Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prognose
Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hamburger SV eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 24%, für VfB Stuttgart 52% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 17 Oct 2026, 15:32.
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Match Report
Hamburger SV claimed a narrow 1–0 victory over VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga matchday six, with the decisive moment arriving deep in the second half. A goalless first half gave little indication of what was to come, as both sides struggled to break the deadlock despite HSV enjoying the lion's share of possession.
The hosts dominated throughout, controlling 66% of the ball and registering 24 total shots to Stuttgart's 14, though clear chances remained elusive for much of the contest. A flurry of substitutions from both benches around the 67th and 77th minutes reshaped the game, and it was Miro Muheim who finally settled matters with a goal in the 88th minute to send the home side to victory. Stuttgart's afternoon was further complicated by yellow cards for Nicolás Capaldo and Otto Stange in the closing stages.
Despite the xG figures sitting relatively close at 1.73 to 1.46 in HSV's favour, Stuttgart's expected threat never materialised into anything meaningful. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Stuttgart win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Hamburger SV
Match Stats
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Miro Muheim M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 28 (22%) | 1 |
| 33 Sebastiaan Bornauw D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 17 Warmed Omari D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (48%) | 2 |
| 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (21%) | – |
| 4 Bilal Nadir M | 7.2 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 32 (31%) | 3 |
| 7 Zakaria El Ouahdi D | 7.0 | 12' | – | 1 | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 5 Martin Adeline M | 7.0 | 78' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 5 |
| 11 Albert Grønbæk M | 6.8 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 22 Kofi Jeremy Amoako M | 6.8 | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 3 David Møller Wolfe M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 1 |
| 37 Louis Lemke M | 6.6 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 17 (9%) | 2 |
| 9 Terem Moffi F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 20 Fábio Vieira F | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 24 Nicolás Capaldo D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (18%) | 1 |
| 15 Yussuf Poulsen F | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 3 | 9 (6%) | 2 |
| 19 Otto Stange F | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Finn Jeltsch D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 74 (69%) | – |
| 3 Ramon Hendriks D | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 71 (66%) | 1 |
| 24 Jeff Chabot D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 82 (77%) | 3 |
| 6 Angelo Stiller M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 94 (87%) | – |
| 4 Josha Vagnoman D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 60 (57%) | 1 |
| 11 Bilal El Khannouss M | 7.1 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 46 (41%) | 2 |
| 10 Chris Führich M | 7.1 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 16 Atakan Karazor M | 6.8 | 67' | – | – | – | 52 (47%) | 2 |
| 21 Grischa Prömel M | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 41 D. Seimen G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | – |
| 18 Jamie Leweling M | 6.6 | 77' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 44 L. Sauer F | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 22 Lorenz Assignon D | 6.4 | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 17 Dženan Pejčinović F | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | 3 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 26 Deniz Undav M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 7 | 20 (16%) | – |
| 9 Ermedin Demirović F | 5.5 | 77' | – | – | 4 | 12 (9%) | – |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart freischalten
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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E. Demirović
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 - 0 | Hamburger SV |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Hamburger SV | 2 - 1 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 05 Jun 2023 | Hamburger SV | 1 - 3 | VfB Stuttgart |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 3 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | A SC Paderborn 07 | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H VfB Stuttgart | W | 1 - 0 |
VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Werder Bremen | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Galatasaray | L | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Bayer Leverkusen | W | 2 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | A SC Paderborn 07 | W | 0 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | L | 2 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: S. Hoeneb
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | D. Seimen | G |
| 4 | J. Vagnoman | D |
| 29 | Finn Jeltsch | D |
| 24 | J. Chabot | D |
| 3 | R. Hendriks | D |
| 16 | A. Karazor | M |
| 6 | A. Stiller | M |
| 11 | B. El Khannouss | M |
| 26 | D. Undav | M |
| 18 | J. Leweling | M |
| 9 | E. Demirović | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | L. Assignon | D |
| 1 | F. Bredlow | G |
| 10 | C. Führich | M |
| 14 | L. Jaquez | D |
| 17 | D. Pejčinović | F |
| 21 | G. Prömel | M |
| 44 | L. Sauer | F |
| 47 | Y. Spalt | D |
| 20 | L. Stergiou | D |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: M. Polzin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 24 | N. Capaldo | D |
| 33 | S. Bornauw | D |
| 17 | W. Omari | D |
| 3 | D. Møller Wolfe | M |
| 5 | M. Adeline | M |
| 4 | B. Nadir | M |
| 28 | M. Muheim | M |
| 37 | L. Lemke | M |
| 20 | Fábio Vieira | F |
| 15 | Y. Poulsen | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Kofi Jeremy Amoako | M |
| 7 | Z. El Ouahdi | D |
| 11 | A. Grønbæk | M |
| 9 | T. Moffi | F |
| 43 | S. Nandja | D |
| 38 | Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit | F |
| 19 | Otto Emerson Stange | F |
| 23 | J. Torunarigha | D |
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |