Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prediction

A-League A-League · Regular Season - 19
FT
Post on X
AAMI Park, Melbourne
AI прогноза Melbourne Victory или равен
43%
23%
34%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne Victory a 43% chance of winning, Adelaide United 34% and the draw 23%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Melbourne Victory или равен
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Melbourne Victory
DWDWW
Adelaide United
LWLDD
Last 2 meetings Melbourne Victory · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash on February 27, 2026, Melbourne Victory hosts Adelaide United at AAMI Park. Historically, this matchup has been competitive, with Melbourne Victory holding a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings. Currently, Melbourne Victory is looking to leverage home advantage, where they have a strong record, winning 60% of their home games this season. Meanwhile, Adelaide United's away form has been inconsistent, with only 30% of points secured on the road. Key players to watch will be Melbourne's attacking duo, who have combined for over 20 goals this season, while Adelaide will rely on their solid midfield to control the pace of the game. Expect a tactical battle as both teams vie for crucial points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
34%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Melbourne Victory
N. Vergos 7 gls
Clarismario Rodrigues 6 gls
Mata 5 gls
Adelaide United
L. Jovanović 11 gls

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United

1 Melbourne Victory Wins
0 Draws
1 Adelaide United Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 Jan 2026 Adelaide United 2 - 1 Melbourne Victory
13 Dec 2025 Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
16 Sep A Viettel D 1 - 1
09 Sep A Sydney W 0 - 2
08 Aug A Western Sydney Wanderers D 1 - 1
26 Jul A Kingborough Lions W 0 - 4
25 Apr A Western Sydney Wanderers W 0 - 2

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
09 May A Auckland L 1 - 0
26 Apr A Melbourne City W 1 - 2
19 Apr H Macarthur L 0 - 1
11 Apr A Newcastle Jets D 1 - 1
03 Apr H Auckland D 1 - 1

A-League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Newcastle Jets
26 15 3 8 +16 48
2
Adelaide United
26 12 7 7 +10 43
3
Auckland
26 11 9 6 +13 42
4
Melbourne Victory
26 11 7 8 +11 40
5
Sydney
26 11 6 9 +8 39
6
Melbourne City
26 10 8 8 0 38
7
Macarthur
26 9 7 10 -7 34
8
Wellington Phoenix
26 9 6 11 -12 33
9
Central Coast Mariners
26 8 8 10 -7 32
10
Perth Glory
26 8 7 11 -7 31
11
Brisbane Roar
26 6 8 12 -9 26
12
Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 6 15 -16 21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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