Metz vs Paris FC Tahmin

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

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Paris FC

Away

Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Paris FC galibiyet veya beraberlik

11%

24%

65%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Metz - Paris FC tahmini: Sportiko, Metz takımına %11 kazanma olasılığı, Paris FC takımına %65 ve beraberliğe %24 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Paris FC claimed a comfortable 3–1 victory at Metz in Ligue 1's 30th matchday, though the opening exchanges were tight. A penalty for Metz was cancelled via VAR in the eighth minute before Alimami Gory broke the deadlock with a normal goal on 21 minutes. Paris FC levelled almost immediately when Giorgi Kvilitaia equalised on 31 minutes, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1.

The visitors took control in the second half. Otávio put Paris FC ahead on 69 minutes, and despite Metz pushing for a response, Ilan Kebbal sealed the win deep into stoppage time with a fourth goal in the 89th minute. Paris FC's expected goals figure of 1.74 compared to Metz's 1.01 underlined their overall superiority across the 90 minutes, with the visitors edging both shots on goal and total attempts.

The result validated our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Paris FC win as the most likely outcome at 65%. Metz, who saw Gory substituted off after picking up a yellow card, will need to regroup ahead of their next fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

🖵 8'

Alimami Gory Penalty cancelled

Urie-Michel Mboula Yellow Card

13' ▮

⚽ 0–1 21'

Alimami Gory

Habib Diallo ⇄ Giorgi Kvilitaia

30' ⇄

Giorgi Kvilitaia assist: Sadibou Sané

31' ⚽ 1–1

Koffi Kouao Yellow Card

38' ▮

▮ 45+1'

Ilan Kebbal Yellow Card

HT 1–1

Urie-Michel Mboula ⇄ Bouna Sarr

57' ⇄

▮ 62'

Alimami Gory Yellow Card

⇄ 66'

Alimami Gory

⚽ 1–2 69'

Otávio assist: Ciro Immobile

Terry Yegbe

74' ⇄

Jessy Deminguet ⇄ Benjamin Stambouli

75' ⇄

Nathan Mbala ⇄ Lucas Michal

75' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Hamari Traoré ⇄ Adama Camara

⇄ 78'

Ciro Immobile ⇄ Willem Geubbels

⇄ 88'

Thibault De Smet ⇄ Nhoa Sangui

⇄ 88'

Luca Koleosho ⇄ Mathieu Cafaro

⚽ 1–3 89'

Ilan Kebbal assist: Diego Coppola

FT 1–3

Metz

Match Stats

Paris FC

51% Ball Possession 49%

1.01 Expected Goals (xG) 1.74

13 Total Shots 15

6 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 7

4 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 9

4 Shots outsidebox 6

6 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 8

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

504 Total passes 488

438 Passes accurate 410

87% Passes % 84%

-0.36 goals_prevented -0.36

Metz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
61 Pape Sy G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	1
7 Georgiy Tsitaishvili M	7.5	90'	–	–	3	22 (15%)	–
11 Giorgi Kvilitaia F	7.5	60'	1	–	4	19 (14%)	1
38 Sadibou Sané D	7.2	90'	–	1	–	65 (59%)	1
20 Jessy Deminguet M	6.9	75'	–	–	–	38 (34%)	1
21 Benjamin Stambouli M	6.7	15'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	1
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	67 (60%)	2
70 Bouna Sarr D	6.6	33'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	3
34 Nathan Mbala M	6.6	75'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	2
4 Urie-Michel Mboula D	6.5	57'	–	–	–	37 (34%)	1
19 Lucas Michal F	6.5	15'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
35 Jahyann Pandore F	6.5	16'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
15 Terry Yegbe D	6.3	74'	–	–	–	64 (59%)	1
30 Habib Diallo F	6.3	30'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
39 Koffi Kouao D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	45 (39%)	1
10 Gauthier Hein M	6.0	90'	–	–	–	50 (40%)	1

Paris FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Otávio D	8.3	90'	1	–	1	82 (70%)	3
10 Ilan Kebbal M	7.9	90'	1	–	2	59 (47%)	–
42 Diego Coppola D	7.2	90'	–	1	–	55 (51%)	–
31 Samir Sophian Chergui M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (27%)	2
7 Alimami Gory M	6.9	66'	1	–	1	29 (27%)	–
23 Rudy Matondo M	6.9	90'	–	–	2	42 (35%)	–
4 Vincent Marchetti M	6.9	24'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
17 Adama Camara M	6.7	12'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
14 Hamari Traoré D	6.7	78'	–	–	–	37 (35%)	3
24 Luca Koleosho M	6.7	88'	–	–	2	35 (28%)	2
16 Obed Nkambadio G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	38 (29%)	–
19 Nhoa Sangui D	6.6	8'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
13 Mathieu Cafaro M	6.5	8'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–
9 Willem Geubbels F	6.2	12'	–	–	2	7 (4%)	1
28 Thibault De Smet D	6.2	88'	–	–	–	29 (25%)	1
36 Ciro Immobile F	6.2	78'	–	1	2	29 (19%)	–

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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz

Zorlu Paris FC galibiyet veya beraberlik

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Metz

DLWDD

Paris FC

WDWWD

Last 1 meetings Metz · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on April 19, 2026, Metz will host Paris FC at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz currently sits mid-table, showing resilience with a solid home record, winning 60% of their last five home matches. Paris FC, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, often faltering against teams in the top half of the table. Their away form is concerning, with only two wins in their last five excursions. This match will be crucial for both teams as Metz aims to solidify their league position while Paris FC seeks to escape the relegation zone. Expect a tightly contested battle, with Metz likely leveraging their home advantage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	20	16	9	3	1
1	6	10	8	4	2	1
2	2	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 0–1 (19.6%)

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Players in form

Metz

No scorer data.

Paris FC

L. Sinayoko 4 gls

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Head to Head: Metz vs Paris FC

0 Metz Wins

0 Draws

1 Paris FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Aug 2025	Paris FC	3 - 2	Metz

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Strasbourg	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Lyon	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Marseille	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Nice	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Estac Troyes	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2