Celta Vigo vs Elche Prediction
Celta Vigo vs Elche prediction: Sportiko gives Celta Vigo a 63% chance of winning, Elche 14% and the draw 23%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Celta Vigo secured a comfortable 3–1 home victory over Elche in La Liga matchday 34, with the hosts doing their damage early despite being outplayed in terms of possession. Hugo Álvarez opened the scoring in the 14th minute, and Iago Aspas doubled the lead on 30 minutes to send Celta into the break firmly in control at 2–0. The result was notable given that Elche dominated the ball with 67% possession and generated an expected goals figure of 1.71 compared to Celta's 1.05, underlining the efficiency of the home side's finishing.
The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both teams, with Aspas and Álvarez both withdrawn before the hour mark. Elche pulled one back through an André Silva penalty on 82 minutes, briefly threatening a nervy finish, but Borja Iglesias extinguished any comeback hopes just three minutes later with Celta's third goal to seal the points.
The win confirmed the pre-match assessment from our AI model, which had rated a Celta victory as the most likely outcome at 63%. Elche's inability to convert their territorial dominance into goals ultimately proved their undoing.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Celta Vigo
Match Stats
Celta Vigo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Hugo Álvarez F | 7.9 | 71' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 7 Borja Iglesias F | 7.7 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 9 Ferran Jutglà F | 7.7 | 71' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 10 Iago Aspas F | 7.7 | 63' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | 2 |
| 17 Javier Rueda M | 7.3 | 45' | – | 1 | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 5 Sergio Carreira M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 2 |
| 13 Ionuț Radu G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (19%) | – |
| 6 Ilaix Moriba M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | 3 |
| 8 Fer López M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 4 |
| 19 Williot Swedberg M | 6.9 | 19' | – | 1 | – | 4 (4%) | 2 |
| 29 Yoel Lago D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 2 |
| 32 Javi Rodríguez D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 3 |
| 14 Alvaro Núñez D | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | 1 |
| 39 Jones El-Abdellaoui F | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 3 Óscar Mingueza D | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 12 Manu Fernández D | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
Elche
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Gonzalo Villar F | 7.3 | 58' | – | – | – | 41 (39%) | – |
| 9 André Silva F | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 30 (24%) | – |
| 14 Aleix Febas M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (61%) | 2 |
| 1 Matías Dituro G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (50%) | – |
| 8 Marc Aguado M | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 53 (51%) | 1 |
| 17 Josan M | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 6 Pedro Bigas D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 83 (76%) | 1 |
| 20 Álvaro Rodriguez F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (9%) | 1 |
| 15 Tete Morente M | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | – |
| 24 Lucas Cepeda F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 18 John Donald D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (49%) | 3 |
| 3 Adrià Pedrosa M | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 1 |
| 16 Martim Neto M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 18 (18%) | 1 |
| 23 Víctor Chust D | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 34 (33%) | – |
| 39 Hector Fort D | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 22 David Affengruber D | 5.9 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 60 (54%) | 2 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Celta Vigo vs Elche
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Elche | 2 - 1 | Celta Vigo |
| 26 Apr 2023 | Celta Vigo | 1 - 0 | Elche |
| 06 Jan 2023 | Elche | 0 - 1 | Celta Vigo |
Celta Vigo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 5 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Omonia Nicosia | L | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | A Getafe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 03 Sep | A Real Sociedad | D | 0 - 0 |
Elche — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Espanyol | W | 1 - 3 |
| 15 Sep | H Real Madrid | L | 2 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | A Athletic Club | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | H Real Sociedad | L | 2 - 3 |
| 28 Aug | A Racing Santander | L | 3 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Celta Vigo
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Claudio Giraldez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | I. Radu | G |
| 32 | J. Rodriguez | D |
| 29 | Y. Lago | D |
| 14 | A. Nunez | D |
| 17 | J. Rueda | M |
| 8 | F. Lopez | M |
| 6 | I. Moriba | M |
| 5 | S. Carreira | M |
| 10 | I. Aspas | F |
| 23 | H. Alvarez | F |
| 9 | F. Jutgla | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | I. Villar | G |
| 19 | W. Swedberg | M |
| 39 | J. El Abdellaoui | F |
| 12 | M. Fernandez | D |
| 36 | A. Antanon | M |
| 21 | M. Ristic | D |
| 7 | B. Iglesias | F |
| 4 | J. Aidoo | D |
| 3 | O. Mingueza | D |
| 24 | C. Dominguez | D |
| 22 | H. Sotelo | M |
| 18 | P. Duran | F |
Elche
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Eder Sarabia
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Dituro | G |
| 18 | J. Donald | D |
| 22 | D. Affengruber | D |
| 6 | P. Bigas | D |
| 15 | Tete Morente | M |
| 8 | M. Aguado | M |
| 14 | A. Febas | M |
| 3 | A. Pedrosa | M |
| 12 | G. Villar | F |
| 20 | A. Rodriguez | F |
| 9 | Andre Silva | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | I. Pena | G |
| 45 | A. Iturbe | G |
| 17 | Josan | M |
| 19 | G. Diangana | F |
| 21 | L. Petrot | D |
| 23 | V. Chust | D |
| 16 | M. Neto | M |
| 42 | Buba Sangare | D |
| 24 | L. Cepeda | F |
| 39 | H. Fort | D |