Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction
FT
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
AI прогноза
Arouca или равен
46%
29%
25%
Победа за домакина
Равенство
Победа на гостите
Arouca vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives Arouca a 46% chance of winning, Moreirense 25% and the draw 29%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 18:58.
Premium прогнози
Premium- Над 1.5 гола 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
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Timeline
▮
13'
Maracás
Yellow Card
Javi Sánchez
Yellow Card
16'
▮
Maracás
Own Goal
23'
⚽
1–0
Jose Fontán
assist: Hyun-ju Lee
30'
⚽
2–0
Ivan Barbero
Yellow Card
41'
▮
▮
44'
Kiko
Yellow Card
Ivan Barbero
assist: Naïs Djouahra
45+1'
⚽
3–0
HT 3–0
⇄
46'
Afonso Vieira
⇄ João Veloso
⇄
46'
⇄ Dinis Pinto
▮
55'
Nile John
Yellow Card
Ivan Barbero
⇄ Dylan Nandín
59'
⇄
⇄
63'
Landerson
⇄ Kiko Bondoso
▮
65'
Leandro Santos
Yellow Card
Hyun-ju Lee
⇄ Brian Mansilla
72'
⇄
Alfonso Trezza
⇄ Pablo Gozálbez
72'
⇄
⇄
72'
Rodrigo Alonso
⇄ Mateja Stjepanović
Dylan Nandín
Yellow Card
75'
▮
Taichi Fukui
⇄ Pedro Santos
79'
⇄
Espen Van Ee
⇄ Mateo Flores
80'
⇄
⇄
84'
Leandro Santos
⇄ Michael Dacosta Gonzalez
Dylan Nandín
assist: Naïs Djouahra
90+1'
⚽
4–0
FT 4–0
Arouca
Match Stats
Moreirense
51%
Ball Possession
49%
1.50
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
13
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
1
9
Shots insidebox
3
4
Shots outsidebox
2
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
4
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
487
Total passes
472
418
Passes accurate
402
86%
Passes %
85%
-1.84
goals_prevented
-1.84
Arouca
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jose Fontán D | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 90 (81%) | 1 |
| 7 Naïs Djouahra M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 35 (30%) | – |
| 10 Pablo Gozálbez M | 7.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 8 Taichi Fukui M | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | 3 | 63 (59%) | – |
| 28 Tiago Esgaio D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | – |
| 18 Orest Lebedenko D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (38%) | 1 |
| 12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (33%) | – |
| 15 Javi Sánchez D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (71%) | – |
| 6 Espen Van Ee M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | 1 |
| 17 Ivan Barbero F | 6.9 | 59' | 1 | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 14 Hyun-ju Lee M | 6.7 | 72' | – | 1 | 1 | 21 (17%) | 2 |
| 89 Pedro Santos M | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 2 |
| 19 Alfonso Trezza M | 6.6 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 24 Brian Mansilla F | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 21 Mateo Flores M | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 23 Dylan Nandín F | 5.3 | 31' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
Moreirense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 Gilberto Batista D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 86 (75%) | – |
| 10 Kiko Bondoso F | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | – | 15 (15%) | – |
| 23 Nile John M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (35%) | 1 |
| 8 Mateja Stjepanović M | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 76 Dinis Pinto D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
| 20 João Veloso M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 28 (25%) | – |
| 21 Rodrigo Alonso M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 65 Guilherme Liberato M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 13 André Ferreira G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | – |
| 11 Landerson M | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 2 Leandro Santos D | 6.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | – |
| 89 Afonso Vieira M | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 9 Alexandre Parsemain F | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 8 (1%) | – |
| 27 Kiko D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 1 |
| 26 Maracás D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 83 (72%) | – |
| 44 Michael Dacosta Gonzalez F | — | 5' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Нашият анализ
Arouca или равен
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Arouca
DLDWL
Moreirense
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings
Arouca · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
Arouca faces Moreirense in a Primeira Liga clash. Arouca has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while Moreirense struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. Both teams have similar possession stats, hovering around 50%, but Arouca holds a slight edge in passing accuracy at 82%. Key for Arouca will be capitalizing on set pieces, as Moreirense has been vulnerable in that area. Expect a competitive match with Arouca likely looking to maintain their home form.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
25%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Arouca
Barbero
4 gls
Moreirense
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Arouca vs Moreirense
2
Arouca Wins
0
Draws
1
Moreirense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Moreirense | 0 - 1 | Arouca |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Arouca | 0 - 2 | Moreirense |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Arouca | 1 - 0 | Moreirense |
Arouca — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Sporting CP | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H Santa Clara | L | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Estoril | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H Maritimo | W | 2 - 1 |
| 23 Aug | A FC Porto | L | 2 - 0 |
Moreirense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Vitória SC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | H Maritimo | W | 3 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 4 |
| 04 Sep | A FC Porto | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Casa Pia | W | 0 - 1 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Moreirense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Costa
13
Ferreira
27
Kiko
26
Maracás
66
Batista
2
Santos
65
Liberato
23
John
11
Landerson
21
Alonso
89
Vieira
9
Parsemain
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | André Ferreira | G |
| 2 | Leandro Santos | D |
| 66 | Gilberto Batista | D |
| 26 | Maracás | D |
| 27 | Kiko | D |
| 23 | Nile John | M |
| 65 | Guilherme Liberato | M |
| 89 | Afonso Vieira | M |
| 21 | Rodrigo Alonso | M |
| 11 | Landerson | M |
| 9 | Alexandre Parsemain | F |
Substitutes
| 76 | Dinis Pinto | D |
| 20 | João Veloso | M |
| 10 | Kiko Bondoso | F |
| 1 | Aranha | G |
| 4 | Kevyn Monteiro | D |
| 17 | Álvaro Martínez | D |
| 8 | Mateja Stjepanović | M |
| 90 | Rodrigo Soares | F |
| 44 | Michael Dacosta Gonzalez | F |
Arouca
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vasco Seabra
12
Arruabarrena
18
Lebedenko
3
Fontán
15
Sánchez
28
Esgaio
8
Fukui
6
Ee
7
Djouahra
14
Lee
19
Trezza
17
Barbero
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ignacio de Arruabarrena | G |
| 28 | Tiago Esgaio | D |
| 15 | Javi Sánchez | D |
| 3 | Jose Fontán | D |
| 18 | Orest Lebedenko | D |
| 6 | Espen Van Ee | M |
| 8 | Taichi Fukui | M |
| 19 | Alfonso Trezza | M |
| 14 | Hyun-ju Lee | M |
| 7 | Naïs Djouahra | M |
| 17 | Ivan Barbero | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Dylan Nandín | F |
| 1 | Jakub Vinarčík | G |
| 71 | Martim Duarte | G |
| 5 | Boris Popović | D |
| 37 | Mario Climent | D |
| 10 | Pablo Gozálbez | M |
| 89 | Pedro Santos | M |
| 21 | Mateo Flores | M |
| 24 | Brian Mansilla | F |
| 9 | Fally Mayulu | F |
| 77 | Si-hoo Park | F |
| 97 | Costinha | F |