Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Tahmin

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Yapay zeka tahmini Zorlu Fenerbahçe galibiyet veya beraberlik
52%
26%
23%
Ev Sahibi Galibiyeti Beraberlik Deplasman Galibiyeti

Fenerbahçe - Lyon tahmini: Sportiko, Fenerbahçe takımına %52 kazanma olasılığı, Lyon takımına %23 ve beraberliğe %26 olasılık öngörüyor. Son güncelleme: 18 Aug 2026, 20:53.

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Match Report

Fenerbahçe and Lyon played out a 1–1 draw in their UEFA Champions League play-off encounter at Ülker Stadyumı, with both goals arriving either side of half-time. Lyon struck first when Loïs Openda finished on 40 minutes to give the visitors a lead they carried into the break, with Abner Vinícius having already picked up a yellow card moments earlier.

Fenerbahçe levelled almost immediately after the restart, Mason Greenwood restoring parity in the 47th minute to set up a tense second half. Both managers turned to their benches in the 70s, with Kerem Aktürkoğlu and Talisca introduced for the hosts while Lyon brought on Ruben Kluivert and Ernest Nuamah. The closing stages grew fractious, with N'Golo Kanté and Milan Škriniar both collecting yellow cards as the game tightened.

The final statistics reflected an evenly contested affair — identical shot tallies of 11 apiece and five shots on target for each side — though Lyon edged possession at 52%. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fenerbahçe win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that broadly reflected the hosts' ability to avoid defeat on home soil.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 37'
Abner Vinícius Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 40'
Loïs Openda assist: Corentin Tolisso
HT 0–1
Mason Greenwood assist: Kerem Aktürkoğlu
47' ⚽ 1–1
Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⇄ Dorgeles Nene
73' ⇄
Talisca ⇄ Marco Asensio
73' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Ruben Kluivert ⇄ Clinton Mata
⇄ 75'
Ernest Nuamah ⇄ Kaïl Boudache
N'Golo Kanté Yellow Card
81' ▮
Vedat Muriqi ⇄ Romelu Lukaku
82' ⇄
Milan Škriniar Yellow Card
84' ▮
⇄ 86'
Tyler Morton ⇄ Mads Bidstrup
⇄ 90+1'
Malick Fofana ⇄ Mohamed Ouédraogo
FT 1–1
Fenerbahçe

Match Stats

Lyon
52% Ball Possession 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 0
3 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
434 Total passes 407
373 Passes accurate 351
86% Passes % 86%
goals_prevented
Fenerbahçe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
37 Milan Škriniar D 7.5 90' – – – 63 (61%) 3
11 Mason Greenwood M 7.5 90' 1 – 4 44 (36%) –
15 N. Aké D 7.2 90' – – – 64 (59%) –
91 N'Golo Kanté M 6.9 90' – – – 44 (40%) 2
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M 6.9 90' – – – 48 (42%) 1
31 Ederson G 6.7 90' – – – 35 (26%) –
7 Kerem Aktürkoğlu M 6.7 73' – 1 1 19 (12%) 2
27 Nélson Semedo D 6.7 90' – – – 41 (37%) 2
10 Marco Asensio M 6.7 17' – – – 1 (1%) –
94 Talisca M 6.5 73' – – 1 13 (9%) –
9 Romelu Lukaku F 6.3 8' – – – 2 (2%) –
3 Archie Brown D 6.3 90' – – 1 39 (32%) 2
45 Dorgeles Nene F 6.3 17' – – 1 1 (1%) –
19 Vedat Muriqi F 6.2 82' – – 2 20 (15%) –
Lyon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Tyler Morton M 7.3 86' – – 1 41 (40%) 1
8 Corentin Tolisso M 7.2 90' – 1 2 55 (46%) 1
19 Moussa Niakhaté D 6.9 90' – – – 66 (61%) 1
17 Loïs Openda F 6.9 90' 1 – 2 11 (8%) –
6 Tanner Tessmann M 6.9 90' – – 1 24 (19%) –
21 Ruben Kluivert D 6.9 75' – – – 44 (39%) 3
11 Malick Fofana M 6.9 90' – – – 30 (26%) 1
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D 6.7 90' – – – 25 (21%) 3
22 Clinton Mata D 6.7 15' – – – 9 (8%) –
26 Kaïl Boudache F 6.6 15' – – – 2 (2%) –
7 Ernest Nuamah M 6.5 75' – – 1 13 (11%) –
1 Dominik Greif G 6.3 90' – – – 32 (22%) –
16 Abner Vinícius D 6.3 90' – – – 54 (48%) –
2 Mads Bidstrup M — 4' – – – 1 –
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Fenerbahçe vs Lyon maçı için yapay zekanın tam analizini aç

  • 70'ten fazla olasılık kategorisinin tamamı
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Bizim analizimiz
Zorlu Fenerbahçe galibiyet veya beraberlik
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Fenerbahçe
WDDLW
Lyon
WWDWD
Last 2 meetings Fenerbahçe · 1W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
23%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fenerbahçe
Talisca 4 gls
M. Greenwood 2 gls
A. Brown 2 gls
Lyon

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Fenerbahçe vs Lyon

1 Fenerbahçe Wins
1 Draws
0 Lyon Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Aug 2026 Lyon 1 - 2 Fenerbahçe
23 Jan 2025 Fenerbahçe 0 - 0 Lyon

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Eyüpspor W 8 - 0
14 Sep A Gaziantep FK D 0 - 0
10 Sep H AS Roma D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Beşiktaş L 1 - 2
30 Aug A Samsunspor W 0 - 2

Lyon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rennes W 4 - 0
16 Sep A Anderlecht W 1 - 2
12 Sep A Paris FC D 0 - 0
04 Sep H Auxerre W 3 - 1
29 Aug H Le Havre D 1 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Lyon

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Paulo Fonseca
1 Greif
16 Vinícius
19 Niakhaté
21 Kluivert
98 Maitland-Niles
23 Morton
6 Tessmann
11 Fofana
8 Tolisso
7 Nuamah
17 Openda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Dominik Greif G
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D
21 Ruben Kluivert D
19 Moussa Niakhaté D
16 Abner Vinícius D
6 Tanner Tessmann M
23 Tyler Morton M
7 Ernest Nuamah M
8 Corentin Tolisso M
11 Malick Fofana M
17 Loïs Openda F

Substitutes

25 Justin Bengui G
40 Rémy Descamps G
13 Zachary Athekame D
20 Felix Bacher D
22 Clinton Mata D
2 Mads Bidstrup M
39 Mathys de Carvalho M
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo D
99 Noah Nartey M
24 Julien Duranville F
26 Kaïl Boudache F
45 Rémi Himbert F

Fenerbahçe

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ismail Kartal
31 Ederson
3 Brown
15 Aké
37 Škriniar
27 Semedo
6 Guendouzi
91 Kanté
7 Aktürkoğlu
94 Talisca
11 Greenwood
19 Muriqi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Ederson G
27 Nélson Semedo D
37 Milan Škriniar D
15 Nathan Aké D
3 Archie Brown D
91 N'Golo Kanté M
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M
11 Mason Greenwood M
94 Talisca M
7 Kerem Aktürkoğlu M
19 Vedat Muriqi F

Substitutes

13 Tarık Çetin G
75 Kuzey Sapaz G
14 Yiğit Efe Demir D
18 Mert Müldür D
22 Levent Mercan D
5 İsmail Yüksek M
10 Marco Asensio M
17 İrfan Can Kahveci M
28 Bartuğ Elmaz M
70 Oğuz Aydın F
9 Romelu Lukaku F
45 Dorgeles Nene F

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