Venezia vs Lecce Prediction
Venezia vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives Venezia a 50% chance of winning, Lecce 22% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 18:28.
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Match Report
Lecce claimed a comfortable 2–0 victory at Venezia in this Serie A opener, dominating from start to finish despite a goalless first half. The visitors controlled 71% of possession and generated an expected goals figure of 1.63 compared to Venezia's modest 0.23, reflecting their clear superiority throughout. Venezia's task was complicated early when Thierry Correia had a goal ruled out by VAR for handball in the 16th minute.
The deadlock was broken immediately after the interval, with Olaf Gorter netting on 46 minutes before being substituted off just 15 minutes later. Venezia briefly threatened through Toma Bašić, but his effort was disallowed for offside in the 76th minute, and Tiago Gabriel put the result beyond doubt with a second Lecce goal on 80 minutes. Four yellow cards were distributed across the afternoon, with Venezia picking up three of them.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Venezia win as most likely at 50%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Lecce's dominance in every key statistical category told the full story.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Venezia
Match Stats
Venezia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Gianluca Busio M | 7.9 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 91 (85%) | 1 |
| 10 John Yeboah F | 7.5 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 25 (21%) | 2 |
| 4 Bartol Franjić D | 7.3 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 68 (61%) | 2 |
| 17 Armel Bella-Kotchap D | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 64 (55%) | 2 |
| 26 Toma Bašić M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 50 (40%) | 1 |
| 71 Kike Pérez M | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | – | 53 (40%) | – |
| 45 Akor Adams F | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | 3 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 1 Filip Stanković G | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 38 (36%) | – |
| 18 Antoine Hainaut M | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 35 (32%) | 1 |
| 5 Ridgeciano Haps D | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 3 Joel Schingtienne D | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 57 (54%) | 1 |
| 30 Matteo Dagasso M | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 14 Thierry Correia M | 6.2 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 26 (17%) | 2 |
Lecce
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Wladimiro Falcone G | 8.3 | 79' | – | – | – | 30 (11%) | – |
| 4 Kialonda Gaspar D | 7.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 3 |
| 28 Olaf Gorter M | 7.5 | 61' | 1 | – | 1 | 12 (9%) | – |
| 5 Jamil Siebert D | 7.3 | 79' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 17 Danilo Veiga D | 7.0 | 79' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 3 |
| 50 Santiago Pierotti F | 7.0 | 79' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | 2 |
| 11 Konan N'Dri F | 6.9 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | 3 |
| 29 Lassana Coulibaly M | 6.9 | 79' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 25 Antonino Gallo D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 79 Oumar Ngom M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 14 Youssef Maleh M | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 3 Corrie Ndaba D | 6.3 | 34' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 69 Willem Geubbels F | 5.9 | 74' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 44 Tiago Gabriel D | — | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 9 Nikola Štulić F | — | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
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L. Coulibaly
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Venezia vs Lecce
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 2025 | Lecce | 1 - 1 | Venezia |
| 25 Nov 2024 | Venezia | 0 - 1 | Lecce |
Venezia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Lazio | L | 0 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | H Fiorentina | L | 2 - 4 |
| 06 Sep | A Frosinone | L | 3 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | A Udinese | L | 2 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | A AC Milan | L | 2 - 0 |
Lecce — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A AC Milan | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Monza | W | 3 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Cagliari | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | H AS Roma | L | 0 - 4 |
| 23 Aug | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Lecce
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wladimiro Falcone | G |
| 17 | Danilo Veiga | D |
| 4 | Kialonda Gaspar | D |
| 5 | Jamil Siebert | D |
| 25 | Antonino Gallo | D |
| 29 | Lassana Coulibaly | M |
| 79 | Oumar Ngom | M |
| 28 | Olaf Gorter | M |
| 50 | Santiago Pierotti | F |
| 69 | Willem Geubbels | F |
| 11 | N'Dri Konan | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | Plamen Penev | G |
| 1 | Marco Bleve | G |
| 44 | Tiago Gabriel | D |
| 3 | Corrie Ndaba | D |
| 14 | Youssef Maleh | M |
| 34 | Hjalte Lærke | F |
| 8 | Sadik Fofana | M |
| 16 | Omri Gandelman | M |
| 22 | Paco Esteban | F |
| 9 | Nikola Štulić | F |
Venezia
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Giovanni Stroppa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Filip Stanković | G |
| 3 | Joel Schingtienne | D |
| 17 | Armel Bella-Kotchap | D |
| 4 | Bartol Franjić | D |
| 18 | Antoine Hainaut | M |
| 71 | Kike Pérez | M |
| 6 | Gianluca Busio | M |
| 26 | Toma Bašić | M |
| 14 | Thierry Correia | M |
| 10 | John Yeboah | F |
| 45 | Akor Adams | F |
Substitutes
| 96 | Lorenzo Montipò | G |
| 25 | Redouane Halhal | D |
| 95 | Ale Gomes | D |
| 30 | Matteo Dagasso | M |
| 8 | Lamine Fanne | M |
| 56 | Kornel Lisman | F |
| 5 | Ridgeciano Haps | D |
| 11 | Marko Farji | F |
| 20 | Richie Sagrado | D |
| 55 | Simone Panada | M |
| 19 | Simon Sohm | M |
| 21 | Þórir Jóhann Helgason | M |
| 90 | Alvin Obinna Okoro | F |
| 7 | Albion Rrahmani | F |
| 29 | Lion Lauberbach | F |