Marseille vs Nice Tahmin
Marseille - Nice tahmini: Sportiko, Marseille takımına %61 kazanma olasılığı, Nice takımına %16 ve beraberliğe %23 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Marseille and Nice played out a tense 1–1 draw at the Vélodrome in Ligue 1's 31st round, with the match goalless at the break despite a feisty first half that saw yellow cards for Emerson Palmieri, Facundo Medina, and Elye Wahi before the interval.
The deadlock was broken just after the hour mark when Pierre-Emile Højbjerg put Marseille ahead in the 66th minute, and the home side looked set to claim all three points. Marseille had dominated throughout, finishing with 68% possession, 24 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 2.32 — though our pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that ultimately fell short. Nice levelled in the 88th minute through an Elye Wahi penalty, cancelling out the advantage Marseille had worked hard to establish.
The result leaves both sides with a point each from a match that Marseille statistically controlled but could not convert into a victory. Wahi was substituted immediately after scoring, departing in the 90th minute following his earlier booking.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Marseille
Match Stats
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 97 (80%) | 3 |
| 22 Tim Weah M | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (44%) | 2 |
| 5 Leonardo Balerdi D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 6 | 83 (80%) | 4 |
| 32 Facundo Medina D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (78%) | – |
| 6 Tochukwu Nnadi M | 7.2 | 80' | – | 1 | 1 | 55 (47%) | 1 |
| 10 Mason Greenwood F | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | 2 | 13 (13%) | – |
| 17 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 27 (19%) | 1 |
| 27 Q. Timber F | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| 28 Benjamin Pavard D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 82 (75%) | 1 |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri M | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | – | 39 (34%) | – |
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 71 Nouhoum Kamissoko M | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 18 Arthur Vermeeren M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 34 (29%) | 2 |
| 1 Gerónimo Rulli G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 76 Tadjidine Mmadi M | 5.9 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
Nice
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Hicham Boudaoui M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (23%) | 3 |
| 10 Sofiane Diop M | 7.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 28 Abdulay Juma Bah D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | 4 |
| 26 Melvin Bard D | 7.0 | 81' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 1 |
| 2 Ali Abdi D | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 37 Kojo Peprah Oppong D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | 1 |
| 92 Jonathan Clauss D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | – |
| 11 Elye Wahi F | 6.7 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 24 Charles Vanhoutte M | 6.7 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 32 Kaïl Boudache F | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 80 Yehvann Diouf G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (12%) | – |
| 25 Mohamed-Ali Cho M | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
| 90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 33 Antoine Mendy D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (25%) | 1 |
| 8 Morgan Sanson M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 99 Salis Abdul Samed M | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
Marseille vs Nice maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç
- 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
- Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
- Değer Avantajı — model ile piyasa karşılaştırması
- Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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A. Gouiri
4 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Marseille vs Nice
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | Nice | 1 - 5 | Marseille |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Nice | 2 - 0 | Marseille |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Marseille | 2 - 0 | Nice |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | A Beşiktaş | L | 4 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Rennes | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Paris FC | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Monaco | L | 2 - 0 |
Nice — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lille | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Le Mans | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Paris FC | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Aug | H Lorient | D | 0 - 0 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Marseille
Formation: 3-5-1-1
Coach: Habib Beye
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Rulli | G |
| 28 | B. Pavard | D |
| 5 | L. Balerdi | D |
| 32 | F. Medina | D |
| 22 | T. Weah | M |
| 6 | T. Nnadi | M |
| 23 | P. Hojbjerg | M |
| 18 | A. Vermeeren | M |
| 33 | Emerson | M |
| 27 | Q. Timber | F |
| 17 | P. Aubameyang | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | J. De Lange | G |
| 10 | M. Greenwood | F |
| 8 | H. Abdelli | M |
| 11 | E. Nwaneri | M |
| 72 | H. Hamzaoui | D |
| 78 | E. Lago | F |
| 76 | T. Mmadi | M |
| 71 | N. Kamissoko | M |
| 70 | U. Lamare El Kadmiri | F |
Nice
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Claude Puel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | Y. Diouf | G |
| 92 | J. Clauss | D |
| 33 | A. Mendy | D |
| 28 | J. Bah | D |
| 37 | K. Peprah | D |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 25 | M. Cho | M |
| 6 | H. Boudaoui | M |
| 99 | S. Abdul Samed | M |
| 8 | M. Sanson | M |
| 11 | E. Wahi | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | M. Dupe | G |
| 4 | Dante | D |
| 2 | A. Abdi | D |
| 10 | S. Diop | M |
| 24 | C. Vanhoutte | M |
| 32 | K. Boudache | F |
| 90 | Kevin | F |
| 20 | T. Louchet | M |
| 39 | D. Coulibaly | M |