Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prognose
Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
KI-Tipp
Osasuna oder Unentschieden
37%
30%
33%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Osasuna eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 37%, für Rayo Vallecano 33% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 19 Sep 2026, 13:57.
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- Heimteam trifft 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
- Auswärtsteam trifft 71%
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Timeline
Ante Budimir
16'
⚽
1–0
Asier Osambela
Yellow Card
21'
▮
▮
24'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Yellow Card
HT 1–0
⚽
1–1
50'
Sergio Camello
assist: Adrià Pedrosa
Kike Barja
⇄ Raúl Moro
56'
⇄
Diego Rico
⇄ Abel Bretones
56'
⇄
⇄
60'
Óscar Valentín
⇄ Pedro Díaz
Jon Moncayola
Yellow Card
67'
▮
Jon Moncayola
⇄ Lucas Torró
69'
⇄
Rubén García
⇄ Jonathan Dubasin
69'
⇄
⇄
71'
Jorge de Frutos
⇄ Georgiy Tsitaishvili
⇄
71'
Sergio Camello
⇄ Alemão
Unai Santos
⇄ Raúl García de Haro
73'
⇄
Sergio Herrera
Yellow Card
77'
▮
⇄
87'
Unai López
⇄ Gnangoro Bouaré
⇄
87'
Álvaro García
⇄ Iván Balliu
▮
90+6'
Alemão
Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Osasuna
Match Stats
Rayo Vallecano
37%
Ball Possession
63%
9
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
9
2
Blocked Shots
8
8
Shots insidebox
6
1
Shots outsidebox
13
4
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
21
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
265
Total passes
477
185
Passes accurate
396
12
Free Kicks
20
Osasuna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Ante Budimir F | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 10 (6%) | 2 |
| 18 Raúl Moro F | 6.9 | 34' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 9 Raúl García de Haro F | 6.8 | 17' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 8 Iker Muñoz M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (25%) | – |
| 15 Diego Rico D | 6.6 | 56' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | 1 |
| 14 Rubén García M | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 24 Alejandro Catena D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | – |
| 27 Iñigo Arguibide D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 11 Kike Barja M | 6.4 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 21 Jonathan Dubasin F | 6.4 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 6 Lucas Torró M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 13 Aitor Fernández G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (14%) | – |
| 35 Unai Santos D | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 22 (12%) | – |
| 23 Abel Bretones D | 6.1 | 34' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 7 Jon Moncayola M | 6.0 | 69' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | 2 |
| 29 Asier Osambela D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (18%) | 1 |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sergio Camello F | 8.0 | 71' | 1 | – | 4 | 22 (21%) | 2 |
| 17 Adrià Pedrosa D | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 38 (32%) | 6 |
| 25 Emil Audero G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (16%) | – |
| 24 Florian Lejeune D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 63 (58%) | 2 |
| 23 Óscar Valentín M | 6.8 | 60' | – | – | – | 46 (42%) | 1 |
| 19 Jorge de Frutos F | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 17 (12%) | 1 |
| 15 Mujaid Sadick D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (43%) | – |
| 8 Unai López M | 6.6 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 75 (63%) | 3 |
| 4 Pedro Díaz M | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 63 (54%) | 3 |
| 2 Andrei Rațiu D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (30%) | – |
| 9 Alemão F | 6.4 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 18 Álvaro García F | 6.4 | 87' | – | – | 5 | 18 (11%) | 3 |
| 20 Iván Balliu D | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 36 Gnangoro Bouaré M | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 14 Georgiy Tsitaishvili F | 6.2 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Osasuna oder Unentschieden
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Osasuna
DLLLW
Rayo Vallecano
DWLWL
Last 3 meetings
Osasuna · 2W 1D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming La Liga match, Osasuna faces Rayo Vallecano at their home ground. Osasuna has shown a solid defensive record, conceding only 8 goals in their last 10 matches, while Rayo Vallecano's attack has been inconsistent, averaging 1 goal per game during the same stretch. The key battle will likely occur in midfield, where Osasuna’s ability to control possession could stifle Rayo's counter-attacking threat. Both teams will be looking to secure vital points, but Osasuna's defensive resilience gives them a slight edge.
Live insights
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.5%. Late goal chance: 32.5%.
51'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 46.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 1-0. Osasuna leads. Win probability: 73.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.7%.
16'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Osasuna win: 68.8%. BTTS: 63.6%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
33%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Osasuna
A. Budimir
5 gls
Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
2
Osasuna Wins
1
Draws
0
Rayo Vallecano Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 - 3 | Osasuna |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Osasuna | 2 - 0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | Rayo Vallecano |
Osasuna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Rayo Vallecano | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | A Atletico Madrid | L | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Espanyol | L | 0 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Alaves | L | 5 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | H Getafe | W | 1 - 0 |
Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Osasuna | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Espanyol | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Real Madrid | L | 4 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Barcelona | L | 5 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Osasuna
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis
13
Fernández
15
Rico
35
Santos
24
Catena
29
Osambela
27
Arguibide
11
Barja
8
Muñoz
7
Moncayola
14
García
17
Budimir
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aitor Fernández | G |
| 27 | Íñigo Arguibide | D |
| 29 | Asier Osambela | D |
| 24 | Catena | D |
| 35 | U. Santos | D |
| 15 | Diego Rico | D |
| 14 | Rubén García | M |
| 7 | Moncayola | M |
| 8 | Iker Muñoz | M |
| 11 | Kike Barja | M |
| 17 | A. Budimir | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Asier Bonel | F |
| 20 | R. Del Castillo | M |
| 21 | Jonathan Dubasin | F |
| 26 | Mauro Echegoyen | M |
| 31 | Rafa Fernández | G |
| 9 | Raúl García | F |
| 1 | Sergio Herrera | G |
| 18 | Raul Moro | F |
| 6 | Lucas Torró | M |
| 48 | R. Yeboah | D |
| 22 | F. Boyomo | D |
| 23 | Abel Bretones | D |
Rayo Vallecano
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Beñat San José
25
Audero
17
Pedrosa
24
Lejeune
15
Sadick
2
Rațiu
23
Valentín
6
Ciss
8
López
18
García
10
Camello
19
Frutos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | E. Audero | G |
| 2 | A. Rațiu | D |
| 15 | Mujaid Sadick | D |
| 24 | F. Lejeune | D |
| 17 | Adrià Pedrosa | D |
| 8 | Unai López | M |
| 6 | P. Ciss | M |
| 23 | Óscar Valentín | M |
| 19 | Jorge de Frutos | F |
| 10 | Sergio Camello | F |
| 18 | Álvaro García | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Dani Cárdenas | G |
| 20 | I. Balliu | D |
| 37 | Rayane Belid | F |
| 36 | G. Bouare | M |
| 4 | Pedro Díaz | M |
| 22 | Pelayo Fernández | D |
| 3 | M. Kumbulla | D |
| 21 | Fran Pérez | F |
| 14 | G. Tsitaishvili | F |
| 9 | Alemão | F |
| 26 | Marco de las Sías | D |