VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

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Bayern München

Away

Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

Yapay zeka tahmini Bayern München kazanır

10%

87%

Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München prediction: Sportiko gives VfL Wolfsburg a 3% chance of winning, Bayern München 87% and the draw 10%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Bayern München claimed a narrow but deserved victory at the Volkswagen Arena, securing all three points through a single second-half goal. The first half was goalless despite Bayern generating the greater threat, with a VAR review confirming a penalty in the 35th minute that went unconverted or was not taken before the break. Michael Olise settled the contest shortly after the restart, slotting home in the 56th minute to give the visitors the lead they had been threatening throughout.

Wolfsburg struggled to impose themselves despite enjoying 69 percent of the ball, managing nine shots on goal to Bayern's five, though the visitors' expected goals figure of 3.04 significantly outweighed the hosts' 1.85, underlining Bayern's clinical edge. A late yellow card for Kento Shiogai summed up a frustrating evening for the home side.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bayern win as the most likely outcome at 87%, a call that proved correct. The result continues Bayern's momentum as the Bundesliga season approaches its conclusion.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

🖵 35'

Michael Olise Penalty confirmed

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Leon Goretzka ⇄ Konrad Laimer

⇄ 46'

Kim Min-jae ⇄ Dayot Upamecano

⚽ 0–1 56'

Michael Olise assist: Konrad Laimer

⇄ 60'

Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Luis Díaz

Christian Eriksen ⇄ Mattias Svanberg

67' ⇄

Patrick Wimmer ⇄ Lovro Majer

67' ⇄

Vinícius Souza ⇄ Yannick Gerhardt

74' ⇄

Adam Daghim ⇄ Kento Shiogai

74' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Jamal Musiala

⇄ 84'

Hiroki Itō ⇄ Jonathan Tah

Saël Kumbedi ⇄ Jesper Lindstrøm

90' ⇄

Kento Shiogai Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

FT 0–1

VfL Wolfsburg

Match Stats

Bayern München

31% Ball Possession 69%

3.04 Expected Goals (xG) 1.85

17 Total Shots 16

5 Shots on Goal 9

7 Shots off Goal 5

5 Blocked Shots 2

14 Shots insidebox 9

3 Shots outsidebox 7

6 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 4

8 Fouls 5

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

8 Goalkeeper Saves 5

334 Total passes 771

257 Passes accurate 690

77% Passes % 89%

1.62 goals_prevented 1.62

VfL Wolfsburg

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Kamil Grabara G	8.3	90'	–	–	–	27 (14%)	–
24 Christian Eriksen M	7.5	67'	–	–	1	25 (17%)	2
3 Denis Vavro D	7.3	90'	–	–	2	29 (27%)	1
6 Jeanuël Belocian D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	5
5 Vinícius Souza M	7.2	74'	–	–	1	36 (30%)	3
11 Adam Daghim F	7.2	74'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	1
26 Saël Kumbedi M	7.2	89'	–	–	–	27 (19%)	3
39 Patrick Wimmer M	6.9	67'	–	–	2	17 (15%)	2
21 Joakim Mæhle M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	3
32 Mattias Svanberg M	6.6	23'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	–
31 Yannick Gerhardt M	6.6	16'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
7 Kento Shiogai F	6.3	16'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
10 Lovro Majer M	6.3	23'	–	–	–	7 (3%)	2
17 Dženan Pejčinović F	6.2	90'	–	–	4	30 (22%)	–
4 Konstantinos Koulierakis D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–
19 Jesper Lindstrøm M	—	1'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–

Bayern München

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Kim Min-jae D	8.7	45'	–	–	–	55 (53%)	1
17 Michael Olise M	8.6	90'	1	–	3	81 (69%)	–
6 Joshua Kimmich M	8.2	90'	–	–	–	114 (109%)	2
40 Jonas Urbig G	8.0	90'	–	–	–	35 (27%)	–
20 Tom Bischof D	7.7	90'	–	–	2	87 (82%)	5
4 Jonathan Tah D	7.5	11'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	1
21 Hiroki Itō D	7.5	84'	–	–	–	65 (61%)	1
2 Dayot Upamecano D	7.3	45'	–	–	–	47 (44%)	2
44 Josip Stanišić D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	73 (67%)	2
27 Konrad Laimer M	6.9	45'	–	1	–	52 (44%)	4
8 Leon Goretzka M	6.7	45'	–	–	1	36 (31%)	2
11 Nicolas Jackson M	6.7	60'	–	–	2	25 (19%)	–
42 Lennart Karl M	6.7	14'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	1
10 Jamal Musiala M	6.3	76'	–	–	3	32 (28%)	1
14 Luis Díaz F	6.2	30'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–
9 Harry Kane F	5.9	90'	–	–	2	26 (20%)	1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

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VfL Wolfsburg

WWLDD

Bayern München

WLWWD

Last 3 meetings VfL Wolfsburg · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash on May 9, 2026, VfL Wolfsburg hosts Bayern München. Historically, Bayern has dominated this matchup, winning over 70% of encounters since 2000. Wolfsburg's home form will be crucial; they have averaged 1.8 goals per game at home this season, making them a threat. However, Bayern boasts one of the league's strongest attacking lines, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match. Defensive solidity will be key for Wolfsburg if they are to challenge Bayern's title aspirations while maintaining their own European qualifications. Expect a high-paced match with potential for significant goal action.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayern München goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	12	18	17	12	7
1	2	4	6	6	4	2
2		1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ VfL Wolfsburg goals · most likely 0–2 (17.7%)

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Head to Head: VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München

0 VfL Wolfsburg Wins

0 Draws

3 Bayern München Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Jan 2026	Bayern München	8 - 1	VfL Wolfsburg
18 Jan 2025	Bayern München	3 - 2	VfL Wolfsburg
25 Aug 2024	VfL Wolfsburg	2 - 3	Bayern München

See all 10 meetings — Premium

VfL Wolfsburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Telstar	W	3 - 1
16 May	A FC St. Pauli	W	1 - 3
09 May	H Bayern München	L	0 - 1
03 May	A SC Freiburg	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	D	0 - 0

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Aston Villa	W	2 - 1
25 Jul	A SV Wehen	L	2 - 1
16 May	H 1. FC Köln	W	5 - 1
09 May	A VfL Wolfsburg	W	0 - 1
02 May	H 1. FC Heidenheim	D	3 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0