Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Post on X

Arouca

Away

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos

AI прогноза Moreirense или равен

49%

31%

19%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Moreirense vs Arouca prediction: Sportiko gives Moreirense a 49% chance of winning, Arouca 19% and the draw 31%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

Premium

Отключи пълния AI анализ за Moreirense vs Arouca

Всички 70+ вероятностни пазара
AI задълбочен анализ на мача
Value Edge — модел срещу пазар
Pick types you choose

Премини към Premium

Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Moreirense или равен

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Moreirense

DWLLW

Arouca

DLDWL

Last 3 meetings Moreirense · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Arouca, both teams are vying for crucial points as the season approaches its climax. Moreirense, playing at home, has a slight advantage, with a home win percentage of approximately 40% this season. Conversely, Arouca has struggled away from home, securing only 25% of their points on the road. Moreirense's recent form shows they have scored an average of 1.3 goals per match, while Arouca has conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five outings. This match will likely hinge on Moreirense’s ability to exploit Arouca’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arouca goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	17	10	3	1
1	20	12	4	1
2	12	7	2
3	5	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Moreirense goals · most likely 1–0 (19.5%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Moreirense

Guilherme Schettine 9 gls

Arouca

A. Trezza 9 gls

Barbero 8 gls

Lee Hyun-Ju 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Защо тази прогноза? · Premium AI Задълбочен анализ · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Moreirense vs Arouca

1 Moreirense Wins

0 Draws

2 Arouca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Arouca	4 - 0	Moreirense
02 Nov 2025	Arouca	0 - 2	Moreirense
24 Jan 2025	Arouca	1 - 0	Moreirense

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.