Mansfield Town vs Luton Prediction
FT
AI прогноза
Luton или равен
33%
28%
39%
Победа за домакина
Равенство
Победа на гостите
Mansfield Town vs Luton prediction: Sportiko gives Mansfield Town a 33% chance of winning, Luton 39% and the draw 28%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 15:53.
Premium прогнози
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
- Гостите да вкарат 72%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
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Timeline
Louis Reed
Yellow Card
8'
▮
Nathan Moriah-Welsh
assist: Jon Russell
17'
⚽
1–0
▮
26'
Isaiah Jones
Yellow Card
Nathan Moriah-Welsh
assist: Regan Hendry
28'
⚽
2–0
Louis Reed
assist: Nathan Moriah-Welsh
45'
⚽
3–0
Ryan Sweeney
Yellow Card
45+2'
▮
HT 3–0
⇄
46'
Isaiah Jones
⇄ Joe Johnson
⇄
46'
Kal Naismith
⇄ Harrison Ashby
⇄
46'
Emilio Lawrence
Jon Russell
47'
⚽
4–0
Ryan Sweeney
⇄ Frazer Blake-Tracy
53'
⇄
Louis Reed
⇄ Elliott Hewitt
53'
⇄
Jon Russell
56'
⚽
5–0
⇄
62'
Callum Marshall
⇄ Nahki Wells
⇄
62'
Jamie Donley
⇄ Gideon Kodua
▮
64'
Gideon Kodua
Yellow Card
Jon Russell
⇄ David McGoldrick
68'
⇄
Michael Smith
⇄ Rhys Oates
68'
⇄
Kyle Knoyle
Yellow Card
77'
▮
⚽
5–1
78'
Nahki Wells
Penalty
Kyle Knoyle
⇄ Luke Bolton
85'
⇄
⚽
5–2
90+2'
Nahki Wells
Regan Hendry
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
FT 5–2
Mansfield Town
Match Stats
Luton
43%
Ball Possession
57%
1.24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
20
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots off Goal
4
8
Blocked Shots
2
16
Shots insidebox
5
4
Shots outsidebox
4
4
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
316
Total passes
439
236
Passes accurate
351
75%
Passes %
80%
-3.24
goals_prevented
-3.24
Mansfield Town
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jon Russell M | 10.0 | 68' | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 (17%) | 2 |
| 22 Nathan Moriah-Welsh M | 10.0 | 91' | 2 | 1 | 3 | 35 (25%) | 2 |
| 24 Regan Hendry F | 7.5 | 91' | – | 1 | – | 37 (29%) | 2 |
| 1 Liam Roberts G | 7.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 24 (17%) | – |
| 25 Louis Reed M | 7.3 | 53' | 1 | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | – |
| 3 Stephen McLaughlin M | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | – |
| 20 Frazer Blake-Tracy D | 6.7 | 38' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 23 Adedeji Oshilaja D | 6.7 | 91' | – | – | – | 30 (20%) | 2 |
| 14 Michael Smith F | 6.7 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 22 (14%) | 1 |
| 16 Liam Thompson M | 6.6 | 91' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 2 |
| 18 Rhys Oates F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 5 Ryan Sweeney D | 6.3 | 53' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 David McGoldrick F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 6 (2%) | – |
| 2 Kyle Knoyle D | 6.2 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 4 Elliott Hewitt D | 6.2 | 38' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 8 Luke Bolton D | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
Luton
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Liam Walsh M | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 1 |
| 21 Nahki Wells F | 6.9 | 29' | 1 | – | 2 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 6 George Johnston D | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 64 (56%) | 2 |
| 7 Jake Richards M | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 35 (24%) | 2 |
| 25 Isaiah Jones D | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 12 Joe Johnson D | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 30 Gideon Kodua F | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 9 Callum Marshall F | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 11 (5%) | 1 |
| 2 Hakeem Odofin D | 6.0 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 61 (52%) | 3 |
| 31 Benedict Benagr D | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 11 Emilio Lawrence M | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 3 Kal Naismith D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 33 Harrison Ashby D | 5.9 | 46' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | – |
| 45 Kasey Palmer M | 5.9 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 40 (29%) | 1 |
| 10 Jamie Donley M | 5.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 15 (8%) | – |
| 24 Josh Keeley G | 4.6 | 91' | – | – | – | 48 (38%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Нашият анализ
Luton или равен
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Mansfield Town
DDLLW
Luton
WLLDW
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
33%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
39%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Mansfield Town
No scorer data.
Luton
N. Wells
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Mansfield Town vs Luton
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Mansfield Town — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Burton Albion | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Huddersfield | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Bradford | L | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | A Reading | L | 5 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Luton | W | 5 - 2 |
Luton — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Ipswich Town U21 | W | 6 - 0 |
| 19 Sep | H Bradford | L | 0 - 1 |
| 10 Sep | A Stevenage | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Leyton Orient | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H Stockport County | W | 2 - 0 |
League One Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bradford
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |
Plymouth
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |
Huddersfield
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cambridge United
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 |
Oxford United
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 |
Reading
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 |
Stockport County
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 |
Leyton Orient
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 |
Stevenage
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |
Burton Albion
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |
Leicester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |
Wycombe
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |
Blackpool
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |
Luton
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 |
Mansfield Town
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 |
Barnsley
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |
Bromley
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |
Notts County
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 |
Doncaster
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 |
Peterborough
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 |
Wigan
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
Luton
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Jack Wilshere
24
Keeley
3
Naismith
6
Johnston
2
Odofin
25
Jones
8
Walsh
11
Lawrence
45
Palmer
10
Donley
7
Richards
9
Marshall
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Josh Keeley | G |
| 25 | Isaiah Jones | D |
| 2 | Hakeem Odofin | D |
| 6 | George Johnston | D |
| 3 | Kal Naismith | D |
| 8 | Liam Walsh | M |
| 7 | Jake Richards | M |
| 10 | Jamie Donley | M |
| 45 | Kasey Palmer | M |
| 11 | Emilio Lawrence | M |
| 9 | Callum Marshall | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | Harrison Ashby | D |
| 12 | Joe Johnson | D |
| 31 | Benedict Benagr | D |
| 30 | Gideon Kodua | F |
| 21 | Nahki Wells | F |
| 1 | James Shea | G |
| 5 | Mads Andersen | D |
Mansfield Town
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: Nigel Clough
1
Roberts
5
Sweeney
23
Oshilaja
2
Knoyle
25
Reed
3
McLaughlin
16
Thompson
13
Russell
22
Moriah-Welsh
14
Smith
24
Hendry
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liam Roberts | G |
| 2 | Kyle Knoyle | D |
| 23 | Adedeji Oshilaja | D |
| 5 | Ryan Sweeney | D |
| 25 | Louis Reed | M |
| 22 | Nathan Moriah-Welsh | M |
| 13 | Jon Russell | M |
| 16 | Liam Thompson | M |
| 3 | Stephen McLaughlin | M |
| 24 | Regan Hendry | F |
| 14 | Michael Smith | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | Frazer Blake-Tracy | D |
| 4 | Elliott Hewitt | D |
| 17 | David McGoldrick | F |
| 18 | Rhys Oates | F |
| 39 | Owen Dodgson | D |
| 8 | Luke Bolton | D |
| 7 | Lucas Akins | F |