Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg Tahmin

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
FT
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Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Red Bull Salzburg galibiyet veya beraberlik
16%
23%
61%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Celje - Red Bull Salzburg tahmini: Sportiko, Celje takımına %16 kazanma olasılığı, Red Bull Salzburg takımına %61 ve beraberliğe %23 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 22 Oct 2026, 20:55.

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Match Report

Celje and Red Bull Salzburg shared a dramatic 2–2 draw in the UEFA Europa League league stage, with the Austrian side unable to hold on despite leading for much of the contest. Sota Kitano gave Salzburg an early advantage in the ninth minute, and the visitors went into half-time ahead, though Celje's disciplinary record was a concern with three yellow cards shown before the break.

The second half produced a frantic opening spell. Jesper Lindstrøm doubled Salzburg's lead just after the restart, seemingly putting the tie beyond Celje, but Blaž Kramer pulled one back almost immediately in the 50th minute to keep the hosts in contention. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Salzburg win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that ultimately fell short as Armandas Kučys levelled in the 90th minute to snatch a point for Celje.

The final scoreline perhaps slightly flattered the hosts, with both sides posting similar expected goals figures of 1.61 and 1.68 respectively. Celje edged possession at 53 percent and attempted 15 shots in total, though Salzburg's composure for long stretches suggested they will feel the late equaliser was a costly slip.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'
Sota Kitano assist: Damir Redzic
Artemijus Tutyškinas Yellow Card
32' ▮
▮ 35'
Damir Redzic Yellow Card
Pijus Širvys Yellow Card
43' ▮
⇄ 45'
Yorbe Vertessen ⇄ Jesper Lindstrøm
⇄ 45'
Umut Tohumcu ⇄ Bartosz Mazurek
HT 0–1
⚽ 0–2 46'
Jesper Lindstrøm assist: Damir Redzic
Blaž Kramer assist: Svit Sešlar
50' ⚽ 1–2
Veton Tusha ⇄ Yaya Dukuly
60' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Sota Kitano ⇄ Gaoussou Diakite
Benjamin Verbič ⇄ Armandas Kučys
81' ⇄
Pijus Širvys ⇄ Žan Žužek
81' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Damir Redzic ⇄ Frans Krätzig
Armandas Kučys assist: Yaya Dukuly
90' ⚽ 2–2
▮ 90+2'
Bartosz Mazurek Yellow Card
Mario Kvesić ⇄ Darko Hrka
90+4' ⇄
FT 2–2
Celje

Match Stats

Red Bull Salzburg
47% Ball Possession 53%
1.68 Expected Goals (xG) 1.61
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
509 Total passes 510
436 Passes accurate 438
9 Free Kicks 13
Celje
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Blaž Kramer F 8.2 90' 1 – 1 22 (16%) 1
47 Armandas Kučys F 8.1 9' 1 – 1 – –
11 Milot Avdyli D 7.1 90' – – 2 62 (54%) 4
91 Yaya Dukuly F 7.1 30' – 1 – 11 (8%) 1
7 Benjamin Verbič F 7.0 81' – – 1 7 (6%) 2
10 Svit Sešlar M 6.8 90' – 1 1 42 (32%) 2
44 Łukasz Bejger D 6.6 90' – – – 63 (56%) 1
25 Veton Tusha F 6.6 60' – – 2 14 (11%) 1
6 Artemijus Tutyškinas D 6.5 90' – – – 71 (67%) 2
8 Mario Kvesić M 6.4 94' – – – 53 (46%) 3
1 Zan Luk Leban G 6.3 90' – – – 34 (29%) –
2 Pijus Širvys D 6.3 81' – – – 60 (52%) 4
15 Žan Žužek D 6.2 9' – – 1 13 (12%) –
19 Mark Zabukovnik M 6.1 90' – – – 58 (48%) 1
Red Bull Salzburg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Damir Redzic M 7.6 83' – 2 2 21 (15%) 3
8 Sota Kitano M 7.5 65' 1 – 3 30 (25%) –
35 Jesper Lindstrøm M 7.2 44' 1 – 3 19 (13%) 2
30 Gaoussou Diakite F 7.0 25' – – – 11 (9%) –
31 Dominik Schmid D 6.9 90' – – – 63 (55%) –
44 Kévin Boma D 6.9 90' – – – 60 (57%) 1
21 Tim Drexler D 6.8 90' – – – 79 (73%) 1
15 Bartosz Mazurek M 6.7 44' – – – 27 (25%) 1
9 Haris Tabaković F 6.6 90' – – 3 29 (22%) –
32 Abubakr Barry M 6.6 90' – – 4 73 (65%) 3
39 Leandro Morgalla D 6.6 90' – – – 32 (27%) 8
13 Frans Krätzig D 6.4 7' – – – 6 (5%) –
11 Yorbe Vertessen M 6.1 46' – – – 13 (8%) –
7 Umut Tohumcu M 6.1 46' – – – 18 (17%) –
52 Christian Zawieschitzky G 6.0 90' – – – 31 (22%) –
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Zorlu Red Bull Salzburg galibiyet veya beraberlik
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Celje
WWDWD
Red Bull Salzburg
LWWWD
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
16%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
61%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Celje — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Sturm Graz W 2 - 3
01 Nov H Nafta W 4 - 0
28 Oct A Olimpija Ljubljana D 1 - 1
25 Oct A Korotan Prevalje W 0 - 2
22 Oct H Red Bull Salzburg D 2 - 2

Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Anderlecht L 2 - 0
01 Nov H Austria Lustenau W 5 - 1
28 Oct A Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz W 2 - 3
25 Oct A Lask Linz W 1 - 3
22 Oct A Celje D 2 - 2

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Red Bull Salzburg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Röhl
52 Zawieschitzky
31 Schmid
21 Drexler
44 Boma
39 Morgalla
7 Tohumcu
32 Barry
11 Vertessen
8 Kitano
23 Redzic
9 Tabaković

Starting XI

# Player Pos
52 Christian Zawieschitzky G
39 L. Morgalla D
44 K. Boma D
21 T. Drexler D
31 D. Schmid D
32 A. Barry M
7 U. Tohumcu M
23 D. Redzic M
8 S. Kitano M
11 Y. Vertessen M
9 H. Tabaković F

Substitutes

47 Valentin Zabransky D
41 Nikola Šarčević G
4 J. Mellberg D
15 B. Mazurek M
35 J. Lindstrøm M
22 S. Lainer D
13 F. Krätzig D
19 K. Konaté F
1 C. Früchtl G
30 G. Diakité F
33 A. Camara M
5 S. Diabaté M

Celje

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Z. Željkovič
1 Leban
11 Avdyli
6 Tutyškinas
44 Bejger
2 Širvys
8 Kvesić
19 Zabukovnik
10 Sešlar
7 Verbič
9 Kramer
25 Tusha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Žan-Luk Leban G
2 P. Širvys D
44 Ł. Bejger D
6 A. Tutyškinas D
11 M. Avdyli D
10 S. Sešlar M
19 M. Zabukovnik M
8 M. Kvesić M
25 V. Tusha F
9 B. Kramer F
7 B. Verbič F

Substitutes

13 Papa Mustapha Daniel M
20 A. Dionkou D
91 Y. Dukuly F
23 Ž. Frelih G
4 D. Hrka M
77 M. Ivanšek F
12 L. Kolar G
33 L. Koútris D
47 A. Kučys F
31 D. Suhovrsnik F
15 Ž. Žužek D

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