 - 3
27 Jul	A Galatasaray	W	0 - 3
23 Jul	H Vis Pesaro	W	8 - 0
21 Mar	A Monza	D	1 - 1
17 Mar	H Padova	W	3 - 1

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	H Istra 1961	D	2 - 2
22 Jul	H FC Politehnica Timisoara	D	0 - 0
24 May	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
17 May	A Sassuolo	W	2 - 3
09 May	H Juventus	L	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.