Parma vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

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Sassuolo

Away

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Yapay zeka tahmini Sassuolo veya beraberlik

29%

31%

41%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Parma vs Sassuolo prediction: Sportiko gives Parma a 29% chance of winning, Sassuolo 41% and the draw 31%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Parma secured a crucial 1–0 victory over Sassuolo in the final round of the Serie A season, with the only goal arriving late to settle a tense and disciplined contest. The first half was goalless but feisty, with four yellow cards distributed across both sides before the break, setting a combative tone throughout.

Sassuolo dominated large portions of the second half, enjoying 52% possession and generating 16 total shots to Parma's six, with an expected goals figure of 1.12 suggesting the visitors were the more threatening side. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Sassuolo win as the most likely outcome at 41%, but it was Parma who found the decisive moment. Substitute Mateo Pellegrino broke the deadlock on 80 minutes with a composed finish, rewarding Parma's resilience against the run of play.

Despite Sassuolo's numerical superiority in chances and shots on target, they could not convert, and Parma held firm through a flurry of late substitutions to claim all three points. The result carries significant implications as both clubs conclude their league campaigns.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Sascha Britschgi Yellow Card

7' ▮

▮ 18'

Kristian Thorstvedt Yellow Card

▮ 21'

Tommaso Macchioni Yellow Card

Lautaro Valenti Yellow Card

30' ▮

HT 0–0

Daniel Mikołajewski ⇄ Alessandro Cardinali

46' ⇄

⇄ 54'

Jay Idzes ⇄ Pedro Felipe

Lautaro Valenti ⇄ Abdoulaye Ndiaye

61' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Ismael Koné ⇄ Nemanja Matić

⇄ 66'

Armand Laurienté ⇄ M'Bala Nzola

Sascha Britschgi ⇄ Pontus Almqvist

72' ⇄

Mandela Keita ⇄ Oliver Sørensen

72' ⇄

Emanuele Valeri ⇄ Franco Carboni

76' ⇄

Mateo Pellegrino assist: Pontus Almqvist

80' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 83'

Stefano Turati ⇄ Gioele Zacchi

⇄ 83'

Luca Lipani ⇄ Cristian Volpato

FT 1–0

Parma

Match Stats

Sassuolo

52% Ball Possession 48%

1.12 Expected Goals (xG) 0.91

16 Total Shots 6

3 Shots on Goal 1

11 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 3

7 Shots outsidebox 3

1 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 2

10 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

402 Total passes 382

335 Passes accurate 320

83% Passes % 84%

0.68 goals_prevented 0.68

Parma

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Mateo Pellegrino F	7.7	90'	1	–	3	18 (14%)	–
24 Christian Ordoñez M	7.5	90'	–	–	1	38 (30%)	2
39 Alessandro Circati D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	51 (42%)	1
37 Mariano Troilo D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	59 (53%)	2
11 Pontus Almqvist F	7.2	18'	–	1	1	6 (4%)	1
16 Mandela Keita M	7.0	72'	–	–	1	30 (26%)	1
14 Emanuele Valeri M	7.0	76'	–	–	2	20 (12%)	1
5 Lautaro Valenti D	6.9	61'	–	–	1	37 (28%)	–
41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M	6.9	90'	–	–	3	44 (39%)	2
22 Oliver Sørensen M	6.9	18'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
40 Edoardo Corvi G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (30%)	–
3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D	6.9	29'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	1
29 Franco Carboni D	6.6	14'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
76 Daniel Mikołajewski F	6.5	45'	–	–	1	7 (7%)	–
75 Alessandro Cardinali F	6.5	45'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
27 Sascha Britschgi M	6.2	72'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	–

Sassuolo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
35 Luca Lipani M	7.5	83'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	3
21 Jay Idzes D	7.0	54'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	–
90 Ismael Koné M	6.9	65'	–	–	1	36 (33%)	1
23 Ulisses Garcia D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	39 (31%)	1
25 Woyo Coulibaly D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	35 (32%)	2
13 Stefano Turati G	6.9	83'	–	–	–	28 (12%)	–
45 Armand Laurienté F	6.7	66'	–	–	1	27 (25%)	1
16 Gioele Zacchi G	6.7	14'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
99 Andrea Pinamonti F	6.6	90'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
7 Cristian Volpato M	6.5	14'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	1
10 Domenico Berardi F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	25 (21%)	–
18 Nemanja Matić M	6.3	25'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–
8 M'Bala Nzola F	6.3	24'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
66 Pedro Felipe D	6.3	36'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	–
31 Tommaso Macchioni D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	35 (28%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

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Sassuolo veya beraberlik

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Parma

DDWLL

Sassuolo

LDWLL

Last 3 meetings Parma · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Parma hosts Sassuolo on May 24, 2026. Parma, currently fighting to avoid relegation, will rely on their home advantage, where they have garnered a solid percentage of their points this season. Conversely, Sassuolo, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a strong away record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game on the road. Key players to watch include Parma's top scorer, who will look to exploit Sassuolo's defensive vulnerabilities, and Sassuolo’s creative midfielder, who orchestrates their forward play. The match could hinge on whether Parma can contain Sassuolo's offensive threats while maximizing their own scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sassuolo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	15	8	3	1
1	12	13	7	3	1
2	5	6	3	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Parma goals · most likely 0–1 (15.4%)

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Head to Head: Parma vs Sassuolo

0 Parma Wins

2 Draws

1 Sassuolo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Jan 2026	Sassuolo	1 - 1	Parma
16 May 2021	Parma	1 - 3	Sassuolo
17 Jan 2021	Sassuolo	1 - 1	Parma

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Iraklis 1908	D	1 - 1
30 Jul	H Arezzo	D	1 - 1
24 May	H Sassuolo	W	1 - 0
17 May	A Como	L	1 - 0
10 May	H AS Roma	L	2 - 3

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Celta Vigo	L	1 - 4
31 Jul	H Folgore Caratese	D	0 - 0
22 Jul	H Padova	W	2 - 1
24 May	A Parma	L	1 - 0
17 May	H Lecce	L	2 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Fabio Grosso

13 Turati

23 Garcia

21 Idzes

31 Macchioni

25 Coulibaly

90 Kone

35 Lipani

42 Thorstvedt

45 Lauriente

99 Pinamonti

10 Berardi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	S. Turati	G
25	W. Coulibaly	D
31	T. Macchioni	D
21	J. Idzes	D
23	U. Garcia	D
42	K. Thorstvedt	M
35	L. Lipani	M
90	I. Kone	M
10	D. Berardi	F
99	A. Pinamonti	F
45	A. Lauriente	F

Substitutes

49	A. Muric	G
12	G. Satalino	G
16	G. Zacchi	G
18	N. Matic	M
24	L. Moro	F
20	A. Fadera	F
7	C. Volpato	M
66	Pedro Felipe	D
8	M. Nzola	F
3	J. Doig	D
44	E. Iannoni	M
80	T. Muharemovic	D
36	G. Vezzosi	D
33	C. Frangella	M
37	N. Baffoh	M

Parma

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Carlos Cuesta

40 Corvi

5 Valenti

37 Troilo

39 Circati

14 Valeri

16 Keita

41 Caviglia

24 Ordonez

27 Britschgi

76 Mikolajewski

9 Pellegrino

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
40	E. Corvi	G
39	A. Circati	D
37	M. Troilo	D
5	L. Valenti	D
27	S. Britschgi	M
24	C. Ordonez	M
41	H. Nicolussi Caviglia	M
16	M. Keita	M
14	E. Valeri	M
9	M. Pellegrino	F
76	D. Mikolajewski	F

Substitutes

31	Z. Suzuki	G
60	A. Mazzocchi	G
8	N. Estevez	M
11	P. Almqvist	F
15	E. Delprato	D
3	A. Ndiaye	D
65	E. Plicco	M
63	M. Mena	D
75	A. Cardinali	F
77	E. Tigani	M
22	O. Sorensen	M
29	F. Carboni	D