AC Milan vs Cagliari Tahmin
AC Milan - Cagliari tahmini: Sportiko, AC Milan takımına %77 kazanma olasılığı, Cagliari takımına %5 ve beraberliğe %18 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
AC Milan made the perfect start when Alexis Saelemaekers struck inside two minutes, though Cagliari's Zé Pedro had already picked up a yellow card in that same frantic opening. The visitors levelled through Gennaro Borrelli on 20 minutes, and the sides went into the break level at 1–1.
The decisive moment came just after the hour mark when Juan Rodríguez put Cagliari ahead on 57 minutes, a lead they would not relinquish. Milan responded with a flurry of substitutions, introducing Tomori, Nkunku, and Fofana in quick succession, but could not find an equaliser. The stats told a damning story for the hosts: Cagliari outshot Milan 25 to 16 overall and registered 10 shots on target compared to just three, with an expected goals figure of 2.78 against Milan's 1.74.
The result was a notable upset — our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 77%. Cagliari's controlled, efficient performance proved otherwise, securing all three points in a result that will raise eyebrows across Serie A.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
Match Stats
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 9.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 56 Alexis Saelemaekers M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 37 (26%) | 3 |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 48 (44%) | 1 |
| 46 Matteo Gabbia D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | 1 |
| 14 Luka Modrić M | 7.3 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 33 Davide Bartesaghi M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 10 Rafael Leão F | 7.2 | 22' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 24 Zachary Athekame D | 7.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | 2 |
| 11 Christian Pulišić M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 3 | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 30 Ardon Jashari M | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | – |
| 18 Christopher Nkunku F | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 7 Santiago Giménez F | 6.3 | 45' | – | 1 | 2 | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 23 Fikayo Tomori D | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | – | 44 (41%) | – |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (59%) | 1 |
| 9 Niclas Füllkrug F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 19 Youssouf Fofana M | 6.0 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
Cagliari
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Gennaro Borrelli F | 8.3 | 74' | 1 | – | 4 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 94 Sebastiano Esposito F | 7.7 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 49 (41%) | 4 |
| 2 Marco Palestra D | 7.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 10 Gianluca Gaetano M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 76 (73%) | 1 |
| 15 Juan Rodríguez D | 7.0 | 62' | 1 | – | 1 | 51 (47%) | 1 |
| 1 Elia Caprile G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | – |
| 33 Adam Obert M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 3 |
| 31 Paul Mendy F | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 22 Alberto Dossena D | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 26 Yerry Mina D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (55%) | 1 |
| 32 Zé Pedro D | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 57 (53%) | – |
| 8 Michel Adopo M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 28 Gabriele Zappa M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (33%) | – |
| 14 Alessandro Deiola M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 30 (24%) | – |
| 25 Ibrahim Sulemana M | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 17 Mattia Felici F | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
AC Milan vs Cagliari maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç
- 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
- Yapay Zeka derinlemesine maç raporu
- Değer Avantajı — model ile piyasa karşılaştırması
- Seçtiğiniz tahmin türleri
At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Diego Moreira
3 gls
A. Rabiot
2 gls
D. Maldini
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Cagliari
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan 2026 | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | AC Milan |
| 11 Jan 2025 | AC Milan | 1 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Cagliari | 3 - 3 | AC Milan |
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lecce | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lazio | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Juventus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Venezia | W | 2 - 0 |
Cagliari — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Udinese | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Atalanta | W | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | H Lecce | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Hellas Verona | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Inter | L | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AC Milan
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | M. Maignan | G |
| 23 | F. Tomori | D |
| 46 | M. Gabbia | D |
| 31 | S. Pavlovic | D |
| 56 | A. Saelemaekers | M |
| 19 | Y. Fofana | M |
| 30 | A. Jashari | M |
| 12 | A. Rabiot | M |
| 33 | D. Bartesaghi | M |
| 7 | S. Gimenez | F |
| 18 | C. Nkunku | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | M. Pittarella | G |
| 96 | L. Torriani | G |
| 14 | L. Modric | M |
| 8 | R. Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 2 | P. Estupinan | D |
| 4 | S. Ricci | M |
| 24 | Z. Athekame | D |
| 34 | V. Vladimirov | D |
| 9 | N. Fullkrug | F |
| 11 | C. Pulisic | M |
| 10 | R. Leao | F |
| 5 | K. De Winter | D |
| 27 | D. Odogu | D |
| 45 | J. Sardo | M |
| 25 | C. Balentien | F |
Cagliari
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Caprile | G |
| 32 | J. Pedro | D |
| 26 | Y. Mina | D |
| 15 | J. Rodriguez | D |
| 28 | G. Zappa | M |
| 8 | M. Adopo | M |
| 10 | G. Gaetano | M |
| 14 | A. Deiola | M |
| 33 | A. Obert | M |
| 29 | G. Borrelli | F |
| 94 | S. Esposito | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | G. Ciocci | G |
| 12 | A. Sherri | G |
| 19 | A. Belotti | F |
| 4 | L. Mazzitelli | M |
| 22 | A. Dossena | D |
| 38 | I. Sulev | M |
| 25 | I. Sulemana | M |
| 2 | M. Palestra | D |
| 36 | N. Grandu | F |
| 37 | Y. Trepy | F |
| 41 | A. Russo | M |
| 31 | P. Mendy | F |
| 17 | M. Felici | F |
| 18 | O. Raterink | D |
| 20 | A. Albarracin | F |