Derby vs Birmingham Prediction

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 7
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Post on X
AI прогноза Birmingham или равен
28%
30%
42%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Derby vs Birmingham prediction: Sportiko gives Derby a 28% chance of winning, Birmingham 42% and the draw 30%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 13:34.

Premium прогнози

Premium
  • Гостите да вкарат 76%
  • Под 3.5 гола 75%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 72%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Premium членовете имаха тези прогнози преди началото на мача. Виж Premium анализите

Timeline

Mohammed Fuseini Yellow Card
19' ▮
▮ 21'
Alex Cochrane Yellow Card
Bobby Clark assist: Sammie Szmodics
40' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 42'
Carlos Vicente assist: Liam Millar
▮ 44'
August Priske Yellow Card
HT 1–1
Henrik Wendel Meister ⇄ Oscar Fraulo
54' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Jhon Solís ⇄ Seung Ho Paik
⚽ 1–2 63'
Seung Ho Paik assist: Liam Millar
⇄ 73'
August Priske ⇄ Luis Vázquez
⇄ 73'
Liam Millar ⇄ Ethan Laird
D. Ozoh ⇄ Corey Blackett-Taylor
85' ⇄
E. Cashin ⇄ Ryan Hedges
85' ⇄
Charlie Taylor ⇄ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
90+5' ⇄
⇄ 90+6'
Jay Stansfield ⇄ Kristoffer Lund
⇄ 90+6'
Carlos Vicente ⇄ Dael Fry
FT 1–2
Derby

Match Stats

Birmingham
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Goal 9
6 Shots off Goal 7
6 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 13
8 Shots outsidebox 5
10 Corner Kicks 4
4 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
377 Total passes 273
286 Passes accurate 183
12 Free Kicks 8
Derby
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Bobby Clark M 7.5 90' 1 – 3 43 (32%) 4
23 Joe Ward D 7.2 90' – – 1 43 (37%) 1
44 E. Cashin D 7.1 85' – – 2 48 (39%) 1
11 Sammie Szmodics M 6.7 90' – 1 6 36 (22%) 3
1 Jacob Widell Zetterström G 6.6 90' – – – 26 (14%) –
6 Sondre Langås D 6.6 90' – – – 43 (40%) 1
33 Corey Blackett-Taylor F 6.4 5' – – – 5 (4%) 1
26 Ryan Hedges M 6.4 5' – – – 14 (10%) 1
4 D. Ozoh M 6.3 85' – – – 22 (21%) 2
18 Charlie Taylor D 6.2 95' – – – 29 (22%) 1
9 Carlton Morris F 6.2 90' – – 1 28 (15%) –
29 Oscar Fraulo M 6.1 36' – – 2 10 (8%) –
16 Mohammed Fuseini M 6.1 90' – – 1 19 (17%) –
19 Henrik Wendel Meister M 5.8 54' – – – 11 (5%) –
Birmingham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Liam Millar M 8.3 73' – 2 – 15 (11%) 1
8 Seung Ho Paik M 7.5 30' 1 – 1 14 (12%) –
7 Carlos Vicente M 6.9 96' 1 – 5 25 (15%) 2
2 Ethan Laird D 6.8 17' – – 1 9 (5%) 2
4 Christoph Klarer D 6.7 90' – – 1 25 (19%) –
26 Bright Osayi-Samuel D 6.6 90' – – – 31 (25%) 5
1 James Beadle G 6.5 90' – – – 26 (9%) –
24 Tomoki Iwata M 6.4 90' – – 1 44 (32%) 1
28 Jay Stansfield M 6.4 96' – – 4 9 (4%) –
14 Jhon Solís M 6.3 60' – – – 17 (14%) 1
5 Phil Neumann D 6.3 90' – – – 17 (11%) 2
20 Alex Cochrane D 6.2 90' – – 1 26 (17%) 1
9 August Priske F 6.1 73' – – 3 10 (6%) –
32 Luis Vázquez F 6.0 17' – – 1 4 (3%) –
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Birmingham или равен
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Derby
DLLLW
Birmingham
DWLDD
Last 1 meetings Derby · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
42%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Derby vs Birmingham

1 Derby Wins
0 Draws
0 Birmingham Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Derby 1 - 0 Birmingham

Derby — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Burnley D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Birmingham L 1 - 2
09 Sep H West Brom L 0 - 1
05 Sep A West Ham L 3 - 0
01 Sep A Portsmouth W 0 - 2

Birmingham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Middlesbrough D 2 - 2
12 Sep A Derby W 1 - 2
09 Sep A Norwich L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Wolves D 2 - 2
01 Sep H Southampton D 1 - 1

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Swansea
8 5 2 1 +7 17
2
West Ham
8 4 3 1 +11 15
3
Middlesbrough
8 4 3 1 +4 15
4
Wolves
7 4 2 1 +5 14
5
West Brom
8 4 2 2 +2 14
6
QPR
8 3 4 1 +3 13
7
Stoke City
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Bristol City
8 4 1 3 -1 13
9
Charlton
8 3 3 2 -3 12
10
Birmingham
8 2 5 1 +1 11
11
Millwall
8 3 2 3 0 11
12
Lincoln
8 3 2 3 -1 11
13
Southampton
8 4 2 2 +9 10
14
Wrexham
8 2 4 2 -3 10
15
Bolton
8 3 1 4 -4 10
16
Blackburn
8 2 3 3 0 9
17
Norwich
8 3 0 5 -1 9
18
Sheffield Utd
8 2 3 3 -2 9
19
Portsmouth
7 2 2 3 -1 8
20
Watford
8 2 2 4 -3 8
21
Cardiff
8 1 4 3 -2 7
22
Derby
8 1 2 5 -7 5
23
Preston
8 1 1 6 -7 4
24
Burnley
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Birmingham

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: C. Davies
1 Beadle
20 Cochrane
4 Klarer
5 Neumann
26 Osayi-Samuel
14 Solis
24 Iwata
17 Millar
28 Stansfield
7 Vicente
9 Priske

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Beadle G
26 B. Osayi-Samuel D
5 P. Neumann D
4 C. Klarer D
20 A. Cochrane D
24 T. Iwata M
14 J. Solis M
7 Carlos Vicente M
28 J. Stansfield M
17 L. Millar M
9 A. Priske F

Substitutes

8 Paik Seung-Ho M
32 L. Vázquez F
25 K. Lund D
2 E. Laird D
27 K. Fujimoto M
33 M. Ducksch F
3 L. Buchanan D
21 R. Allsop G
23 D. Fry D

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Eustace
1 Zetterström
18 Taylor
44 Cashin
6 Langås
23 Ward
4 Ozoh
8 Clark
19 Meister
11 Szmodics
16 Fuseini
9 Morris

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Widell Zetterström G
23 J. Ward D
6 S. Langås D
44 E. Cashin D
18 C. Taylor D
8 B. Clark M
4 D. Ozoh M
16 M. Fuseini M
11 S. Szmodics M
19 H. Meister M
9 C. Morris F

Substitutes

31 J. Vickers G
33 C. Blackett-Taylor F
29 O. Fraulo M
26 R. Hedges M
22 M. Johnston D
20 A. Mowatt M
24 R. Nyambe D
15 L. Salvesen F
28 D. Sanderson D

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